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Oscar Nominations: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel' Leads Commercially-Weak List Of Nominees; Which Best Picture Nominee Will Gain The Most At The Box Office? on January 15, 2015

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With $173 million in the bank globally, The Grand Budapest Hotel is the strongest earner of the eight Best Picture nominees. Yet it's clear that with a promising nationwide expansion coming this weekend--BoxOffice.com predicts $57 million over four days--American Sniper has the most to gain commercially now that the nominations are out. BoxOffice projects that the eight nominees could earn more than $340 million domestically post nods. 

Selma is positioned well since its expansion only started last weekend. The Imitation Game is in the middle of its run, but it could end up doubling its current total thanks not only to the Best Picture nomination but also publicity from Benedict Cumberbatch's Best Actor nod. (The Theory of Everything will benefit in a similar way.) Boyhood and The Grand Budapest Hotel will gain the least theatrically since they are already available on home-viewing platforms.

The eight Best Picture nominees have grossed a combined $209.2 million as of Tuesday. In 2013, the Best Picture nominees had already earned $648.7 million domestic before nominations, and then posted a combined $164 million in domestic gains earned after nominations. 2012 delivered bigger gains with $376.5 million after nominations were announced. The 2012 crop of nominees had $625.6 million in the bank before nomination morning. 

Here are key stats for this year's Best Picture nominees:

American Sniper
Domestic Gross as of 1/12/15: $3.3 million
Projected Final Domestic Gross (by BoxOffice.com): $200 million
Global Gross as of 1/11/15: $14.6 million

Birdman
Domestic Gross as of 1/12/15:
$26.5 million
Projected Final Domestic Gross: $45 million
Global Gross as of 1/11/15: $34.4 million

Boyhood
Domestic Gross as of 1/12/15:
$24.3 million
Projected Final Domestic Gross: $35 million
Global Gross as of 1/11/15: $45.2 million 

The Grand Budapest Hotel
Domestic Gross as of 1/12/15:
$59.1 million
Projected Final Domestic Gross: $65 million
Global Gross as of 1/11/15: $173.8 million

The Imitation Game
Domestic Gross as of 1/12/15:
$42.0 million
Projected Final Domestic Gross: $80 million
Global Gross as of 1/11/15: $73.1 million 

Selma
Domestic Gross as of 1/12/15:
$15.5 million
Projected Final Domestic Gross: $75 million
Global Gross as of 1/11/15: $15.5 million

The Theory of Everything
Domestic Gross as of 1/12/15:
$26.1 million
Projected Final Domestic Gross: $45 million
Global Gross as of 1/11/15: $46.4 million

Whiplash
Domestic Gross as of 1/12/15:
$6.0 million
Projected Final Domestic Gross: $15 million
Global Gross as of 1/11/15: $10.6 million 

Expected Combined Domestic Gains from all 8 films after nominations: $346.4 million

 

NORTH AMERICA: 'Taken 3' Takes First on Tuesday with $3.29M; 'Selma' Holds Up Nicely in Second with $1.16M on January 14, 2015

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By Daniel Garris

Fox's Taken 3 grossed $3.29 million on Tuesday to easily lead the daily box office for a fifth straight day. The third installment of the Liam Neeson led franchise was up 36 percent over Monday. Daily percentage increases were especially strong in general on Tuesday due in part to Monday's grosses being deflated a bit by the College Football Playoff National Championship game. Taken 3 has grossed a stronger than expected $44.91 million in five days. That places the film a reasonable 24 percent behind the $58.97 million five-day start of 2012's Taken 2.

Paramount's Selma held steady in second place with $1.16 million. The modestly budgeted Ava DuVernay directed awards season hopeful was up a healthy 46 percent over Monday. Selma has grossed a softer than expected $15.55 million after five days of wide release. The film will likely hold up very nicely over the next week, especially with aid from the upcoming Martin Luther King holiday weekend and strong word of mouth.

The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies took in $1.00 million to remain in third. The third installment of Warner's The Hobbit trilogy was up 39 percent over Monday and down a sharp 48 percent from last Tuesday. The Battle of the Five Armies has grossed $238.18 million in 28 days and is now running just 2 percent ahead of the $234.20 million 28-day gross of 2012's The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug.

The Imitation Game was up one spot and an impressive 63 percent over Monday to take fourth on Tuesday with $0.987 million. The awards season hopeful from The Weinstein Company continues to display very strong holding power thanks in part to strong word of mouth and continued awards season buzz. The Imitation Game has grossed $42.02 million to date and should continue to hold up very well going forward.

Unbroken was down one spot from Monday to round out Tuesday's top five with $0.941 million. The Angelina Jolie directed war drama from Universal was up a strong 54 percent over Monday and down 43 percent from last Tuesday. Unbroken continues to exceed expectations with $102.96 million in 20 days.

Disney's Into the Woods took in $0.826 million to continue to claim sixth place. The Rob Marshall directed musical increased 39 percent over Monday and was down a very solid 37 percent from last Tuesday. Into the Woods has grossed a healthy $106.49 million through 20 days of release.

In other box office news, Fox's Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb surpassed the $100 million domestic mark yesterday after placing in seventh for the day with $0.447 million. The 26-day total for Secret of the Tomb stands at $100.31 million.

NORTH AMERICA: 'Taken 3' Surpasses $40M Mark After Easily Leading Monday with $2.42M on January 13, 2015

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By Daniel Garris

Fox's Taken 3 took in $2.42 million on Monday to easily lead the daily box office for a fourth consecutive day. The third installment of the Liam Neeson led franchise was down 72 percent from Sunday. Taken 3 surpassed the $40 million mark on Monday and continues to outpace pre-release expectations with a strong $41.62 million in four days. Taken 3 is currently running a reasonable 24 percent behind the $55.02 million four-day start of 2012's Taken 2.

Paramount's Selma placed in a distant second with $0.796 million. Like Taken 3, the Ava DuVernay directed awards season hopeful was also down 72 percent from Sunday. Selma has grossed a softer than expected $14.39 million after four days of wide release, but is still performing respectably with its modest price tag in mind. The film will hope to hold up well in the coming days, especially with aid from the upcoming Martin Luther King holiday weekend.

The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies followed closely behind in third with $0.721 million. The third installment of Warner's The Hobbit trilogy fell 73 percent from Sunday and a sharp 60 percent from last Monday. The Battle of the Five Armies has grossed $237.18 million in 27 days and is now running just 2 percent ahead of the $233.10 million 27-day gross of 2012's The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug.

Unbroken took fourth place with $0.612 million. The Angelina Jolie directed war drama from Universal was down 68 percent from Sunday and down 57 percent from last Monday. Unbroken continues to exceed expectations with $102.02 million in 19 days. The film is running 8 percent ahead of the $94.82 million 19-day gross of 2008's The Curious Case of Benjamin Button.

The Imitation Game rounded out Monday's top five with $0.607 million. The awards season hopeful from The Weinstein Company decreased 65 percent from Sunday and only 4 percent from last Monday. The Imitation Game has grossed $41.04 million to date and should continue to hold up very nicely throughout the rest of the awards season.

Disney's Into the Woods claimed sixth place with $0.595 million. The Rob Marshall directed musical was down 77 percent from Sunday and down 55 percent from last Monday. Into the Woods has grossed a healthy $105.67 million in 19 days. That places the film 9 percent behind the $116.16 million 19-day take of 2012's Les Misérables.

GLOBAL REPORT: 'Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb' Leads the Pack After a Big Debut in China; 'Taken 3' Off to a Hot Start After $40M+ Weekend Overseas on January 11, 2015

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Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb used a great opening in China, where it earned $26.7 million from 3,887 screens, to lift its overseas total to $148.6 million. The total weekend tally outside of North America brought in $46.2 million from 47 markets. Russia also contributed a strong start out of the gate with a $6.2 million debut from 1,690 screens. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb has grossed a global total of $248 million.

Taken 3 also enjoyed a strong weekend overseas, bringing in $1 million from 36 markets. The United Kingdom contributed a $10.9 million debut from 800 screens, followed by a $4.8 million bow from 287 screens in Australia. Taken 3 has already earned $52.3 million overseas and $92.6 million worldwide.

The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies brought in $21.8 million over the weekend. The film has now grossed a total of $545.3 million outside of North America, with China scheduled for a January 23 release.  Top markets include Germany ($74.4M), the UK ($61.1M), France ($44.2M), Russia ($29.3M), Australia ($23.8M), and South Korea ($22M). The film has grossed $781.6 million globally.

Exodus: Gods and Kings earned $15 million from 41 markets, lifting its overseas cume to $168.1 million. The film has grossed a total of $231.6 million globally. Ridley Scott's Biblical epic expands to Italy next weekend

Big Hero 6 grossed $12.6 million from 54 territories this weekend. The film's leading markets include Japan ($44.4M), Russia ($20.2M), Mexico ($16.9M), Australia ($11.9M), and Italy ($11.3M). Big Hero 6 has grossed $194.5 million overseas and $408.9 million worldwide.

Penguins of Madagascar crossed the $200 million mark overseas after finishing the weekend with $9 million from 29 markets. The animated film has grossed a total of $207.9 million outside of North America and $287.7 million worldwide.

Seventh Son brought in $8.1 million from 34 territories over the weekend, including #1 openings in the Philippines, Bulgaria, Egypt, the Middle East and United Arab Emirates. Russia continues to lead all global markets after a second consecutive first place finish, bringing its market cume up to $15 million Seventh Son has grossed $35.7 million worldwide ahead of its North American release. The film will expand to 28 more territories over the next few months.

Unbroken added $5.7 million from 24 territories, raising its overseas cume to $14 million. France enjoyed a #2 debut behind domestic hit La Famille Belier with $1.5 million at 315 dates. The film took the #4 spot in its South Korean premiere with $1.4 million from 297 dates. Unbroken has grossed $115.7 million worldwide with 39 territories left in its overseas run.

Ouija continues to score scares around the world, bringing in $5.4 million from weekend screenings. The film opened in first place in Mexico with a $2.7 million take at 633 dates. The horror flick has grossed $33.5 million outside of North America and $84.3 million worldwide.
 
The Theory of Everything took in $5.1 million from 12 territories. A strong $3.9 million holdover weekend in the United Kingdom lifts the film to a $12.3 million market total after 10 days in the UK. The biopic has grossed a total of $20.3 million outside of North America and $46.1 million worldwide. The film will expand to 45 more territories over the next several months.

American Sniper continues its successful run in Italy. The film added $4.2 million from 492 screens to its market total, claiming the top spot at the box office. American Sniper is now director Clint Eastwood's highest grossing film of all time in Italy.

Fury grossed $4.2 million over the weekend, taking its overseas cume up to $115.6 million. The war drama took a #1 debut in Spain, where it grossed $1.8 million from 385 screens. Fury has grossed $201.1 million worldwide.

Into the Woods opened in the UK with a $3.8 million haul, leading the weekend's $7.6 million overseas haul from 15 territories. The musical has grossed $15.3 million overseas and $120.5 million worldwide.

Horrible Bosses 2 earned $3.1 million from 30 territories over the weekend. The film has grossed a total of $52 million outside of North America and $105.8 million globally.  

Birdman brought in $2.4 million from 4 markets as awards season heats up. The Oscar contender has grossed $7.9 million overseas and $34.1 million globally.

Annie brought in $1.4 million from 19 territories this weekend. The musical has now grossed a total of $19.4 million overseas, without counting China's results from more than 6,000 screens. Annie has grossed $98.8 million globally.

 


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