Saturday Update: Warner Bros. reports this morning that The Conjuring 2 bowed to a strong $16.4 million on opening day Friday. That comes in just over 3 percent behind its predecessor’s July 2013 opening day after posting nearly identical Thursday night grosses (included in Friday’s numbers). Due to the nature of sequels being more front-loaded, we’re projecting an opening weekend around $35 million — but with healthy early word of mouth and an “A-” CinemaScore, it’s possible the sequel gets closer than that to the original’s $41.9 million by the end of Sunday.
Universal’s Warcraft debuted in second place with $10.71 million on Friday, coming in 5 percent behind the first day of last year’s Fantastic Four. That’s a modest start for the video game adaptation after pulling in nearly 29 percent of that figure on Thursday night alone. With little reach outside of the hardcore gamer audience, we expect the film to prove significantly front-loaded. The upside for the studio (and fans hoping for a sequel) is that the film continues to do gangbusters internationally (particularly in China), but domestically this appears to be heading for a disappointing $22.5 million opening weekend.
Now You See Me 2 checked in with $8.4 million on opening day, 16.5 percent behind its predecessor’s $10.06 million first day in May 2013. Considering this (as well as Conjuring 2) is bucking the trend of massively under-performing sequels in 2016, it’s hard to see this opening day as anything but a positive start — word of mouth will likely not be as strong as it was for the original magician flick, though. Boxoffice projects a $23 million opening weekend, which could land it in second place ahead of Warcraft if our numbers hold.
Meanwhile, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows added $4 million yesterday for an eight-day domestic haul of $50.24 million. We’re projecting a $14.2 million sophomore frame. Last weekend’s mini-breakout opener, Me Before You, took in another $3.07 million yesterday for a new total of $30.7 million. The well-received romantic drama is pacing for a second weekend around $9.8 million.
| # | TITLE | WEEKEND | LOCATIONS | AVG. | TOTAL | WKS. | DIST. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Conjuring 2 | $35,000,000 | — | 3,343 | — | $10,470 | $35,000,000 | 1 | Warner Bros. / New Line |
| 2 | Now You See Me 2 | $23,000,000 | — | 3,232 | — | $7,116 | $23,000,000 | 1 | Lionsgate / Summit |
| 3 | Warcraft | $22,500,000 | — | 3,400 | — | $6,618 | $22,500,000 | 1 | Universal |
| 4 | Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows | $14,200,000 | -60% | 4,071 | 0 | $3,488 | $60,439,783 | 2 | Paramount |
| 5 | Me Before You | $9,800,000 | -48% | 2,762 | 58 | $3,548 | $37,412,578 | 2 | Warner Bros. / New Line |
| 6 | X-Men: Apocalypse | $9,500,000 | -58% | 3,585 | -568 | $2,650 | $135,874,195 | 3 | Fox |
| 7 | The Angry Birds Movie | $7,100,000 | -30% | 3,083 | -401 | $2,303 | $98,569,623 | 4 | Sony / Columbia |
| 8 | Alice Through the Looking Glass | $5,900,000 | -48% | 2,898 | -865 | $2,036 | $62,792,611 | 3 | Disney |
| 9 | Captain America: Civil War | $4,400,000 | -44% | 2,101 | -983 | $2,094 | $396,957,148 | 6 | Disney |
| 10 | The Jungle Book (2016) | $2,900,000 | -35% | 1,496 | -494 | $1,939 | $352,828,689 | 9 | Disney |
| 11 | Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising | $2,100,000 | -57% | 1,581 | -836 | $1,328 | $53,068,225 | 4 | Universal |
| 12 | The Nice Guys | $1,900,000 | -45% | 1,147 | -741 | $1,656 | $32,442,192 | 4 | Warner Bros. |
| 13 | Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping | $1,600,000 | -66% | 2,313 | 2 | $692 | $8,231,280 | 2 | Universal |
| # | TITLE | WEEKEND | LOCATIONS | AVG. | TOTAL | WKS. | DIST. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Money Monster | $690,000 | -63% | 731 | -592 | $944 | $39,758,670 | 5 | Sony / TriStar |
| # | TITLE | WEEKEND | LOCATIONS | AVG. | TOTAL | WKS. | DIST. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Bigger Splash | $545,000 | 236% | 57 | -163 | $9,561 | $2,355,744 | 6 | Fox Searchlight |
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