Saturday Update: Paramount reports that Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation earned a solid $20.3 million on opening day Friday, including Thursday night's $4 million start. Yesterday's bow was almost 4 percent stronger than 2011's Rise of the Planet of the Apes ($19.5 million), which also opened in early August. Rogue's first day take is also 22 percent higher than Mission: Impossible III's $16.6 million bow in May 2006, which adjusts to a comparable $20.6 million using 2015 ticket prices. Early word of mouth for the fifth installment in the series is excellent as the pic boasts an "A-" CinemaScore and a 93 percent Flixster user score, one of the three best day-after-release scores among all 2015 releases -- and that's on top of its excellent 93 percent rating from critics. Beyond the film's strong reviews, goodwill from the previous blockbuster installment (Ghost Protocol) is carrying over here. We fully expect long legs throughout the remainder of summer. BoxOffice is projecting an opening weekend around $55 million for the Tom Cruise vehicle.
In second place, the Vacation revamp added $4.5 million on Friday, giving it a domestic total of $10.82 million through three days of play. By comparison, that's 46 percent lower than We're the Millers at the same point. Unfortunately, the comedy sequel isn't finding much traction following negative reviews (28 percent on Rotten Tomatoes) and poor word of mouth (64 percent on Flixster; "B" CinemaScore). BoxOffice is projecting a three-day weekend of $13.9 million for Vacation, which would give it a disappointing overall five-day start of $20.2 million.
Meanwhile, Ant-Man claimed third place yesterday with $3.625 million (off 50 percent from last Friday). That gives Marvel's 12th chapter $123.15 million through 15 days of release. BoxOffice projects a $12.4 million third frame.
Just behind in fourth place, Minions declined 47 percent from last Friday to $3.6 million yesterday. The prequel has now banked $278.8 million domestically. Look for a weekend around $12 million, according to Universal.
Filling out the top five, Pixels sank 65 percent from its opening day last week to $3.15 million yesterday. With an underwhelming eight-day domestic tally of $38.36 million, the Adam Sandler pic is heading toward a sophomore frame around $10.3 million.
Check BoxOffice on Sunday for official weekend estimates from the studios.
Friday Update #2: Sources report that Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation is trending for a possible opening day close to $20 million. If that early projection holds, the well-reviewed Tom Cruise franchise pic could be heading for an opening weekend of $50 million or more.
Meanwhile, Vacation is heading for a three-day frame around $12-13 million, which would give it a disappointing five-day opening south of $20 million. The comedy franchise revival could even potentially rank behind Ant-Man and Minions for the weekend.
Check BoxOffice on Saturday morning for more concrete weekend projections based on the studios' official Friday estimates.
Friday Update #1: Paramount reports this morning that Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation earned an estimated $4.0 million from Thursday's opening night shows. That's a strong start for the fifth entry in the Tom Cruise franchise, besting the $3.7 million earned by Mad Max: Fury Road in May and nearly matching Dawn of the Planet of the Apes' $4.1 million Thursday start last summer. It remains to be seen how front-loaded the new Mission will be, but with strong reviews, excellent early word of mouth, and an audience that will likely skew older, things are trending toward solid opening weekend.
Meanwhile, Vacation was off 36 percent from opening day to an estimated $2.46 million on Thursday. That's a somewhat sharper drop than the 30.5 percent Wed-to-Thu decline seen by 2013's We're the Millers, putting Vacation a little over 45 percent behind that film's two-day total with $6.28 million.
More to come later today and throughout the weekend.
Thursday Update: Warner Bros. reports that Vacation took in an estimated $3.805 million on opening day Wednesday, including Tuesday's early grosses. By comparison, that's 44 percent below the Wednesday bow ($6.78 million) of August 2013's We're the Millers.
Wednesday Update: Warner Bros. reports that Vacation grossed $1.2 million from last night's early shows. That's a solid start for the franchise sequel, although it falls short of the $1.7 million earned by We're the Millers in August 2013 with its mid-week release. The latter flick went on to tally $37.9 million over its five-day debut (including a $26.4 million three-day weekend). Considering poor reviews are plaguing the Vacation revival, the film won't hit that level of performance in the coming days. At its current pace, a five-day bow below $30 million is looking more likely.
More updates as they come throughout the week and weekend.