4-Day Christmas Weekend: ‘Star Wars: The Last Jedi’ Adds $99M; ‘Jumanji’ Breaks Out to $55.4M; ‘Pitch Perfect 3’ Bows to $26.4M; ‘Greatest Showman’ Healthy at $14.4M

'The Post' Eyes $762K Platform Debut

Update #3: The Last Jedi pulled $99 million over the four-day Christmas weekend, while Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle scored a hefty $55.4 million four-day launch. Pitch Perfect 3 ($26.4 million), The Greatest Showman ($14.4 million), and Ferdinand ($10.1 million) rounded out the top five.

Meanwhile, Downsizing debuted to $7.7 million and Father Figures opened to $5.5 million. In limited release, both Darkest Hour ($5.5 million) and The Shape of Water ($4.4 million) cracked the top ten with solid performances in their expansion pushes. On the platform front, The Post opened to a strong $762,057 from 9 locations.

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Saturday Update: Star Wars: The Last Jedi added an estimated $24.68 million to its haul on Friday, easily continuing to lead the way as the heart of the holiday season takes effect.  With yesterday’s gross, the blockbuster sequel now stands at a massive $321.3 million domestic total through just eight days of play, pacing 31 percent ahead of Rogue One and 27 percent behind The Force Awakens (whose eighth day landed on Christmas).

As has been well-documented at this point, industry estimates and projections remain volatile over the extended holiday holiday due to the relative unpredictability of a Christmas/New Year’s corridor that hasn’t lined up this way on the calendar since 2006. Moviegoer habits have evolved in numerous ways since then, so it’s an important reminder than estimates and projections will continue to fluctuate over the weekend. For now, though, the general expectation is that The Last Jedi will score a four-day weekend somewhere around $100 million.

Of note: By the end of Christmas Day, or early next week at the latest, The Last Jedi will already rank as the third highest grossing domestic release of 2017 — surpassing Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2‘s $389.8 million run. When that ultimately happens, it will mark historical significance as the first time in history that three films led by female characters/actors have stood atop any year’s box office chart (JediBeauty and the Beast, and Wonder Woman).

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle continues to live up to our pre-release breakout expectations as it took in another $12.5 million on Friday, bringing its three-day tally to a strong $29.1 million. Strong word of mouth and positive reviews should continue driving the film through the holidays as the film paces for what is expected to be around $42.5 million over the four-day weekend, giving it an overall six-day launch in line with our forecasts and close to an estimated around $59.1 million.

Pitch Perfect 3 scored $10.618 million on opening day Friday, including Thursday night’s opening shows. Fans will no doubt result in some front-loading to the weekend based on that number, but this is a solid performance in a highly competitive market for a sequel that was never likely to perform at the same level of its 2015 predecessor. Current projections call for a four-day opening around $35 million.

Meanwhile, The Greatest Showman pulled $3.125 million yesterday for a healthy $7.72 million three-day total thus far; Ferdinand added $2.76 million for an eight-day cume of $22.24 million; Downsizing debuted to $2.05 million in its first day of release; Coco added $1.854 million for an updated tally of $158 million; and Father Figures bowed to $1.365 million on opening day.

Elsewhere, The Shape of Water posted $1.16 million from 726 locations as its nationwide expansion began in time for the holiday break. Its updated cume is now $5.73 million.

Last but certainly not least, The Post bowed to a strong $158,122 from 9 locations ($17,569 per location) as its award season candidacy heats up before January 9’s nationwide expansion.

An early mix of our own and industry-based four-day weekend estimates are below. Updated estimates for key releases will follow on Sunday with actual results to come on Tuesday.


Weekend Actuals (still studio estimates for WB, Sony, and TriStar):

Weekend Actuals (Domestic)FRI, DEC. 22 – MON, DEC. 25

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Star Wars: The Last Jedi $99,025,055 -55% 4,232 0 $23,399 $395,627,411 2 Disney
2 Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle $55,400,000 3,765 $14,714 $72,005,967 1 Sony / Columbia
3 Pitch Perfect 3 $26,424,890 3,447 $7,666 $26,424,890 1 Universal
4 The Greatest Showman $14,410,116 3,006 $4,794 $19,008,847 1 Fox
5 Ferdinand $10,118,526 -24% 3,630 9 $2,787 $29,601,410 2 Fox
6 Coco $8,188,615 -18% 2,111 -1044 $3,879 $164,307,743 5 Disney
7 Downsizing $7,670,130 2,668 $2,875 $7,670,130 1 Paramount
8 Father Figures $5,480,000 2,902 $1,888 $5,480,000 1 Warner Bros.
9 Wonder (2017) $2,697,076 -48% 1,130 -1917 $2,387 $115,654,826 6 Lionsgate
10 All the Money in the World $2,600,000 2,068 $1,257 $2,600,000 0 Sony / TriStar
11 Justice League $2,000,000 -54% 1,101 -1601 $1,817 $223,133,455 6 Warner Bros.
12 The Star $1,800,000 4% 1,106 -830 $1,627 $38,641,925 6 Sony / Columbia
13 Daddy’s Home 2 $1,476,026 -61% 1,073 -1420 $1,376 $99,751,582 7 Paramount

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Darkest Hour $5,514,455 551% 806 722 $6,842 $8,367,532 5 Focus Features
2 The Shape of Water $4,420,381 158% 730 572 $6,055 $8,986,046 4 Fox Searchlight
3 Tiger Zinda Hai $2,583,924 300 $8,613 $2,583,924 1 Yash Raj Films USA Inc.
4 Lady Bird $1,414,496 -33% 402 -545 $3,519 $28,715,314 8 A24
5 The Disaster Artist $1,209,633 -55% 517 -493 $2,340 $16,020,033 4 New Line / A24
6 Thor: Ragnarok $1,163,335 -63% 701 -1194 $1,660 $309,454,093 8 Disney
7 Molly’s Game $1,042,075 271 $3,845 $1,042,075 0 STX Entertainment
8 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri $733,466 -54% 307 -637 $2,389 $22,949,085 11 Fox Searchlight
9 Murder on the Orient Express (2017) $722,895 -71% 447 -1476 $1,617 $99,444,878 7 Fox
10 Call Me by Your Name $229,888 -53% 114 84 $2,017 $3,262,454 5 Sony Pictures Classics
11 A Bad Moms Christmas $212,954 -79% 275 -763 $774 $71,571,546 8 STX Entertainment
12 Wonder Wheel $121,387 -74% 113 -423 $1,074 $1,205,919 4 Amazon

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 The Post $762,057 9 $84,673 $762,057 1 20th Century Fox
2 I, Tonya $624,017 264% 37 32 $16,865 $1,277,167 3 Neon
3 Youth $440,180 30% 34 4 $12,946 $1,157,273 2 China Lion Film
4 Along With the Gods: The Two Worlds $285,190 17 $16,776 $285,190 1 Well Go USA
5 Phantom Thread $127,272 4 $31,818 $127,272 0 Focus Features
6 Loving Vincent $65,472 -18% 55 -27 $1,190 $6,110,430 14 Good Deed Entertainment
7 Hostiles $32,455 3 $10,818 $32,455 1 Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures
8 Happy End $30,222 3 $10,074 $30,222 1 Sony Pictures Classics
9 The Florida Project $29,373 -47% 43 -23 $683 $5,204,888 12 A24
10 The Square $25,955 -23% 17 -24 $1,527 $1,176,775 9 Magnolia Pictures
11 The Thousand Faces of Dunjia $18,038 -69% 4 -23 $4,510 $109,690 2 Well Go USA Entertainment
12 Marshall $12,960 -23% 58 -13 $223 $9,450,507 11 Open Road
13 Big Sonia $10,189 -4% 3 -1 $3,396 $94,741 6 Argot Pictures
14 Victoria & Abdul $9,445 -56% 24 -32 $394 $22,205,730 14 Focus Features
15 The Lucky Man $6,904 3 $2,301 $6,904 1 Indican Pictures
16 The Swindlers $5,231 -76% 1 -8 $5,231 $240,979 4 Well Go USA Entertainment
17 Let There Be Light $4,328 -53% 8 -24 $541 $7,205,484 9 Atlas
18 The Killing of a Sacred Deer $3,356 -72% 8 -15 $420 $2,289,084 10 A24
19 My Friend Dahmer $1,832 -96% 3 -37 $611 $1,290,484 8 FilmRise
20 Thelma $870 -86% 9 -9 $97 $129,236 7 The Orchard
21 The Breadwinner $850 -93% 10 -18 $85 $204,469 6 GKIDS
22 Permanent $529 -91% 3 -5 $176 $9,238 2 Magnolia Pictures
23 Novitiate $483 -95% 8 -8 $60 $563,231 9 Sony Pictures Classics
24 The Fencer $293 1 $293 $93,484 23 CFI Releasing
25 BPM (Beats Per Minute) $200 -87% 1 0 $200 $92,109 10 The Orchard
26 Birdboy: The Forgotten Children $160 -97% 1 -3 $160 $12,663 2 GKIDS

 


Sunday’s Studio Weekend Estimates:

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Star Wars: The Last Jedi $103,000,000 -53% 4,232 0 $24,338 $399,602,356 2 Disney
2 Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle $42,500,000 3,765 $11,288 $59,105,967 1 Sony / Columbia
3 Pitch Perfect 3 $35,000,000 3,447 $10,154 $35,000,000 1 Universal
4 The Greatest Showman $14,400,000 3,006 $4,790 $18,998,731 1 Fox
5 Ferdinand $9,000,000 -33% 3,630 9 $2,479 $28,482,884 2 Fox
6 Downsizing $7,500,000 2,668 $2,811 $7,500,000 1 Paramount
7 Coco $6,700,000 -33% 2,111 -1044 $3,174 $162,819,128 5 Disney
8 Father Figures $5,200,000 2,902 $1,792 $5,200,000 1 Warner Bros.
9 Wonder (2017) $3,000,000 -43% 1,130 -1917 $2,655 $115,957,750 6 Lionsgate
10 The Star $1,700,000 -2% 1,106 -830 $1,537 $38,791,925 6 Sony / Columbia
11 Justice League $1,500,000 -65% 1,101 -1601 $1,362 $223,123,455 6 Warner Bros.
12 Daddy’s Home 2 $1,200,000 -69% 1,073 -1420 $1,118 $99,475,556 7 Paramount

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Darkest Hour $6,200,000 632% 806 722 $7,692 $9,053,077 5 Focus Features
2 The Shape of Water $5,000,000 192% 726 568 $6,887 $9,565,665 4 Fox Searchlight
3 The Disaster Artist $1,300,000 -52% 517 -493 $2,515 $16,110,400 4 New Line / A24
4 Call Me by Your Name $1,300,000 167% 114 84 $11,404 $3,587,791 5 Sony Pictures Classics
5 Thor: Ragnarok $1,200,000 -62% 701 -1194 $1,712 $309,490,758 8 Disney
6 Lady Bird $1,200,000 -43% 402 -545 $2,985 $28,500,818 8 A24
7 Murder on the Orient Express (2017) $725,000 -71% 447 -1476 $1,622 $99,446,983 7 Fox
8 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri $700,000 -56% 307 -637 $2,280 $22,915,619 11 Fox Searchlight

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 The Post $725,000 9 $80,556 $725,000 1 20th Century Fox
2 Hostiles $28,000 3 $9,333 $28,000 1 Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures

===

Friday Update: Star Wars: The Last Jedi posted another $17.9 million on Thursday, boosting its seven-day domestic haul to a massive $296.6 million. Coming in a strong second place, though, was Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle as it continues to live up to optimistic expectations with a $7.55 million second day of play, giving it $14.8 million after just two days with the extended weekend ahead. Meanwhile, The Greatest Showman took in $2.1 million yesterday, giving it $4.55 million through its first two days.

Pitch Perfect 3 began its run with an estimated $2.1 million last night, marking an expected drop from its predecessor’s $4.6 million Thursday night launch back in May 2015. Comparisons are practically non-existent since this is a franchise film with a sizable female fan base opening on Christmas weekend with a calendar formation that hasn’t been seen in eleven years.

Also debuting last night, Downsizing earned $425,000 from last night’s first shows, compared to Suburbicon‘s $180,000 back in October.

No reports for Father Figures were available at the time of this report’s publishing.

We’ll have early weekend estimates on Saturday morning along with official Friday estimates for major titles from the studios.

Boxoffice Staff

7 Comments

  1. Avatar
    Reece December 23, 2017

    Disappointing weekend performance for all of these films

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Jacen December 23, 2017

      Actually, all of them are pretty solid and well within expectations, as the article suggests. I don’t know what you were expecting, but a 53% drop for Jedi was better than I expected (60%) and Jumanji, Pitch Perfect 3, and Greatest Showman all opened as strongly as they should have considering their pre-release expectations and audience satisfaction. The latter two are especially good considering that both have mediocre-to-poor reviews, and the Pitch sequel is actually a small drop-off from the previous film. The coming days will show how well these films will survive, but I think that Jumanji at least will hold up strongly, as will Jedi. (In an unrelated note, I find it amusing that my program is red-underlining Jumanji for not being a real word, but Jedi it’s leaving alone.)

      Reply
    • Avatar
      Fred December 23, 2017

      I agree. None of the numbers are earth shattering, even with a 4-day Christmas weekend that’s a pretty steep drop for The Last Jedi. If you take away Christmas day it’s probably going to make about 70-75 million this weekend and that’s a very big drop from 220 million the previous weekend.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Jamey December 24, 2017

        You have no idea what you’re talking about. Sunday is Christmas Eve – box office kryptonite. No movies do well on Christmas eve. This is why Last Jedi is going to fall 70% for the 3-day. If it were a normal Sunday, the fall would likely be closer to the 60% mark, which is right in line for a sequel with a huge opening weekend (EG: Ultron).

        This is industry 101.

        Reply
      • Avatar
        Ed December 25, 2017

        No

        Reply
    • Avatar
      Jamey December 24, 2017

      If you’d have read the article, you’d understand the huge dent Christmas Eve puts into box office numbers – it’s a major factor. If this were a “normal” weekend, the3-day numbers would be much higher all around, especially for Star Wars.

      This is basic industry knowledge.

      Reply
  2. Avatar
    Andrew December 23, 2017

    I’m not sure why this is bring hyped as a success. Disney can’t be happy with such a huge drop.

    Reply

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