Long Range Forecast: 'Non-Stop', 'Son of God', & 'Welcome to Yesterday'

Featured Stories - on January 03, 2014 by BoxOffice Staff

feb28.pngThree late February releases--Non-Stop, Son of God and Welcome to Yesterday--join our Long Range Forecast this week.

Non-Stop

PROS:

- Liam Neeson has revitalized his box office career in recent years thanks to the Taken franchise, which found great success with its first entry during a winter 2009 release.
- After early January's Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit, adult crowds won't have much to choose from until this opens.
- Co-star Julianne Moore is a well-respected and appealing actress for older audiences.

CONS:

- Taken 2's lukewarm audience reception could have some effect here.
- Are audiences getting burned out on Neeson's action flicks?

Son of God

PROS:

- The television miniseries (The Bible) which this is edited down from was a huge ratings success in early 2013.
- Some Christian audiences will likely show up out of curiosity and/or not having seen the miniseries.

CONS:

- Very rarely do religiously themed films find a big audience at the box office in the vein of 2004's The Passion of the Christ.
- Fans of the miniseries could turn away knowing they've already seen a longer version of this film.

Welcome to Yesterday

PROS:

- The found-footage sci-fi feel is reminiscent of Chronicle, which beat box office expectations in early 2012 thanks to similar teenage appeal.
- Online trailer reactions have been fairly positive. 

CONS:

- The found-footage sub-genre has lost some of its box office potency recently.
- Fans of Chronicle aren't guaranteed to show up, and if they do, this film will have to generate similarly positive word of mouth on its own. 

Notable changes on our forecast this week include That Awkward Moment (up), The LEGO Movie (down).

Check out our forecast for these and other upcoming films in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor First Weekend of Wide Release Cumulative
Welcome to Yesterday Feb 28, 2014 Paramount
$18,000,000 $43,000,000
Non-Stop (2014) Feb 28, 2014 Universal
$21,000,000 $62,000,000
Son of God Feb 28, 2014 Fox
$10,000,000 $34,000,000
3 Days to Kill Feb 21, 2014 Relativity Media
$12,000,000 $35,000,000
Pompeii Feb 21, 2014 Sony / TriStar
$15,000,000 $36,000,000
About Last Night Feb 14, 2014 Sony / Screen Gems
$28,000,000** $61,000,000
Endless Love (2014) Feb 14, 2014 Universal
$18,000,000** $36,000,000
Vampire Academy Feb 14, 2014 Weinstein Company
$13,000,000** $25,000,000
Winter's Tale Feb 14, 2014 Warner Bros.
$15,000,000** $31,000,000
Robocop (2014) Feb 12, 2014 Sony / Columbia
$25,000,000** $57,000,000
The Monuments Men Feb 7, 2014 Sony / Columbia
$22,000,000 $78,000,000
The LEGO Movie Feb 7, 2014 Warner Bros.
$41,000,000 $150,000,000
That Awkward Moment Jan 31, 2014 Focus / FilmDistrict
$11,000,000 $28,000,000
I, Frankenstein Jan 24, 2014 Lionsgate
$21,000,000 $52,000,000
Ride Along Jan 17, 2014 Universal
$31,000,000** $73,000,000
The Nut Job Jan 17, 2014 Open Road
$12,000,000** $38,000,000
Devil's Due Jan 17, 2014 Fox
$8,000,000** $17,000,000
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit Jan 17, 2014 Paramount
$26,000,000** $70,000,000
The Legend Of Hercules Jan 10, 2014 Lionsgate / Summit
$5,500,000 $13,000,000

Her: $7 million/$32 million
Lone Survivor: $23 million/$70 million
Labor Day: $7 million/$23 million

* = 3-day weekend (Fri-Sun)
** = 4-day weekend (Fri-Mon)

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report. 

Tags: Non-Stop, Welcome to Yesterday, Son of God

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