Long Range Forecast: 'Lone Survivor' & 'Her'

Featured Stories - on November 17, 2013 by BoxOffice Staff

jan10.pngExpanding to wide release on January 10 are Lone Survivor and Her.

Lone Survivor

PROS:

- The ensemble cast led by Mark Wahlberg could be very attractive for audiences early in the year.
- Awards buzz may propel the film if its limited December debut goes over well.
- Fans of Act of Valor could turn out for this one as well. 
- Wahlberg previously sent Contraband to success on the same weekend in 2012. 

CONS:

- Following a busy holiday season, it will be challenging to draw a large audience upfront.
- Are moviegoers ready for another true story military drama just one year after Zero Dark Thirty

Her

PROS:

- Awards buzz for Joaquin Phoenix and director Spike Jonze could go a long way.
- Releasing wide after the new year to avoid otherwise heavy competition. 

CONS:

- The somewhat esoteric premise could be off-putting for mainstream crowds.
- Jonze hasn't churned out many box office hits outside of Where the Wild Things Are.
- Despite awards recognition and a strong following, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind didn't gain a lot of box office traction with its similar hybrid of high-concept romance and sci-fi. 

Check out our forecast for these and other upcoming films in the table below.

 

Title Release Date Distribuitor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones Jan 3, 2014 Paramount
$18,000,000 $31,000,000
Lone Survivor Jan 10, 2014 Universal
$26,000,000 $74,000,000
Grudge Match Dec 25, 2013 Warner Bros.
$16,000,000 $70,000,000
47 Ronin Dec 25, 2013 Universal
$11,000,000 $47,000,000
The Wolf of Wall Street Dec 25, 2013 Paramount
$21,000,000 $100,000,000
The Secret Life of Walter Mitty Dec 25, 2013 Fox
$19,000,000 $90,000,000
Justin Bieber's Believe Dec 25, 2013 Open Road
$10,500,000 $36,000,000
Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues Dec 20, 2013 Paramount
$54,000,000 $185,000,000
Walking With Dinosaurs Dec 20, 2013 Fox
$9,000,000 $54,000,000
Her (2013) Jan 10, 2014 Warner Bros.
$7,000,000 $28,000,000
American Hustle Dec 13, 2013 Sony / Columbia
$15,000,000 $88,000,000
Saving Mr. Banks Dec 13, 2013 Disney
$14,000,000 $85,000,000
Tyler Perry's A Madea Christmas Dec 13, 2013 Lionsgate
$26,000,000 $70,000,000
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug Dec 13, 2013 Warner Bros. / New Line
$82,000,000 $280,000,000
Out of the Furnace Dec 6, 2013 Relativity Media
$10,000,000 $38,000,000
Oldboy (2013) Nov 27, 2013 FilmDistrict
$6,000,000 $22,000,000
Homefront Nov 27, 2013 Open Road
$7,000,000 $20,000,000
Black Nativity Nov 27, 2013 Fox Searchlight
$11,000,000 $33,000,000
Frozen (2013) Nov 22, 2013 Disney
$39,000,000 $180,000,000
Delivery Man Nov 22, 2013 Disney / DreamWorks
$11,500,000 $40,000,000
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire Nov 22, 2013 Lionsgate
$165,000,000 $385,000,000

* = 3-day weekend (Fri-Sun)

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: Lone Survivor, Her

1 Comment

  • Kenneth on 18 November 2013

    What about Herules that opens January 10?

What do you think?