Long Range Forecast: 'Heaven Is For Real', 'Transcendence', 'A Haunted House 2' and 'Bears'

on February 21, 2014 by BoxOffice Staff
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BoxOffice adds four new films to our Long Range Forecast this week: Heaven Is For Real, Transcendence, A Haunted House 2 and Bears. Will they help April post healthy numbers or are they doomed to lack momentum due to the oncoming Summer season? 

Heaven Is For Real
(Sony) 

PROS:

- The fact that it's based on a best-selling book helps quite a bit. 
- Sony successfully turned Courageous--another film aimed at religious crowds--into a $35 million sleeper hit back in 2011, so they clearly know how to handle this kind of material.

CONS:

- We're concerned that the one-two punch of Son of God in February and Noah in March will steal away the attention of religious moviegoers and leave little behind for Heaven is for Real.
- Star Greg Kinnear is far from a reliable draw.
- Some families may opt to see Bears instead.

Transcendence
(Warner Bros.)

PROS:

- The first trailer is helping build buzz at a steady pace on Facebook and Twitter.
- Transcendence boasts one of the most impressive ensemble casts of the year.
- We're betting that first-time director Wally Pfister has learned more than a few tricks from Christopher Nolan after serving as cinematographer on many of his films.  

CONS:

- Star Johnny Depp is on a cold streak following Dark Shadows and The Lone Ranger.
- It's possible that males 18-34--a big demo for this one--may just save their money until The Amazing Spider-Man 2 kicks off the summer season a few weeks later.
- The sci-fi genre is general is not very reliable.

A Haunted House 2
(Open Road) 

PROS:

- The original's $40 million haul came as something of a surprise. It's clear that Marlan Wayans still has a loyal fanbase.
- Early to mid-April doesn't boast a lot of comedies, so competition in that area will be thin.

CONS:

- The underwhelming performance of Scary Movie 5 last April is reason for concern. The horror-spoof genre could be running out of steam yet again.
- The film's marketing campaign makes A Haunted House 2 feel way too much like its predecessor. Redundancy isn't always a good thing.

Bears
(Disneynature)

PROS:

- This one will be an easy choice for families with young children.
- 2012's Chimpanzee turned into a solid $28 million hit. It's possible that the Disneynature brand is growing. 

CONS:

- There are a lot of films aimed at families during the first four months of 2014, which means that Bears could hit a wall.

Check out our predictions for these films as well as others in the table below. Notable changes include Non-Stop (up), Son of God (up) and 300: Rise of an Empire (up).

Title Release Date Distributor First Weekend of Wide Release Cumulative
A Haunted House 2 Apr 18, 2014 Open Road
$14,000,000 $31,000,000
Bears Apr 18, 2014 Disneynature
$7,000,000 $21,000,000
Transcendence Apr 17, 2014 Warner Bros.
$25,000,000* $76,000,000
Heaven is for Real Apr 16, 2014 Sony / TriStar
$7,000,000* $23,000,000
Draft Day Apr 11, 2014 Lionsgate / Summit
$11,000,000 $34,000,000
St. Vincent Apr 11, 2014 Weinstein Company
$4,000,000 $12,000,000
Oculus Apr 11, 2014 Relativity Media
$12,000,000 $31,000,000
Rio 2 Apr 11, 2014 Fox
$41,000,000 $148,000,000
Captain America: The Winter Soldier Apr 4, 2014 Disney
$87,000,000 $225,000,000
Sabotage (2014) Mar 28, 2014 Open Road
$7,000,000 $15,000,000
Noah Mar 28, 2014 Paramount
$47,000,000 $144,000,000
Muppets Most Wanted Mar 21, 2014 Disney
$21,000,000 $57,000,000
Divergent Mar 21, 2014 Lionsgate / Summit
$55,000,000 $135,000,000
Need For Speed Mar 14, 2014 Disney / DreamWorks
$21,000,000 $53,000,000
Bad Words Mar 14, 2014 Focus
$12,000,000 $40,000,000
Tyler Perry’s The Single Moms Club Mar 14, 2014 Lionsgate
$16,000,000 $36,000,000
Mr. Peabody & Sherman Mar 7, 2014 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
$25,000,000 $98,000,000
300: Rise of an Empire Mar 7, 2014 Warner Bros.
$21,000,000 $50,000,000
Non-Stop (2014) Feb 28, 2014 Universal
$28,000,000 $83,000,000
Son of God Feb 28, 2014 Fox
$13,000,000 $42,000,000

*3-day weekend

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report. 

Tags: Heaven Is For Real, Transcendence, A Haunted House 2, Bears
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