Long Range Forecast: 'Pompeii' & '3 Days to Kill'

Featured Stories - on December 27, 2013 by BoxOffice Staff

feb21.pngFebruary 21's 3 Days to Kill and Pompeii have been added to our Long Range Forecast.

3 Days to Kill

PROS:

- Kevin Costner returns in an action-driven role that could appeal to older crowds during this slower time of year.
- Director McG has a few box office hits on his resume.
- The blend of action and comedy could help the film appeal equally to men and women. 

CONS:

- Costner hasn't been a draw, or very present for that matter, in years.
- McG's previous film, This Means War, was met with lukewarm reception in 2012.
- Liam Neeson's Non-Stop opens one week later. Could that hinder interest in this?

Pompeii

PROS:

- Director Paul W.S. Anderson has found solid box office success in the past with the Resident Evil franchise.
- Epics set during ancient times sometimes find modest success during this time of year, ala 2007's 300 and 2008's 10,000 B.C.
-
Star Kit Harrington will be recognizable to fans of HBO's wildly popular Game of Thrones. 

CONS:

- Anderson hasn't found much success outside of the Resident Evil series, his most recent effort being an outright bomb (The Three Musketeers).
- Competition from the previous weekend may hold back the essential younger audiences this film will be targeting.
- Early trailer reactions from the online community haven't been very encouraging.
- Harrington is a new player when it comes to the film-side of the business. 

Notable changes on our forecast include Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones (down).

Check out our forecast for these and other upcoming films in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor First Weekend of Wide Release Cumulative
3 Days to Kill Feb 21, 2014 Relativity Media
$12,000,000 $35,000,000
Pompeii Feb 21, 2014 Sony / TriStar
$15,000,000 $36,000,000
Vampire Academy Feb 14, 2014 Weinstein Company
$13,000,000** $25,000,000
Endless Love (2014) Feb 14, 2014 Universal
$18,000,000** $36,000,000
About Last Night Feb 14, 2014 Sony / Screen Gems
$28,000,000** $61,000,000
Winter's Tale Feb 14, 2014 Warner Bros.
$15,000,000** $31,000,000
Robocop (2014) Feb 12, 2014 Sony / Columbia
$23,000,000* $53,000,000
The Monuments Men Feb 7, 2014 Sony / Columbia
$22,000,000 $78,000,000
The LEGO Movie Feb 7, 2014 Warner Bros.
$43,000,000 $155,000,000
That Awkward Moment Jan 31, 2014 Focus / FilmDistrict
$10,000,000 $25,000,000
I, Frankenstein Jan 24, 2014 Lionsgate
$21,000,000 $52,000,000
Ride Along Jan 17, 2014 Universal
$31,000,000** $73,000,000
The Nut Job Jan 17, 2014 Open Road
$12,000,000** $38,000,000
Devil's Due Jan 17, 2014 Fox
$8,000,000** $17,000,000
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit Jan 17, 2014 Paramount
$26,000,000** $70,000,000
The Legend Of Hercules Jan 10, 2014 Lionsgate / Summit
$6,000,000 $14,000,000
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones Jan 3, 2014 Paramount
$14,000,000 $25,000,000

Lone Survivor: $26 million/$74 million
Her: $8 million/$32 million
Labor Day: $7 million/$23 million 

* = 3-day weekend (Fri-Sun)
** = 4-day weekend (Fri-Mon)

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report. 

Tags: Pompeii, 3 Days to Kill

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