The official press release from Fandango:
LOS ANGELES - April 10, 2014 - According to Fandango, the nation's leading moviegoer destination, "Captain America: The Winter Soldier," in its second weekend, and "Rio 2," the animated adventure sequel, are ranking at the top of the Fanticipation movie buzz indicator, scoring a 87 and 86 out of 100 points, respectively. "Captain" and "Rio" are neck and neck in today's sales on Fandango, with each film representing roughly 25% of tickets.
"Rio 2" is outselling "The Croods," "Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2" and Fox Blue Sky Studios' previous adventure, "Epic" at the same point in those films' sales cycle.
"Families are hungry for exotic animated adventures," says Fandango Chief Correspondent Dave Karger. "With the addition of Bruno Mars and other celebrity voice-overs, ‘Rio 2' is just the kind of film kids want to see."
On Fandango's movie recommendation show, "Weekend Ticket," Karger breaks down this weekend's new releases and asks "Draft Day" star Jennifer Garner about her co-star Kevin Costner in the sports dramedy. "It totally flipped me out acting opposite him," says Garner. "I tried to say to myself, ‘Jennifer, calm down'." In a lightning-round quiz, Karger also grills Garner on her favorite sports teams, movies, and athletes. The full episode can be found at http://www.fandango.com/WeekendTicket.
About Fandango's Fanticipation
Known for having its finger on the pulse of moviegoers, Fandango's movie buzz indicator, Fanticipation, provides statistical insight into the movies fans are planning to see in a given weekend. Fanticipation scores (based on a 1 to 100-point scale) are calculated via an algorithm of Fandango's advance ticket sales, website and mobile traffic, and social media engagement. Fanticipation is not intended as a forecast of the weekend box office; it is a snapshot of movie fan sentiment.
By Alex Edghill
Thursday Morning Update: Rio 2 continued its ascent on Wednesday with a 54% jump to 10,524 tweets, up from Tuesday's 6,814 tweets. By comparison, The LEGO Movie had 18,155 tweets its Wednesday before release, and Peabody And Sherman had 6,126. Two strong holds in a row on release week and favorable comparisons to the last two major family films all point to box office gold here. $40 million looks likely, which would be a shade over the $39 million the first opened to and actually a big win since sequels to animated films can often have trouble even matching the same levels of success. This would appear to be an exception.
Draft Day improved a further 26% on Wednesday to 2,106 tweets, up from 1,677 the day before. By comparison, 3 Days To Kill had just 1,296 its Wednesday before release. There is no denying that there is a sizeable interest in the film this weekend which actually leads us here at Box Office to believe that it can top Oculus for second spot amongst the new openers. Expect $13.5 million for it and Costner's best opening weekend performance as top-liner since Open Range generated $14 million back in August of 2003 (I purposely skipped The Guardian since Ashton Kutcher was a large part of the draw there). Things are looking rosy for Mr. Costner once again in Hollywood.
Oculus recovered on Wednesday to post a 36% gain to 8,465 tweets up from 6,242 tweets on Tuesday. By comparison, Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones had a similar 8,743 tweets its Wednesday before release. The panic brought on by the drop yesterday has subsided somewhat thanks to this solid increase and it looks like $13 million will be possible. No its not the next Paranormal Activity but with strong reviews it should have solid word of mouth and if its backers are lucky it can translate that into a sequel or five for even bigger returns in the future. Insidious comes to mind as an apt comparison.
Top 15 Movies for Wednesday April 9th
|2 (-1)||Captain America: The Winter Soldier||82,347||56,129||234,623||-31.84%|
|3 (+8)||22 Jump Street||4,278||32,156||42,298||651.66%|
|4 (+14)||A Haunted House 2||2,184||30,631||36,793||1302.52%|
|5 (+26)||The Purge: Anarchy||834||29,588||33,010||3447.72%|
|6 (+27)||Think Like a Man Too||787||29,309||32,500||3624.14%|
|7 (-4)||The Fault in Our Stars||17,720||12,817||58,389||-27.67%|
|8 (-4)||The Amazing Spider-Man 2||10,026||11,974||34,290||19.43%|
|9 (-4)||Rio 2||6,814||10,524||21,672||54.45%|
|12 (-)||Avengers: Age of Ultron||4,274||6,144||15,089||43.75%|
|14 (-5)||Godzilla (2014)||4,603||2,938||17,552||-36.17%|
|15 (+7)||X-Men: Days of Future Past||1,498||2,863||7,260||91.12%|
|21 (-)||Draft Day||1,677||2,106||4,877||25.58%|
Wednesday Morning Update: Rio 2 leapfrogged Oculus on Tuesday as it rose 57% to 6,814 tweets, up from 4,334 tweets on Monday. Strong jump for a family film which has really raised its stock in my eyes. By comparison, The LEGO Movie had 14,586 tweets its Tuesday before release, and Peabody And Sherman had 4,950. Interesting point to note is that both those comparison films saw Monday to Tuesday increases of under 22%, not to belabor the point but things are definitely looking up considering all the signs.
Oculus stumbled a bit on Tuesday as it fell almost 20% to 6,242 tweets, down from Monday's 7,791 tweets. For the horror/supernatural genre a drop as large as this in its release week is usually never a good sign. By comparison, Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones had 6,320 tweets its Tuesday before release. The numbers are still hefty which is encouraging but I'll be curious to see its returns tomorrow and if they drop again or rise once more. I still think double digits look likely but I'm afraid that there is going to be no breakout beyond that with a drop such as this in play.
Draft Day had a hefty 53% jump to 1,677 tweets, greatly improving on its return of 1,094 tweets from Monday. By comparison, 3 Days To Kill had 1,293 tweets its Tuesday before release. This is another surprisingly strong return, enough so to make teen millions look like more than a possibility.
Top 15 Movies for Tuesday April 8th
|1 (-)||Captain America: The Winter Soldier||96,147||82,347||178,494||-14.35%|
|3 (-)||The Fault in Our Stars||27,852||17,720||45,572||-36.38%|
|4 (-)||The Amazing Spider-Man 2||12,290||10,026||22,316||-18.42%|
|5 (+6)||Rio 2||4,334||6,814||11,148||57.22%|
|7 (+19)||Muppets Most Wanted||1,592||5,258||6,850||230.28%|
|9 (-4)||Godzilla (2014)||10,011||4,603||14,614||-54.02%|
|11 (-3)||22 Jump Street||5,864||4,278||10,142||-27.05%|
|12 (-3)||Avengers: Age of Ultron||4,671||4,274||8,945||-8.50%|
|13 (-)||The LEGO Movie||3,406||3,902||7,308||14.56%|
|14 (+10)||Neighbors (2014)||1,737||3,738||5,475||115.20%|
|15 (+3)||Guardians of the Galaxy||2,617||3,700||6,317||41.38%|
|21 (+8)||Draft Day||1,094||1,677||2,771||53.29%|
Tuesday Morning Update: Oculus began the week with 7,791 tweets which was up over 50% from Sunday, giving it top billing amongst this week's crop of new openers. Horrors and supernatural films have a history of generating a ton of buzz on Twitter and tend to have some of the largest tweet to box office dollar ratios. By comparison, Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones had 5,214 tweets back in January for its Monday before release. This is indeed a promising start for the film as it attempts to tap into the horror demographic, one which has been largely underserved since January. As is the case with most films of the 'Indiewood' genre (i.e low budget feature films born from independent means outside of the major Hollywood studio system) all this really needs is a double digit opening to be a success and this is well on its way towards that goal based on its Monday returns.
Rio 2 finished a ways back on Monday with 4,334 tweets, up just under 40% from its Sunday returns. No its not close to Oculus, but when you consider that it is a family film and they have much less buzz in general, coupled with the fact that the first Rio film had just 593 tweets on its Monday before release you realize that this is actually a roaring start. By comparison, The LEGO Movie had 12,170 tweets its Monday before release while Mr. Peabody And Sherman had 4,081. Based on these two comparisons I'd say $30 million plus is a lock, though I'm not as confident that it has enough gas in the tank to eclipse the $40 million opening of the original.
Coming into the year Kevin Costner had been in three films in six and a half years, but Draft Day will mark his third film in the last three months. It finished way off the pace with 1,094 tweets on the day, and had the smallest increase of the new openers from Sunday of only 30%. It will appeal to primarily an older North American male audience. By comparison, 3 Days To Kill had 785 tweets its Monday before release. Costner has always done well with the sports genre and with this ahead of 3 Days in the early goings it looks very likely that it will see double figures, and maybe even teen millions over the weekend. With a reported budget of $20 million this should allow it to be a profitable feature and no doubt continue the resurgence of Costner. Could he be the next Liam Neeson?
Top 15 Movies for Monday April 7th
|1 (-)||Captain America: The Winter Soldier||133,375||96,147||-27.91%|
|3 (-)||The Fault in Our Stars||67,877||27,852||-58.97%|
|4 (+5)||The Amazing Spider-Man 2||4,847||12,290||153.56%|
|5 (-)||Godzilla (2014)||9,857||10,011||1.56%|
|8 (+9)||22 Jump Street||1,746||5,864||235.85%|
|9 (-5)||Avengers: Age of Ultron||10,032||4,671||-53.44%|
|11 (+1)||Rio 2||3,116||4,334||39.09%|
|12 (+3)||A Haunted House 2||1,856||3,978||114.33%|
|13 (-2)||The LEGO Movie||3,286||3,406||3.65%|
|14 (+14)||Hercules (2014)||1,073||3,114||190.21%|
|29 (+2)||Draft Day||844||1,094||29.62%|
By Daniel Garris
Captain America: The Winter Soldier remained comfortably in first place on Tuesday with $6.98 million. The 3D superhero sequel from Disney and Marvel increased a healthy 12 percent over Monday's performance. It should be noted that daily increases were strong in general on Tuesday due in part to Monday's grosses being deflated a bit from the NCAA Basketball Championship. With a strong five-day start of $108.22 million, Captain America: The Winter Soldier is currently running 7 percent ahead of the $101.399 million five-day take of last year's Thor: The Dark World. Captain America: The Winter Soldier will likely find itself in a fairly close race with Fox's Rio 2 for first place over the upcoming weekend.
Paramount's Noah held steady in second place with $1.64 million. The Darren Aronofsky directed biblical epic starring Russell Crowe increased 31 percent over Monday, but was still down a sharp 55 percent from last Tuesday, due in part to the momentum it lost once Captain America: The Winter Soldier entered the marketplace. With a twelve-day take of $75.28 million, Noah is currently running 8 percent behind the recent $82.17 million twelve-day gross of 300: Rise of an Empire.
Lionsgate's Divergent grossed $1.03 million to remain in third. The successful young adult adaptation starring Shailene Woodley was up 28 percent from Monday and down 47 percent from last Tuesday. Divergent has grossed $115.83 million through 19 days of release, thanks in part to relatively strong holding power for a young adult adaptation.
God's Not Dead took in $0.819 million to continue to claim fourth place. The break-out faith-based drama from Freestyle and Pure Flix was up 25 percent over Monday and up an impressive 1 percent over last Tuesday. With a stronger than expected 19-day take of $34.03 million, God's Not Dead is now on the verge of surpassing the $34.52 million final gross of 2011's Courageous.
Fox Searchlight's The Grand Budapest Hotel rounded out the day's unchanged top five with $0.680 million. The critically acclaimed Wes Anderson directed film was up a strong 35 percent over Monday and down just 16 percent from last Tuesday. The Grand Budapest Hotel has grossed $34.38 million in 33 days.
By Daniel Garris
Captain America: The Winter Soldier comfortably remained in first place on Monday with $6.22 million. In the process, the 3D superhero sequel from Disney and Marvel surpassed the $100 million domestic milestone yesterday. Captain America: The Winter Soldier was down 73 percent from Sunday's performance. It should be noted that the marketplace in general took a bit of a hit on Monday from the NCAA Basketball Championship. With a strong four-day start of $101.24 million, Captain America: The Winter Soldier is currently running 5 percent ahead of the $96.16 million four-day take of last year's Thor: The Dark World.
Paramount's Noah placed in a distant second place with $1.26 million. The Darren Aronofsky directed biblical epic starring Russell Crowe was down 75 percent from Sunday and down a sharp 60 percent from last Monday. Noah has grossed $73.64 million in eleven days, but has clearly lost a lot of momentum once Captain America: The Winter Soldier entered the marketplace. Noah is currently running 8 percent behind the recent $80.14 million eleven-day gross of 300: Rise of an Empire.
Lionsgate's Divergent claimed third with $0.803 million. The young adult adaptation starring Shailene Woodley fell 74 percent from Sunday and 52 percent from last Monday. Divergent has grossed $114.81 million through 18 days of release. That places the film just 18 percent behind the $139.34 million 18-day start of 2008's Twilight.
God's Not Dead took fourth place with $0.655 million. The faith-based drama from Freestyle and Pure Flix was down 74 percent from Sunday and down a very slim 10 percent from last Monday. With a stronger than expected 18-day take of $33.21 million, God's Not Dead is now on the verge of surpassing the $34.52 million final gross of 2011's Courageous.
Fox Searchlight's The Grand Budapest Hotel rounded out the day's top five with $0.505 million. The critically acclaimed Wes Anderson directed film fell 68 percent from Sunday and 27.5 percent from last Monday. The Grand Budapest Hotel has grossed $33.70 million in 32 days.