3-Day/4-Day Weekend Projections: ‘LEGO Batman’ Rules Again ($33.6M/$44M); ‘Fifty Shades’ ($21.2M/$24.5M) Bests ‘Great Wall’ ($17.5M/$20M); ‘John Wick 2’ ($15M/$17.7M) Holds Strong

Saturday Update: As expected, The LEGO Batman Movie reigned supreme again on Friday with an estimated $7.555 million, giving it an eight-day domestic haul of $72.1 million. Fifty Shades Darker likewise held steady in the runner-up spot with $6.8 million for an eight-day total of $75.5 million.

The Great Wall debuted to an underwhelming $5.9 million yesterday, coming in just ahead of John Wick: Chapter 2‘s $4.17 million (giving it $46.4 million in all so far). Fist Fight rounded out the top five with an opening day of $3.805 million.

Meanwhile, A Cure for Wellness scored a disappointing $1.52 million first day in eighth place.

Three-day and key four-day weekend projections are listed below. Check back on Sunday for the studios’ own three-day estimates, followed by their four-day estimates on Monday. All actual results will be reported on Tuesday.

3-Day Projections
WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 The LEGO Batman Movie $33,600,000 -37% 4,088 0 $8,219 $33,600,000 2 Warner Bros.
2 Fifty Shades Darker $21,200,000 -55% 3,714 4 $5,708 $89,896,455 2 Universal
3 The Great Wall $17,500,000 3,326 $5,262 $17,500,000 1 Universal
4 John Wick: Chapter 2 $15,000,000 -51% 3,113 0 $4,819 $57,192,083 2 Lionsgate / Summit
5 Fist Fight $11,700,000 3,185 $3,673 $11,700,000 1 Warner Bros. / New Line
6 Hidden Figures $7,000,000 -13% 2,217 -450 $3,157 $142,491,830 9 Fox
7 Split $6,600,000 -31% 2,445 -516 $2,699 $123,165,530 5 Universal
8 A Dog’s Purpose $6,400,000 -12% 2,400 -625 $2,667 $51,515,510 4 Universal
9 La La Land $5,000,000 1% 1,587 -478 $3,151 $134,004,066 11 Lionsgate / Summit
10 Lion $4,400,000 11% 1,542 205 $2,853 $36,655,483 13 Weinstein Company
11 A Cure for Wellness $4,100,000 2,704 $1,516 $4,100,000 1 Fox
12 Rings (2017) $2,100,000 -63% 1,560 -1371 $1,346 $25,523,218 3 Paramount

3-Day Projections
LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Moana $1,600,000 118% 424 -37 $3,774 $245,054,962 13 Disney
2 Everybody Loves Somebody $900,000 333 $2,703 $900,000 1 Lionsgate / Pantelion
3 Fences $800,000 11% 560 106 $1,429 $55,146,969 10 Paramount
4 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story $700,000 -53% 435 -494 $1,609 $528,511,468 10 Disney
5 Sing (2016) $690,000 -59% 561 -918 $1,230 $266,621,105 9 Universal
6 Jolly LLB 2 $370,000 -52% 166 -7 $2,229 $1,434,226 2 FIP
7 Jackie $147,000 -24% 130 -19 $1,131 $13,497,123 12 Fox Searchlight

3-Day Projections
PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 A United Kingdom $237,000 256% 45 41 $5,267 $327,142 2 Fox Searchlight

4-Day Projections:

  1. The LEGO Batman Movie ($44 million)
  2. Fifty Shades Darker ($24.5 million)
  3. The Great Wall ($20 million)
  4. John Wick: Chapter 2 ($17.7 million)
  5. Fist Fight ($13.3 million)
  6. A Dog’s Purpose ($9 million)
  7. Hidden Figures ($8.6 million)
  8. Split ($7.8 million)
  9. La La Land ($6.2 million)
  10. Lion ($5.3 million)
  11. A Cure for Wellness ($4.7 million)
  12. Rings ($2.5 million)
  13. Moana ($1.1 million)
  14. Everybody Loves Somebody ($1 million)
  15. Fences ($960k)
  16. Sing ($955k)
  17. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story ($860k)

===

Friday Update: Sources report The Great Wall pulled in an estimated $970,000 from Thursday night’s opening shows. By comparison, last year’s Gods of Egypt earned $800,000 on Thursday before going on to a $14.1 million opening weekend. That, however, was a standard three-day frame versus Wall‘s four-day advantage with Presidents Day on Monday.

Fist Fight drew second blood last night with an estimated $600,000 take, coming in just under half of Ride Along 2‘s $1.26 million Thursday start before MLK weekend last year when it earned $41 million over that four-day period.

Meanwhile, A Cure for Wellness took in $300,000 from its first shows, slightly under the $350,000 earned by The Lazarus Effect in early 2015 which was part of a regular $10.2 million three-day weekend.

All told, The LEGO Batman Movie remains heavily favored to repeat atop the box office this weekend, while Fifty Shades Darker has a shot to repeat in second place, and even John Wick: Chapter 2 could be a challenge for Great Wall to overcome.

Check back on Saturday morning when we’ll have key Friday estimates from the studios and weekend projections.

 

Boxoffice Staff

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