Weekend Actuals: ‘Black Panther’ Threepeats at No. 1 with $66.3M; ‘Red Sparrow’ Takes Flight with $16.8M

'Death Wish' falls short with $13.0M

Monday Update: “Our plan is to shine a light on a group of outstanding and inspiring films,” Jimmy Kimmel said during Sunday night’s Oscars monologue, “each and every one of which got crushed by Black Panther this weekend.”

And so it was, as the Disney mega-blockbuster took first place for the third consecutive weekend with a confirmed $66.3 million. That’s the third-highest third weekend of all time, behind only Star Wars: The Force Awakens and Avatar. (Adjusted for ticket price inflation, it’s the fourth-highest behind also 2002’s Spider-Man.)

Incredibly, Panther this weekend already cracked the 100 highest grossing films of all time when adjusted for inflation, at #86 and just behind 1997’s Twister. In pure dollars, the film is already the #10 highest grossing film of all time, behind last year’s Beauty and the Beast.

Panther only declined 40.6 percent this frame, an impressive hold as word of mouth continues to drive audiences to theaters. The film should contend with fellow Disney newcomer A Wrinkle in Time for the top spot next weekend, but don’t rule out a four-peat.

Elsewhere at the box office, Fox’s spy thriller Red Sparrow started in second place with $16.8 million. The Jennifer Lawrence movie came in about in line with pre-release expectations.

MGM’s action flick Death Wish wished it would have earned more, as the film slightly underperformed expectations with a third place debut of $13.0 million.

Both Sony’s Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Fox’s musical The Greatest Showman each spent an 11th weekend in the box office top 10. They become the first films to achieve the uncommon feat since Spider-Man: Homecoming, which reached the milestone last September. Showman seems unlikely to add a 12th week to its run in the top tier, but Jumanji could definitely spend 12th week in the region next frame.

Total box office this weekend was $148.4 million, a 23.3 percent decline from last frame. It was also a 21.8 percent drop from this same weekend last year, when Logan debuted with $88.4 million.

Year-to-date box office stands at $2.12 billion, an 11.9 percent increase over last year. That’s a little down from the +14.0 percent year-to-date level as of last frame, but still represents a substantial improvement from 2017.

Our full table of weekend actuals is below, after our Sunday update featuring fuller analysis.


Sunday Update:

No surprises here: Black Panther remains an unstoppable box office juggernaut. The Disney-Marvel powerhouse grossed an estimated $65.7 million in its third weekend, giving it a grand total of $501.1 million in North America after just 17 days. That’s a decline of just 41% from last weekend, a terrific hold and the lowest third-weekend drop for a Marvel superhero flick since Guardians of the Galaxy in 2014. It’s also the third best third weekend of all time after Star Wars: The Force Awakens and Avatar.

Black Panther not only surpassed Avengers: Age of Ultron this weekend to become the second highest-grossing MCU installment of all time (behind The Avengers), it became the 10th-highest grossing film of all time in North America, leapfrogging over the original Star Wars ($460 million including re-releases), Star Wars Episode I – The Phantom Menace ($474 million), and Finding Dory ($486 million). It’s set to outgross the Beauty and the Beast live-action remake ($504 million) early this week, and by the end of next weekend it will easily top Rogue One ($532 million) and The Dark Knight ($534 million) to land at No. 7 all-time.

Far back in second place is the Jennifer Lawrence spy thriller Red Sparrow, which came in at the lower end of expectations with an estimated $17 million in its debut frame. The $69 million film may have suffered in part from middling reviews and complex subject matter that made the film a tough sell to mainstream audience despite the presence of mega-star Lawrence in the lead role.

With a just-okay CinemaScore of “B” and a 56% audience rating on Rotten Tomatoes, Sparrow may have an uphill battle ahead of it. When comparing it with female-fronted action-thrillers of the past, its debut numbers rank far behind the likes of 2010’s Salt ($36 million opening) and 2014’s Lucy ($43 million opening), and slightly behind last year’s Atomic Blonde ($18.2 million), whose reported budget was less than half that of Sparrow‘s. If the 20th Century Fox release declines as expected, it will rank as the third box office disappointment in a row for Lawrence after last year’s arthouse horror freakout mother! and 2016’s big-budget sci-fi Passengers, which inched past $300 million worldwide but barely grossed $100 million Stateside.

Third place went to Death Wish, the Bruce Willis revenge thriller that grossed an estimated $13 million in its opening weekend. While not a terrible result for the $30 million title, the debut of the MGM release (the studio’s first self-distributed film since announcing its return to U.S. distribution last year) came in below most industry expectations, which ran as high as $20 million heading into the weekend.

Reviews for the Eli Roth-directed film were as brutal as they come, though it’s worth noting that the heavily-male audience (the split was 57-43% male-female) was more forgiving; the film received a B+ CinemaScore and a Rotten Tomatoes audience score of 85%, which could bode well for its long-term playability. Death Wish‘s relative underperformance this weekend could in part be due to an overcrowded first quarter for male-oriented actioners, with films like The Commuter, Den of Thieves, 12 Strong and The 15:17 to Paris (not to mention Black Panther) all saturating the marketplace over the last several weeks.

Down in fourth, Warner Bros.’ Game Night held well in its sophomore frame, dipping just 37% to an estimated $10.7 million and a total of $33.5 million thus far. The Rachel McAdams film is the sole adult comedy in the marketplace currently, which in addition to good word-of-mouth helps explain its solid hold in weekend two. It’ll have more competition on that front starting next weekend, when Gringo starring David Oyelowo and Charlize Theron debuts.

At No. 5, Sony’s Peter Rabbit eased just 22% to bring in an estimated $10 million in its fourth weekend, giving it an impressive total of $84 million thus far. The $50 million Sony release is the first bona fide family-movie hit of the year, sidestepping the fate of underperformers like Paddington 2 and Early Man, both of which struggled to find an audience in North America (though the former was a big hit internationally).

Paramount’s sci-fi/horror Annihilation simply couldn’t hold on in its sophomore frame, slipping to $5.6 million for a total of just $20.6 million in North America so far. Though the $40 million Paramount release received rave reviews, mainstream audiences were clearly flummoxed by the film’s unconventional sci-fi storyline and it struggled to gain a foothold in a blockbuster era dominated by such brand-name releases as Black Panther and Jumanji. That said, it should enjoy a healthier afterlife as a cult favorite on home-viewing formats. Notably, the film is debuting exclusively on Netflix in most markets later this month, following a deal that saw the streamer taking on a portion of the film’s budget for exclusive rights in territories outside North America and China.

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle fell to seventh in its eleventh weekend of release, posting another tiny decline of just 20% with an estimated $4.5 million and a grand total of $393.2 million so far. The Dwayne Johnson sequel is inching ever closer to the $403 million total of 2002’s Spider-Man; when it surpasses that amount, it will officially become the highest-grossing Sony release of all time in North America.

Rounding out the Top 10, Fifty Shades Freed grossed $3.3 million in eighth place for a total of $95.6 million after four weekends, The Greatest Showman added $2.6 million for a total of $164.6 million in ninth, and in tenth place the YA adaptation Every Day brought in $1.5 million and a scant $5.2 million thus far.

Overseas Update:

Black Panther brought in another $56.2 million overseas, bringing its international total to $396.6 million and its global total to a whopping $897.7 million. Tomorrow it will become just the fifth MCU release ever to cross $900 million worldwide. It opens in China next weekend.


Weekend Actuals (Domestic)

FRI, MAR. 2 – SUN, MAR. 4

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Black Panther $66,306,935 -41% 4,084 64 $16,236 $501,706,972 3 Disney
2 Red Sparrow $16,853,422 3,056 $5,515 $16,853,422 1 20th Century Fox
3 Death Wish $13,010,267 2,847 $4,570 $13,010,267 1 MGM
4 Game Night $10,412,496 -39% 3,502 14 $2,973 $33,240,262 2 Warner Bros.
5 Peter Rabbit $10,005,177 -22% 3,607 -100 $2,774 $84,065,553 4 Sony / Columbia
6 Annihilation $5,607,902 -49% 2,112 100 $2,655 $20,594,644 2 Paramount Pictures
7 Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle $4,438,090 -21% 2,313 -206 $1,919 $393,139,443 11 Sony / Columbia
8 Fifty Shades Freed $3,400,505 -52% 2,614 -651 $1,301 $95,689,965 4 Universal
9 The Greatest Showman $2,703,357 -21% 1,407 -194 $1,921 $164,644,800 11 Fox
10 Every Day $1,553,195 -49% 1,669 2 $931 $5,253,998 2 Orion Pictures
11 The 15:17 to Paris $1,413,755 -60% 1,803 -949 $784 $34,961,971 4 Warner Bros.

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 The Shape of Water $1,461,602 24% 832 111 $1,757 $57,455,578 14 Fox Searchlight
2 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri $1,274,194 2% 770 79 $1,655 $52,044,383 21 Fox Searchlight
3 The Post $937,658 -24% 671 -124 $1,397 $80,392,627 11 20th Century Fox
4 Call Me by Your Name $783,227 50% 914 239 $857 $16,909,289 15 Sony Pictures Classics
5 Darkest Hour $696,160 -7% 913 118 $762 $55,550,377 15 Focus Features
6 Phantom Thread $628,525 -27% 715 64 $879 $20,162,689 10 Focus Features
7 Lady Bird $568,742 -15% 710 109 $801 $48,321,868 18 A24
8 I, Tonya $552,389 -5% 511 88 $1,081 $28,941,486 13 Neon
9 Winchester $516,392 -44% 576 -276 $897 $24,545,230 5 Lionsgate / CBS Films
10 Early Man $486,262 -73% 897 -1597 $542 $7,738,711 3 Lionsgate
11 Maze Runner: The Death Cure $470,922 -51% 543 -409 $867 $57,095,133 6 Fox
12 2018 Oscar Nominated Short Films $422,990 -13% 271 39 $1,561 $3,309,589 4 Magnolia Pictures
13 Coco $321,188 -32% 235 -31 $1,367 $208,473,907 15 Disney
14 Samson $308,487 -68% 434 -706 $711 $4,440,576 3 Pure Flix
15 Star Wars: The Last Jedi $252,689 -28% 221 -71 $1,143 $619,116,325 12 Disney
16 Den of Thieves $223,863 -43% 269 -88 $832 $44,694,190 7 STX Entertainment
17 Paddington 2 $212,361 0% 293 12 $725 $40,058,423 8 Warner Bros.
18 Ferdinand $211,603 -12% 204 -10 $1,037 $83,075,940 12 Fox
19 12 Strong $163,030 -58% 257 -191 $634 $45,183,792 7 Warner Bros.
20 Hostiles $159,044 -55% 251 -167 $634 $29,465,384 11 Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures
21 Thor: Ragnarok $118,574 -14% 110 -21 $1,078 $314,965,819 18 Disney
22 Wonder (2017) $92,987 -45% 150 -8 $620 $132,093,157 16 Lionsgate
23 Forever My Girl $92,352 -43% 145 -73 $637 $16,176,249 7 Roadside Attractions/LD Entertainment
24 The Commuter $75,715 -33% 112 -26 $676 $36,242,015 8 Lionsgate
25 Pitch Perfect 3 $68,100 -25% 113 -22 $603 $104,878,410 11 Universal
26 Justice League $51,159 -40% 101 -36 $507 $228,962,883 16 Warner Bros.
27 Nostalgia $42,063 152% 140 124 $300 $86,301 3 Bleecker Street

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Operation Red Sea $333,408 -24% 55 9 $6,062 $977,616 2 Well Go USA Entertainment
2 Detective Chinatown 2 $146,069 -62% 65 -46 $2,247 $1,803,125 3 Warner Bros.
3 The Party $127,464 29% 86 56 $1,482 $317,028 3 Roadside Attractions
4 A Fantastic Woman $125,005 -21% 89 11 $1,405 $781,558 5 Sony Pictures Classics
5 La Boda de Valentina $102,890 -55% 95 -46 $1,083 $2,683,498 4 Lionsgate / Pantelion
6 Molly’s Game $75,449 -40% 91 -13 $829 $28,740,252 10 STX Entertainment
7 Loveless $61,460 2% 25 13 $2,458 $221,568 3 Sony Pictures Classics
8 The Insult $52,674 -31% 51 0 $1,033 $856,382 8 Cohen Media Group
9 Monster Hunt 2 $39,939 -60% 20 -35 $1,997 $689,087 3 Lionsgate
10 Agent Mr Chan $39,464 -37% 9 -1 $4,385 $138,031 2 China Lion Film
11 Bombshell: The Hedy Lamarr Story $34,231 226% 19 11 $1,802 $341,008 15 Zeitgeist
12 Foxtrot $31,629 4 $7,907 $69,883 1 Sony Pictures Classics
13 Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool $29,946 -60% 53 -49 $565 $772,478 10 Sony Pictures Classics
14 Pad Man $27,525 -73% 27 -68 $1,019 $1,662,927 4 Sony Pictures Releasing International
15 Proud Mary $24,678 -39% 47 -27 $525 $20,868,638 8 Sony / Screen Gems
16 1945 $17,155 -28% 8 0 $2,144 $387,941 18 Menemsha Films
17 The Young Karl Marx $15,935 -39% 12 9 $1,328 $56,679 2 The Orchard
18 Oh Lucy! $14,569 3 $4,856 $14,569 1 Film Movement
19 All the Money in the World $14,467 -44% 18 -12 $804 $25,037,552 10 Sony / TriStar
20 Detective K: Secret of the Living Dead $11,026 -38% 6 -2 $1,838 $97,468 3 Well Go USA Entertainment
21 Mary and The Witch’s Flower $10,766 -95% 11 -437 $979 $2,345,500 7 GKIDS
22 Death House $10,295 1 $10,295 $10,295 1 Hannover House
23 The Florida Project $10,230 -21% 10 -11 $1,023 $5,873,661 22 A24
24 Let Yourself Go $8,128 8 $1,016 $8,128 1 Menemsha Films
25 In The Fade $7,697 100% 14 3 $550 $288,485 10 Magnolia Pictures
26 Mind Game $7,225 496% 3 1 $2,408 $14,811 3 GKIDS
27 The Square $7,107 -10% 10 -2 $711 $1,487,823 19 Magnolia Pictures
28 The Monkey King 3 $5,616 -73% 3 -11 $1,872 $184,419 3 Well Go USA Entertainment
29 In Between $5,029 -26% 6 -2 $838 $78,287 9 Film Movement
30 The Sacrifice (2017 re-release) $5,007 1 $5,007 $58,248 20 Kino Lorber
31 The Disaster Artist $4,343 -33% 8 -4 $543 $21,117,607 14 New Line / A24
32 Ichi The Killer: Definitive Remastered Edition $4,096 3 $1,365 $16,189 17 Well Go USA Entertainment
33 Double Lover $3,548 -83% 3 -19 $1,183 $155,046 3 Cohen Media Group
34 Jane $3,523 -12% 3 0 $1,174 $1,713,514 20 Abramorama
35 American Socialist: The Life & Times of Eugene Victor Debs $2,823 1 $2,823 $2,823 1 First Run Features
36 Happy End $2,776 -60% 13 -5 $214 $285,532 11 Sony Pictures Classics
37 Western $2,603 -46% 3 2 $868 $23,026 3 Cinema Guild
38 BPM (Beats Per Minute) $2,480 49% 1 -2 $2,480 $118,384 20 The Orchard
39 Have A Nice Day $2,470 -66% 7 -8 $353 $70,956 6 Strand Releasing
40 Souvenir $2,267 1 $2,267 $2,267 1 Strand Releasing
41 Humor Me $2,204 75% 4 2 $551 $38,419 8 Shout! Factory
42 Tom of Finland $2,188 -52% 3 1 $729 $371,696 21 Kino Lorber
43 Tehran Taboo $1,869 -69% 2 -1 $935 $31,601 3 Kino Lorber
44 The Breadwinner $1,865 -53% 6 -10 $311 $309,737 16 GKIDS
45 The Cured $1,742 -64% 5 2 $348 $9,306 2 IFC Films
46 God’s Own Country $1,640 2 $820 $334,359 19 Orion Pictures / Samuel Goldwyn Films
47 Bob Le Flambeur $870 -52% 1 -1 $870 $12,916 9 Rialto Pictures
48 Thelma $778 1 $778 $147,112 17 The Orchard
49 Rat Film $256 1 $256 $35,195 25 Cinema Guild
50 Beuys $150 -26% 1 0 $150 $52,432 7 Kino Lorber
51 The Divine Order $87 -12% 1 0 $87 $72,008 19 Kino Lorber / Zeitgeist Films

SUNDAY’S STUDIO WEEKEND ESTIMATES

Friday, March 2 – Sunday, March 4, 2018

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Black Panther $65,705,000 -41% 4,084 64 $16,088 $501,105,037 3 Disney
2 Red Sparrow $17,000,000 3,056 $5,563 $17,000,000 1 20th Century Fox
3 Death Wish $13,025,000 2,487 $5,237 $13,025,000 1 MGM
4 Game Night $10,710,000 -37% 3,502 14 $3,058 $33,537,766 2 Warner Bros.
5 Peter Rabbit $10,000,000 -22% 3,607 -100 $2,772 $84,060,376 4 Sony / Columbia
6 Annihilation $5,650,000 -49% 2,112 100 $2,675 $20,636,742 2 Paramount Pictures
7 Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle $4,500,000 -20% 2,313 -206 $1,946 $393,201,353 11 Sony / Columbia
8 Fifty Shades Freed $3,310,000 -54% 2,614 -651 $1,266 $95,599,460 4 Universal
9 The Greatest Showman $2,675,000 -22% 1,407 -194 $1,901 $164,616,443 11 Fox
10 Every Day $1,560,030 -48% 1,669 2 $935 $5,260,834 2 Orion Pictures
11 The 15:17 to Paris $1,455,000 -59% 1,803 -949 $807 $35,003,216 4 Warner Bros.

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 The Shape of Water $1,400,000 19% 832 111 $1,683 $57,393,976 14 Fox Searchlight
2 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri $1,230,000 -2% 770 79 $1,597 $52,000,189 21 Fox Searchlight
3 Call Me by Your Name $919,926 76% 914 239 $1,006 $17,045,988 15 Sony Pictures Classics
4 The Post $915,000 -26% 671 -124 $1,364 $80,369,969 11 20th Century Fox
5 I, Tonya $561,061 -4% 511 88 $1,098 $28,950,158 13 Neon
6 Lady Bird $532,204 -21% 710 109 $750 $48,285,330 18 A24
7 Winchester $525,000 -44% 576 -276 $911 $24,553,838 5 Lionsgate / CBS Films
8 Early Man $485,000 -73% 897 -1597 $541 $7,737,449 3 Lionsgate
9 Maze Runner: The Death Cure $450,000 -53% 543 -409 $829 $57,074,211 6 Fox
10 Coco $335,000 -29% 235 -31 $1,426 $208,487,719 15 Disney
11 Samson $304,000 -69% 434 -706 $700 $4,436,089 3 Pure Flix
12 Star Wars: The Last Jedi $254,000 -28% 221 -71 $1,149 $619,117,636 12 Disney
13 Den of Thieves $210,000 -47% 269 -88 $781 $44,680,327 7 STX Entertainment
14 Hostiles $166,000 -53% 251 -167 $661 $29,472,340 11 Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures
15 Thor: Ragnarok $124,000 -10% 110 -21 $1,127 $314,971,245 18 Disney
16 Forever My Girl $90,601 -45% 145 -73 $625 $16,174,498 7 Roadside Attractions/LD Entertainment
17 Wonder (2017) $90,000 -47% 150 -8 $600 $132,090,170 16 Lionsgate
18 The Commuter $75,000 -34% 112 -26 $670 $36,241,300 8 Lionsgate
19 Pitch Perfect 3 $70,000 -22% 113 -22 $619 $104,880,310 11 Universal
20 Nostalgia $40,626 143% 140 124 $290 $84,864 3 Bleecker Street

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Operation Red Sea $325,000 -25% 55 9 $5,909 $969,208 2 Well Go USA Entertainment
2 A Fantastic Woman $150,193 -5% 89 11 $1,688 $806,746 5 Sony Pictures Classics
3 The Party $140,915 43% 92 62 $1,532 $330,479 3 Roadside Attractions
4 La Boda de Valentina $95,000 -58% 95 -46 $1,000 $2,675,608 4 Lionsgate / Pantelion
5 Molly’s Game $80,000 -36% 91 -13 $879 $28,744,803 10 STX Entertainment
6 Loveless $60,583 1% 25 13 $2,423 $220,691 3 Sony Pictures Classics
7 The Insult $55,592 -27% 47 -4 $1,183 $858,795 8 Cohen Media Group
8 Foxtrot $36,786 4 $9,197 $36,786 1 Sony Pictures Classics
9 Monster Hunt 2 $32,000 -68% 20 -35 $1,600 $681,148 3 Lionsgate
10 Faces Places $21,113 39% 20 4 $1,056 $900,903 22 Cohen Media Group
11 The Young Karl Marx $17,533 -33% 12 9 $1,461 $58,277 2 The Orchard
12 Death House $10,295 1 $10,295 $10,295 1 Hannover House
13 Double Lover $3,586 -83% 3 -19 $1,195 $155,084 3 Cohen Media Group
14 BPM (Beats Per Minute) $2,480 49% 12 9 $207 $118,384 20 The Orchard
15 Thelma $778 1 $778 $147,112 17 The Orchard
Chris Eggertsen

5 Comments

  1. Avatar
    Mike March 04, 2018

    So, a movie that can be described as “J-Law plays a sexy spy” is considered “complex subject matter”? Wow, we really *are* stupid.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Jacen March 05, 2018

      “WWII hero becomes top mobster”: The Godfather. Yeah, we were stupid even back in the 70s, if you want to take that attitude.

      Reply
  2. Avatar
    Paul March 04, 2018

    You don’t think Red Sparrow was impacted negatively a little by J-Law’s foray into political speech? I do.

    Reply
  3. Avatar
    Whodunit March 05, 2018

    $17 million opening on a 70+ million budget is nothing to write home about. Saying Red Sparrow ‘takes flight’ is obscuring reality

    Reply
  4. Avatar
    Fred March 05, 2018

    Black Panther just continues to amaze with tremendous legs. I think it drop next week will be even less than the 41% it had this weekend, maybe between 30-37% next weekend. I think a “Wrinkle Of Time” will open fairly well, probably around $37-$42 million. I think BP will make somewhere between $42-$48m next weekend. The review embargo hasn’t been lifted on “Wrinkle” and that’s a concern because that could be a sign of mediocre reviews and that certainly could impact it’s box office this weekend where it makes less money. Either way I think BP will number #1 next weekend too.

    Reply

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