Weekend Predictions: 'The Grey,' 'One for the Money' and 'Man on a Ledge'

Featured Stories - on January 25, 2012 by Phil Contrino

13012predictions.pngA drama about a man fighting off wolves and the elements looks poised for a #1 finish at the box office this coming weekend.

Open Road, the distribution label formed by AMC and Regal, will release its second film with The Grey, a man vs. nature drama that stars Liam Neeson. The 59-year-old Oscar nominee has managed to reinvent himself late in his career thanks to lead roles in Taken and Unknown. The Grey will try to capitalize on the success of both of those films.

Look for The Grey to take in $14.5 million from 3,185 locations during its debut frame.

One for the Money will test how well Katherine Heigl's drawing power is holding up. Heigl stumbled a bit in 2010 with Killers and Life As We Know It after finding huge success thanks to Knocked Up and 27 Dresses. One for the Money looks poised to end up closer to Killers' $15 million debut than 27 Dresses' $23 million.

One for the Money should manage $10 million from around 2,700 locations.

Sam Worthington starred in Avatar, but it didn't become the #1 worldwide hit of all time based on his drawing power. Man on a Ledge will now test whether or not Worthington can open a film based on his own merits. With a lot of male-skewing flicks already in the market, we're betting that Man on a Ledge won't be a career breakthrough for the Aussie thesp.

Man on a Ledge looks poised to grab $9.5 million from around 2,800 locations during its debut frame.

Oscar winners still in theaters should see a nice boost at the box office. Look for The Artist to fall just outside the top 10 during what will be its tenth weekend of release.

Check out the rest of our predictions in the table below.


Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
The Grey Jan 27, 2012 Open Road
$14,500,000 $14,500,000
Red Tails Jan 20, 2012 Fox
$12,000,000 $35,500,000
Underworld Awakening Jan 20, 2012 Sony / Screen Gems
$11,700,000 $44,500,000
One For the Money Jan 27, 2012 Lionsgate
$10,000,000 $10,000,000
Man on a Ledge Jan 27, 2012 Summit
$9,500,000 $9,500,000
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close Dec 25, 2011 Warner Bros.
$8,500,000 $22,700,000
Contraband Jan 13, 2012 Universal
$7,200,000 $57,200,000
The Descendants Nov 16, 2011 Fox Searchlight
$6,300,000 $58,600,000
Beauty and the Beast 3D Jan 13, 2012 Disney
$6,200,000 $42,100,000
Haywire Jan 20, 2012 Relativity Media
$4,500,000 $15,900,000
The Artist Nov 25, 2011 Weinstein Company
$4,000,000 $17,300,000

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.

Tags: The Grey, One for the Money, Man on a Ledge


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