Long Range Forecast: 'Monsters, Inc. 3D', 'Zero Dark Thirty', 'Jack Reacher', 'This Is 40', & 'Cirque Du Soleil: Worlds Away'

Featured Stories - on October 27, 2012 by BOXOFFICE Staff

dec19-21.pngOur Long Range Forecast is busy this week as we add five new wide releases scheduled to hit theaters the last week before Christmas. Monsters, Inc. 3D and Zero Dark Thirty will debut on Wednesday, December 19. Meanwhile, Jack Reacher, This Is 40 and Cirque Du Soleil: Worlds Away will launch on Friday, December 21.

Monsters, Inc. 3D

PROS:

- The relative lack of family options this December, outside of The Hobbit.

CONS:

- The diminishing results of Disney's 3D re-issues, especially in the recent case of Finding Nemo 3D.

Zero Dark Thirty

PROS:

- After the success of Argo, audiences may be more willing to give a film like this a chance, especially if reviews are strong.
- Likely to be more mainstream and higher-profile than The Hurt Locker was.

CONS:

- There will be plenty of competition for adult audiences this Christmas season.
- It is possible that the film won't go very wide initially.

Jack Reacher

PROS:

- Tom Cruise coming off of the success of Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol last December.
- Having a built-in audience from the novels, though just how big is that audience?
- The PG-13 rating could prove to be an advantage in comparison to its competitors, especially at Christmas time.

CONS:

- Tom Cruise coming off the poor performance of Rock of Ages this summer.
- More and more, star power isn't what it used to be. Audiences who liked Cruise in Ghost Protocol, won't automatically watch him in this.

This Is 40

PROS:

- Could represent a return to form for Judd Apatow critically.
- Christmas is usually a good time to release comedies, especially when it comes to holding power.

CONS:

- There will be plenty of competition for adult audiences this Christmas season, including direct competition from The Guilt Trip.
- Leslie Mann is unproven as a lead at the box office, while Paul Rudd is hit and miss.

Cirque Du Soleil: Worlds Away

PROS:

- The stage performance has a strong brand name and fan following.

CONS:

- The size of that fan base on a mainstream theatrical level hasn't been fully tested in nearly a decade.

Notable changes on the forecast this week include Wreck-It Ralph, Flight, The Man With the Iron Fists and Skyfall.

Check out our predictions for these and other upcoming films in the table below.

 

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
This is 40 Dec 21, 2012 Universal
$12,000,000 $65,000,000
Jack Reacher Dec 21, 2012 Paramount
$16,000,000 $75,000,000
Zero Dark Thirty Dec 19, 2012 Sony / Columbia
$10,000,000* $66,000,000
Monsters, Inc. 3D Dec 19, 2012 Disney
$8,000,000* $36,000,000
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey Dec 14, 2012 Warner Bros. / New Line
$137,000,000 $445,000,000
Playing For Keeps (2012) Dec 7, 2012 FilmDistrict
$6,000,000 $18,000,000
Killing Them Softly Nov 30, 2012 Weinstein Company
$12,000,000 $40,000,000
Life of Pi Nov 21, 2012 Fox
$17,000,000* $64,000,000
Rise of The Guardians Nov 21, 2012 Paramount / DreamWorks
$39,000,000* $148,000,000
Silver Linings Playbook Nov 21, 2012 Weinstein Company
$12,000,000* $40,000,000
Red Dawn (2012) Nov 21, 2012 Open Road
$12,000,000* $36,000,000
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2 Nov 16, 2012 Lionsgate
$148,000,000 $294,000,000
Lincoln Nov 9, 2012 Disney / DreamWorks
$17,000,000 $94,000,000
Skyfall Nov 9, 2012 Sony
$80,000,000 $223,000,000
The Man With the Iron Fists Nov 2, 2012 Universal
$10,000,000 $22,000,000
Wreck-It Ralph Nov 2, 2012 Disney
$50,000,000 $168,000,000
Flight Nov 2, 2012 Paramount
$22,000,000 $73,000,000

* = Friday through Sunday (3-day weekend)

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: Monsters Inc., Zero Dark Thirty, This Is 40, Jack Reacher, Cirque Du Soleil: Worlds Away

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