Weekend Estimates: ‘Coco’ Tunes Up Another $18.8M; ‘The Disaster Artist’ Expands Well to $6M; ‘Just Getting Started’ Eyes $3.9M
Saturday Report: Disney and Pixar’s Coco again led the way on Friday, adding $4.272 million for a 32 percent Friday-to-Friday drop (besting Moana‘s comparable 35.7 percent drop at the same point). That brings Coco‘s 17-day domestic total to $121.478 million as the film continues to hold very well heading into the heart of holiday season. Pixar’s latest hit is pacing just 7 percent behind Moana and 49 percent ahead of The Good Dinosaur. Look for this weekend to bring in around $18.8 million.
Following last week’s excellent limited release of $1.2 million from just 19 locations, The Disaster Artist expanded into semi-wide release this weekend. Now playing in 840 locations — including select IMAX and PLF screens — the strongly reviewed film earned $2.623 million on Friday, averaging $3,123 per location. That’s a very healthy marker for a film that is driven largely by its source material’s cult following at this stage, but director/star James Franco and Seth Rogen’s fan base — in addition to word of mouth (the film stands at an excellent 92 percent on Flixster this morning) — will certainly be key toward the goal of branching out into a wider audience as the story of Tommy Wiseau’s The Room continues to gain more mainstream awareness through award season. Given that some fan-driven attendance made up a portion of Friday’s opening day — including an unconfirmed $700K Thursday night gross — the film will experience natural front-loading this weekend. As such, we’re projecting a weekend tally around $6 million, although estimates could swing a bit lower as projections are volatile at this stage due to the unique audience of the film.
Sliding into third place Friday was Justice League with $2.545 million, marking a 44 percent drop from last Friday. With $205.01 million in the bank through 22 days, the film is currently running 7 percent ahead of Fantastic Beasts and 23 percent behind Man of Steel. This weekend is on course for approximately $9.3 million.
Wonder claimed fourth place with another $2.51 million yesterday, just a 31 percent drop from last Friday’s take. The sleeper hit adaptation has tallied an impressive $94.36 million domestically through 22 days of release as it looks to cross the $100 million threshold this weekend. We’re projecting a weekend take of $8.5 million.
Thor: Ragnarok posted $1.676 million yesterday as it rounded out the top five, bringing its domestic haul up to $296.54 million. The latest MCU blockbuster will likely cross the $300 million mark on Sunday, which will make it the 10th film in the MCU to do so. Projections for this weekend sit around $6.2 million.
Meanwhile, the weekend’s lone new release — Just Getting Started — got off to a lukewarm start with $1.15 million on opening day, about 73 percent below the first day of Going In Style earlier this year. Projections for the weekend stand around $3.9 million as the film’s older target audience will show up in relatively stronger numbers during weekend matinees.
Three Billboards pulled $835,000 yesterday as it expanded again into 1,620 theaters. With $16,29 million in the bank, the film aims for a weekend around $2.86 million (official Fox estimate).
Lady Bird posted $1.015 million yesterday with another staggered expansion into 1,557 locations, giving it $19.8 million in all thus far as it paces for around $3.5 million this weekend.
Last but not least, The Shape of Water earned $402,849 from 41 locations ($9,826 per theater) as it heads toward a $1.225 million weekend (studio estimate).
This weekend’s early estimates are below. Updated estimates from the studios to follow on Sunday.
|2||Justice League||$9,300,000||-44%||3,508||-312||$2,651||$211,765,371||4||Warner Bros.|
|5||Daddy’s Home 2||$5,700,000||-25%||3,263||-140||$1,747||$90,859,459||5||Paramount|
|6||Murder on the Orient Express (2017)||$5,000,000||-26%||3,089||-112||$1,619||$92,607,515||5||Fox|
|7||Just Getting Started||$3,900,000||—||2,146||—||$1,817||$3,900,000||1||Broad Green|
|8||The Star||$3,700,000||-9%||2,976||154||$1,243||$32,304,046||4||Sony / Columbia|
|10||Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri||$2,860,000||-35%||1,620||190||$1,765||$18,310,284||9||Fox Searchlight|
|11||A Bad Moms Christmas||$2,500,000||-26%||2,124||-127||$1,177||$68,620,606||6||STX Entertainment|
|12||Roman J. Israel, Esq.||$825,000||-58%||1,453||-216||$568||$11,162,525||4||Sony Pictures|
|1||The Disaster Artist||$6,000,000||395%||840||821||$7,143||$7,596,774||2||New Line / A24|
|2||The Mountain Between Us||$230,000||299%||535||416||$430||$30,176,291||10||20th Century Fox|
|5||Tyler Perry’s Boo 2! A Madea Halloween||$75,000||-28%||210||-2||$357||$47,260,629||8||Lionsgate|
|1||The Shape of Water||$1,225,000||635%||41||39||$29,878||$1,456,008||2||Fox Searchlight|
|2||Titanic 20th Anniversary||$70,000||-85%||75||-12||$933||$659,077||2||Paramount / Fox|
|3||Last Flag Flying||$47,000||-55%||85||-25||$553||$922,966||6||Lionsgate|
|4||Painted Woman||$5,000||49%||4||1||$1,250||$5,000||5||Amor Media|
|5||Kepler’s Dream||$350||—||11||—||$32||$350||2||Leomark Studios|