Weekend Predictions: 'Django Unchained', 'Les Miserables' & 'Parental Guidance'

Featured Stories - on December 26, 2012 by BOXOFFICE Staff

dec28.pngCrowds will be in full force this weekend as audiences have their plates filled with eight new releases since December 21. This final weekend of 2012 should be a big one thanks to the rush of adults and kids alike between the lucrative Christmas and New Year's holidays.

Django Unchained

PROS:

- Quentin Tarantino's established fan base plus his added appeal coming off the huge success of Inglorious Basterds three years ago gives this some of the highest upfront awareness that a Tarantino film has ever had.
- The all-star ensemble cast will attract a variety of audiences.
- Marketing has been steady and consistent while reviews are excellent. 

CONS:

- The Christmas-timed release for a violent film could put off some moviegoers. 

Les Miserables (2012)

PROS:

- The musical stands as one of the most beloved of all-time.
- An all-star cast helps to turn this into even more of a must-see film for the general audience.
- Reviews have been solid and the film is already generating significant Oscar buzz, particularly for Anne Hathaway and Hugh Jackman.
- Pre-sales on Fandango reached record status for a Christmas release, topping their 2009 advance sales activity for Sherlock Holmes

CONS:

- Musicals are hit and miss at the box office. Could Les Miserables be front-loaded by its fans?

Parental Guidance

PROS:

- Billy Crystal, Bette Midler and Marisa Tomei offer some familiarity for adult audiences.
- The family market is relatively empty right now with Monsters, Inc. 3D performing at low levels and The Hobbit remaining the only viable option since November releases.
- Past family comedies released at this time of year have over-performed. See: Cheaper by the Dozen

CONS:

- The older cast could easily be a turn-off for younger audiences.
- Are Crystal and Midler still strong enough box office draws for older crowds? 

Check out our predictions for these films and the rest of this weekend's top 10 in the table below.

 

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey Dec 14, 2012 Warner Bros. / New Line
$32,300,000 $219,500,000
Les Miserables (2012) Dec 25, 2012 Universal
$28,800,000 $64,500,000
Django Unchained Dec 25, 2012 Weinstein Company
$22,800,000 $52,500,000
Parental Guidance Dec 25, 2012 Fox
$14,300,000 $29,000,000
Jack Reacher Dec 21, 2012 Paramount
$13,300,000 $44,800,000
This is 40 Dec 21, 2012 Universal
$12,700,000 $38,200,000
The Guilt Trip Dec 19, 2012 Paramount
$7,500,000 $23,200,000
Lincoln Nov 9, 2012 Disney / DreamWorks
$6,500,000 $130,500,000
Monsters, Inc. 3D Dec 19, 2012 Disney
$5,800,000 $17,800,000
Rise of The Guardians Nov 21, 2012 Paramount / DreamWorks
$4,700,000 $89,500,000
Skyfall Nov 8, 2012 Sony / Columbia
$4,500,000 $289,200,000
Life of Pi Nov 21, 2012 Fox
$4,300,000 $85,500,000
Silver Linings Playbook Nov 16, 2012 Weinstein Company
$3,800,000 $27,300,000

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: Django Unchained, Les Miserables, Parental Guidance

2 Comments

  • orlando on 27 December 2012

    You guys put way too much stock in "The Hobbit" and you still have'nt learned you're lessons have you, just hardheaded, haha. First you went way overboard by overpredicting it's opening weekend and overall box office take, 445 million domestic, please gimmie a break. Now you actually think it will make more than it did last weekend and outgross "Django Unchained" & "Les Miserables" this weekend, you're the only site i know predicting this. Get over it "The Hoobit" is a hit but not nearly the hit you predicted and you're still desperately trying to hold out hope it's going to play like "LOTR" films, it's not.

  • lewislee23 on 29 December 2012

    ^ridiculous. The Hobbit outgrossed Les Miserables and Django Unchained on Thursday. And The Hobbit goes into its 3rd weekend, while LM and DU their 1st weekend. It is far more reasonable that TH will take #1 this weekend.

What do you think?