Long Range Forecast: 'The LEGO Movie' & 'The Monuments Men'

Featured Stories - on December 13, 2013 by BoxOffice Staff

feb7.pngBoxOffice takes a first look at February 2014 with the addition of The LEGO Movie and The Monuments Men to our Long Range Forecast, slated to open February 7.

The LEGO Movie

PROS:

- The enduring popularity of the LEGO brand, which has extended from toys to video games and numerous direct-to-video/television specials.
- Appeal to older crowds should also be strong for an animated movie.
- Online buzz has been impressive since the first trailers debuted this year, partly driven by the presence of popular characters like Batman.

CONS:

- February isn't known for delivering many blockbusters, particularly in the animated genre as kids are back in school.
- Opening against The Monuments Men may deter any older crowds without young families.
- Is the brand strong enough to deliver strong numbers on the level of Wreck-It Ralph and Tron: Legacy?

The Monuments Men

PROS:

- The large ensemble cast of popular actors, led by George Clooney and Matt Damon.
- The release delay created some free press for the flick, helping to generate awareness early.
- The Ocean's Eleven-meets-Saving Private Ryan vibe could be very attractive for moviegoers during a time of year with few appealing options.

CONS:

- Clooney's directorial history hasn't produced any major box office hits (yet).
- The male-heavy flick will need a strong ad campaign to pull in female crowds.

Notable changes on our forecast this week include The Wolf of Wall Street (up), Walking with the Dinosaurs (down), The Secret Life of Walter Mitty (down).

Check out our forecast for these and other upcoming films in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor First Weekend of Wide Release Cumulative
The LEGO Movie Feb 7, 2014 Warner Bros.
$43,000,000 $155,000,000
The Monuments Men Feb 7, 2014 Sony / Columbia
$22,000,000 $78,000,000
That Awkward Moment Jan 31, 2014 Focus / FilmDistrict
$10,000,000 $25,000,000
I, Frankenstein Jan 24, 2014 Lionsgate
$21,000,000 $52,000,000
Ride Along Jan 17, 2014 Universal
$31,000,000** $73,000,000
Devil's Due Jan 17, 2014 Fox
$8,000,000** $17,000,000
The Nut Job Jan 17, 2014 Open Road
$12,000,000** $38,000,000
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit Jan 17, 2014 Paramount
$26,000,000** $70,000,000
The Legend Of Hercules Jan 10, 2014 Lionsgate / Summit
$6,000,000 $14,000,000
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones Jan 3, 2014 Paramount
$18,000,000 $31,000,000
Lone Survivor Dec 27, 2013 Universal
$26,000,000 $74,000,000
Labor Day (2013) Dec 27, 2013 Paramount
$7,000,000 $23,000,000
Grudge Match Dec 25, 2013 Warner Bros.
$16,000,000* $70,000,000
The Secret Life of Walter Mitty Dec 25, 2013 Fox
$17,000,000* $75,000,000
47 Ronin Dec 25, 2013 Universal
$11,000,000* $47,000,000
Justin Bieber's Believe Dec 25, 2013 Open Road
$10,000,000* $35,000,000
The Wolf of Wall Street Dec 25, 2013 Paramount
$25,000,000* $115,000,000
Walking With Dinosaurs Dec 20, 2013 Fox
$10,000,000 $60,000,000

Her: $8 million/$32 million
Saving Mr. Banks
: $14 million/$89 million
American Hustle: $18.5 million/$107 million
Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues: $48 million/$195 million

* = 3-day weekend (Fri-Sun)

* = 4-day weekend (Fri-Mon)

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report. 

Tags: The LEGO Movie, The Monuments Men

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