Long Range Forecast: 'Apollo 18,' 'The Debt' and 'Shark Night 3D'

Featured Stories - on July 09, 2011 by Phil Contrino

apollo18forecast.pngWe've added Apollo 18, The Debt and Shark Night 3D to the Long Range Forecast this week. All three films are scheduled to open on September 2.

Apollo 18 aims to take the found-footage genre into space. Chances are high that it'll be successful, because the genre is still relatively fresh and it hasn't lapsed into self parody yet. Expect The Weinstein Company to put a lot of marketing muscle behind this one.

The Debt represents a non-blockbuster role for Sam Worthington, and therefore it'll be huge test of his drawing power. The presence of Helen Mirren and Tom Wilkinson in supporting roles adds more weight to the whole affair. This revenge drama should post modest numbers thanks to steady business from adult moviegoers.

Shark Night 3D will be gunning for the same audience that lined up for Piranha 3D last summer. Yet that's not a very lofty goal considering that Piranha 3D opened to $10.1 million on its way to a $25 million domestic haul. Shark Night 3D seems to be taking itself a bit more seriously, and that may hurt it in the end. Horror junkies are jaded when it comes to underwater suspense. They either want something new and frightening or a tongue-in-cheek bit of business like Piranha 3D.

Check out predictions for these films as well as others in the table below.

 

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Apollo 18 Sep 2, 2011 Weinstein Company
$18,000,000 $38,000,000
Shark Night 3D Sep 2, 2011 Relativity Media
$8,000,000 $17,000,000
The Debt Aug 31, 2011 Focus
$10,000,000 $25,000,000
Our Idiot Brother Aug 26, 2011 Weinstein Company
$9,000,000 $25,000,000
Don't Be Afraid Of The Dark Aug 26, 2011 FilmDistrict
$14,000,000 $38,000,000
Colombiana Aug 26, 2011 Sony / Columbia
$6,000,000 $15,000,000
Conan the Barbarian (2011) Aug 19, 2011 Lionsgate
$16,000,000 $37,000,000
One Day Aug 19, 2011 Focus
$7,000,000 $20,000,000
Fright Night (2011) Aug 19, 2011 DreamWorks
$21,000,000 $50,000,000
Spy Kids: All The Time In The World Aug 19, 2011 Weinstein Company
$17,000,000 $53,000,000
Glee Live! 3D! Aug 12, 2011 Fox
$16,000,000 $37,000,000
Final Destination 5 Aug 12, 2011 Warner Bros. / New Line
$24,000,000 $57,000,000
30 Minutes or Less Aug 12, 2011 Sony / Columbia
$12,000,000 $40,000,000
The Help Aug 10, 2011 DreamWorks
$13,000,000 $48,000,000
Rise of the Planet of the Apes Aug 5, 2011 Fox
$32,000,000 $78,000,000
The Change-Up Aug 5, 2011 Universal
$30,000,000 $115,000,000
The Smurfs Jul 29, 2011 Sony / Columbia
$25,000,000 $85,000,000
Crazy, Stupid, Love Jul 29, 2011 Warner Bros.
$18,000,000 $55,000,000
Cowboys & Aliens Jul 29, 2011 Universal
$33,000,000 $90,000,000
Friends With Benefits Jul 22, 2011 Sony / Screen Gems
$19,000,000 $57,000,000
Captain America: The First Avenger Jul 22, 2011 Paramount
$55,000,000 $150,000,000
Winnie the Pooh Jul 15, 2011 Disney
$9,000,000 $35,000,000
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II Jul 15, 2011 Warner Bros.
$153,000,000 $355,000,000

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.

Tags: Apollo 18, The Debt, Shark Night 3D

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