Friday Estimates: ‘The Hitman’s Bodyguard’ Scores $8M, Eyes $21M Weekend; ‘Logan Lucky’ Earns $2.8M Toward $7.7M Debut
Saturday Update: The Hitman’s Bodyguard debuted in first place on Friday with an estimated $8 million, including Thursday evening’s grosses. That’s a healthy start for the buddy action/comedy as it came in 44 percent ahead of War Dogs‘ $5.55 million opening day one year ago this month. Based on similar films’ trajectories, the Ryan Reynolds/Samuel L. Jackson flick is on pace to earn around $21 million at the top spot this weekend.
Annabelle: Creation claimed second place yesterday with another $5 million, down an expected 67 percent from opening day last week. That gives it an eight-day domestic haul of $53.544 million. The horror prequel’s sophomore frame should tally close to $16.5 million.
Steven Soderbergh’s Logan Lucky bowed to $2.834 million yesterday, including Thursday night grosses. Unfortunately, that falls shy of pre-release expectations as the film’s unique marketing strategy doesn’t appear to be paying off on opening weekend in the way that was once hoped. Still, strong reviews and positive word of mouth could help the film find legs in the days and weeks ahead. Distributor Bleecker Street is projecting a $7.66 million opening weekend.
Christopher Nolan’s Dunkirk added another $2.03 million yesterday for a 35 percent Friday-to-Friday decline, bringing its domestic haul up to $160.84 million. This weekend should net close to $7.1 million.
Rounding out the top five, The Nut Job 2 posted $1.652 million to bring its eight-day tally up to $14.24 million. Its sophomore weekend could bring in around $5.8 million.
This weekend’s key projections are below. Updated weekend estimates from the studios will be published on Sunday.
|1||The Hitman’s Bodyguard||$21,000,000||—||3,377||—||$6,219||$21,000,000||1||Lionsgate / Summit|
|2||Annabelle: Creation||$16,500,000||-53%||3,542||40||$4,658||$65,044,221||2||Warner Bros. / New Line|
|3||Logan Lucky||$7,700,000||—||3,021||—||$2,549||$7,700,000||1||Bleeker Street|
|5||The Nut Job 2: Nutty By Nature||$5,800,000||-30%||4,003||0||$1,449||$8,383,645||2||Open Road|
|6||The Emoji Movie||$4,500,000||-30%||2,791||-428||$1,612||$71,917,352||4||Sony / Columbia|
|7||Spider-Man: Homecoming||$4,400,000||-27%||2,341||-266||$1,880||$314,201,381||7||Sony / Columbia|
|9||The Dark Tower||$3,700,000||-53%||3,143||-308||$1,177||$41,584,378||3||Sony / Columbia|
|10||The Glass Castle||$3,000,000||-36%||1,461||0||$2,053||$10,156,381||2||LionsgateLionsgate|
|12||Despicable Me 3||$2,300,000||-27%||1,551||-462||$1,483||$252,000,520||8||Universal|
|13||Atomic Blonde||$2,200,000||-51%||1,628||-465||$1,351||$47,178,855||4||Focus Features|
|14||War for the Planet of the Apes||$2,000,000||-45%||1,608||-490||$1,244||$140,947,203||6||Fox|
|1||Wind River||$3,300,000||439%||694||649||$4,755||$4,413,269||3||The Weinstein Company|
|2||The Big Sick||$2,100,000||43%||618||-91||$3,398||$39,165,430||9||Lionsgate|
|3||Wonder Woman||$1,100,000||-24%||803||-158||$1,370||$404,008,376||12||Warner Bros.|
|4||Baby Driver||$900,000||-38%||683||-182||$1,318||$101,733,441||8||Sony / TriStar|
|5||An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power||$270,000||-67%||514||-42||$525||$2,963,649||4||Paramount|
|7||47 Meters Down||$250,000||67%||146||-27||$1,712||$43,684,065||10||Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures|
|9||Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2||$179,000||-30%||195||-15||$918||$389,186,395||16||Disney|
|10||Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales||$170,000||53%||184||59||$924||$171,796,932||13||Disney|
|1||Patti Cake$||$66,500||—||14||—||$4,750||$66,500||1||Fox Searchlight|
Friday Update: Sources report that The Hitman’s Bodyguard took in an estimated $1.65 million from last night’s opening shows. That’s a healthy start for the buddy action/comedy starring Ryan Reynolds and Samuel L. Jackson, coming in 32 percent ahead of last year’s War Dogs which pulled $1.25 million from Thursday shows. Per our final forecasts, the film remains on target for an opening weekend between $16-20 million.
Meanwhile, Logan Lucky — the strongly reviewed return to the big screen from Steven Soderbergh — earned an estimated $525,000 in its debut last night. Considering the film’s unique (low-cost) marketing strategy, that falls within the expected range. One notable comp here could be The Nice Guys, which earned $700,000 in its Thursday debut back in May 2016 as part of an $11.2 million opening weekend. Whether or not positive word of mouth kicks in over the next few days will determine whether Lucky can crack the $10 million threshold this weekend.
Check this post on Saturday morning and follow us on Twitter for official Friday estimates from the studios, plus key weekend projections.