By Alex Edghill
Thursday Morning Update: Annabelle has really taken Twitter and Facebook by storm in its release week with a whopping 155,801 tweets over the last three days and over 1.5 million Facebook likes. Horrors have had a light year at the box office, with none in the genre surpassing $20 million on opening weekend but that is all about to change as these numbers are indeed very strong, indicating that the film has done a great job at tapping into the horror demographic. By comparison, The Conjuring had just over 120,000 tweets over the same three days leading up to its release and just 250k Facebook likes. Now Annabelle is no doubt benefitting from the huge popularity of her predecessor which discounts some of its massive numbers but even with that in mind it looks destined to be the number one horror on the year so far. $27 million is our official prediction here at Box Office, and when you consider its production budget of just $5 million then this is going to be another massive win for James Wan and company.
Gone Girl has been tearing up the Twitter charts, accounting for 33,091 tweets over the last three days while its Facebook like total of 115k has been much more tempered. The film is appealing primarily to older audiences 35+ and as such the lofty heights of its Twitter numbers have been eye opening. By comparison, Argo had just under 8,000 tweets over the same period and just 55,598 likes on Facebook, This looks to be a massive success waiting to happen as Argo should be a very good marker for its potential. We are predicting $31 million for it on the weekend which (surprisingly enough) will be director David Fincher's top debut ever.
Last up is the Christian effort Left Behind which has also been turning heads online, especially on Facebook where it has amassed over 1.3 million likes. Its Twitter number is a much more muted 2,500 but with a pretty generic title it is a much more difficult film to narrow down relevant tweets for than either of the other new openers this week. 2014 has really been the year of the Christian film as there have been numerous big successes including Son Of God, Heaven Is For Real, and God's Not Dead as well as films which have been marketed hard directly to the Christian demographic and done well - Dolphin Tale 2 and When The Game Stands Tall. Nicolas Cage here obviously gives the film a much higher profile and is perhaps attracting others outside of its core demo which will only help its chances. The Facebook number here stands way above the rest I mentioned earlier but its Twitter numbers have lagged (Heaven Is For Real had 30k tweets over the same three day period and Son Of God had 11k). The film is a remake and based on a popular series of novels so it did a headstart on Facebook because of that I suppose. We are calling for $7 million for it on opening weekend.
Twitter Top 15 Movies for Wednesday October 1st
|2 (-)||Taken 3||20,296||21,775||42,888||7.29%|
|4 (-)||The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1||15,670||13,731||52,080||-12.37%|
|5 (+2)||Gone Girl||10,808||13,152||33,091||21.69%|
|6 (-)||The Maze Runner||12,566||12,648||36,861||0.65%|
|8 (+3)||The Judge||4,238||7,916||12,986||86.79%|
|9 (-1)||The Equalizer||10,378||7,596||32,511||-26.81%|
|10 (+38)||Exodus: Gods and Kings||345||6,892||7,419||1897.68%|
|11 (+5)||Dracula Untold||3,222||5,299||9,211||64.46%|
|12 (-3)||If I Stay||6,224||4,948||17,508||-20.50%|
|13 (+1)||Men, Women & Children||3,375||4,210||8,632||24.74%|
|14 (-4)||Guardians of the Galaxy||5,832||3,957||14,983||-32.15%|
|15 (-3)||Magic Mike XXL||4,154||3,739||12,050||-9.99%|
By Daniel Garris
Sony's The Equalizer grossed $3.63 million on Tuesday to lead the daily box office for a fifth straight day. The action thriller starring Denzel Washington was up a very solid 22 percent over Monday's performance. The Equalizer surpassed the $40 million mark on Tuesday and has grossed $40.74 million in five days. That is in line with the film's lofty pre-release expectations and places the film nearly on par with the $40.93 million five-day start of 2010's The Book of Eli.
The Maze Runner held steady in second with $1.25 million. The young adult adaptation from Fox was up 29 percent from Monday and down a respectable 48 percent from last Tuesday. The Maze Runner surpassed the $60 million mark on Tuesday and has grossed $60.18 million through twelve days of release. The Maze Runner is already on the verge of reaching the $61.74 million final domestic gross of last year's Ender's Game.
The Boxtrolls took in $0.86 million to remain in third place. The latest 3D stop motion animated film from Focus and Laika increased 18 percent over Monday's performance. The Boxtrolls has grossed a stronger than expected $18.87 million in its first five days. That places the film 9 percent ahead of the $17.29 million five-day start of 2012's ParaNorman and 1 percent ahead of the $18.71 million five-day take of 2009's Coraline.
Warner's This Is Where I Leave You grossed $0.81 million to continue to claim fourth. The comedy starring Jason Bateman and Tina Fey was up a strong 41 percent over Monday and down just 33 percent from last Tuesday. This Is Where I Leave You has grossed $23.82 million in twelve days. While that is a bit below expectations, the film continues to display very solid holding power thus far.
Universal's A Walk Among the Tombstones rounded out the day's unchanged top five with $0.54 million. The action thriller starring Liam Neeson was up 38 percent from Monday, but still down a sharp 57 percent from last Tuesday. A Walk Among the Tombstones has grossed an underwhelming $21.76 million in twelve days and continues to display early signs of being significantly front-loaded.
New Thriller Poised to Be One of The Biggest October Openings Ever, Pacing Similar to ‘Gravity' and Outselling Director David Fincher's and Ben Affleck's Previous Films on Fandango
LOS ANGELES - October 1, 2014 - According to Fandango, the nation's leading moviegoer destination, the new thriller "Gone Girl," based on Gillian Flynn's best-selling page-turner, is poised to be one of the biggest October openings in Fandango's 14-year history. Scoring a strong 89 out of 100 points on Fandango's Fanticipation movie buzz indicator, the film is pacing similarly to "Gravity" (which opened on October 4, 2013), and is outselling previous October releases, "Paranormal Activity 3," "Jackass 3D" and "Taken 2," at the same point in the sales cycle on Fandango.
"Gone Girl" is also outselling the previous films of star Ben Affleck (including his Oscar winner, "Argo," released in October 2012) and director David Fincher (including "The Social Network," "Panic Room" and "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button") at the same sales point on Fandango.
To support the gripping "Gone Girl" movie ticket sales, Fandango is offering a free eBook download of the #1 New York Times best-seller on NOOK reading apps, with a Fandango ticket purchase. The offer is valid through 9:00 AM PDT on October 6, while supplies last.
With diverse choices at the box office, "Gone Girl" represents 66% of Fandango weekend's ticket sales, as of Wednesday 2 PM EDT, while the horror thriller "Annabelle" and Nicolas Cage's faith-based "Left Behind" represents 13% and 8% of sales, respectively. "Annabelle" is outselling its predecessor, "The Conjuring," and the previous horror hits, "Insidious" and "The Purge," at the same point in the Fandango sales cycle.
According to an online survey of more than 1,000 "Gone Girl" ticket-buyers on Fandango:
*71% are fans of star Ben Affleck;
*64% have read the book by Gillian Flynn;
*55% are fans of director David Fincher.
"The much-anticipated movie of ‘Gone Girl' is as riveting as the book," says Fandango Chief Correspondent Dave Karger. "Its strong advance ticket sales are a testament to the power of Gillian Flynn's story and to the creative talent behind the production. In a real show of box office variety, ‘Annabelle,' the prequel to last year's horror smash, ‘The Conjuring,' is scaring up robust ticket sales, appealing to fright fans looking for pre-Halloween thrills."
About Fandango's Fanticipation
Known for having its finger on the pulse of moviegoers, Fandango's movie buzz indicator, Fanticipation, provides statistical insight into the movies fans are planning to see in a given weekend. Fanticipation scores (based on a 1 to 100-point scale) are calculated via an algorithm of Fandango's advance ticket sales, website and mobile traffic, and social media engagement. Fanticipation is not intended as a forecast of the weekend box office; it is a snapshot of movie fan sentiment.
By Daniel Garris
Sony's The Equalizer took in $2.97 million to lead the daily box office with ease on Monday. The action thriller starring Denzel Washington has led the daily box office for four consecutive days. The Equalizer was down 64 percent from Sunday, which represented one of the day's stronger daily percentage holds among wide releases. The Equalizer continues to perform in line with the higher end of its lofty pre-release expectations with a healthy four-day start of $37.11 million. That places the film 3.5 percent behind the $38.44 million four-day take of 2010's The Book of Eli (which had the advantage of its first Monday falling on Martin Luther King Day).
The Maze Runner placed in second with $0.97 million. The young adult adaptation from Fox continues to hold up relatively well, as it was down 77 percent from Sunday and down 48 percent from last Monday. The Maze Runner has grossed a strong $58.92 million in eleven days and is set to clear the $60 million mark either today or Wednesday. The film is currently running 29 percent ahead of the $45.59 million eleven-day take of last year's Ender's Game and is already on the verge of reaching the $61.74 million final domestic gross of Ender's Game.
The Boxtrolls claimed third place with $0.73 million. The latest 3D stop motion animated film from Focus and Laika was down a sizable 85 percent from Sunday, which is a sign of the film skewing heavily towards family audiences. The Boxtrolls has grossed a stronger than expected $18.01 million in four days. That places the film 16 percent ahead of the $15.54 million start of 2012's ParaNorman.
Warner's This Is Where I Leave You took fourth place with $0.58 million. The comedy starring Jason Bateman and Tina Fey was down 64 percent from Sunday and down just 33 percent from last Monday. This Is Where I Leave You has grossed $23.02 million in eleven days. While that is a bit below expectations, the film continues to display very solid holding power thus far.
Universal's A Walk Among the Tombstones rounded out Monday's top five with $0.39 million. The action thriller starring Liam Neeson was down 63 percent from Sunday and down a sharp 59 percent from last Monday. A Walk Among the Tombstones has grossed an underwhelming $21.22 million in eleven days and continues to display early signs of being significantly front-loaded.