Weekend Actuals: ‘The Predator’ Opens to $24.6M; ‘A Simple Favor’ Solid with $16.0M; ‘White Boy Rick’ Nabs $8.8M

Faith-based drama 'Unbroken: Path to Redemption' opens to $2.2M

Monday Update:

Fox’s sci-fi action sequel The Predator debuted with $24.6M, good for first place but on the lower end of pre-release projections.

Lionsgate’s mystery A Simple Favor started about in line with projections at $16.0M and third place. Sony’s new crime drama White Boy Rick took fourth place with $8.8M.

Demographics

A full demographic breakdown of the top 30 movies this weekend, courtesy of BoxofficeProfile by Vertigo, is included below:

Comparisons

This weekend’s total box office was $106.5M, down -11.6% from last weekend and down -5.0% from this same weekend last year.

Year-to-date box office now stands at $8.62B, up +9.2% over this same date last year. That’s down from +9.8% following last weekend.

Final weekend actual numbers are below, after our Sunday update featuring fuller analysis.


Sunday Update:

The Predator brought one of cinema’s most iconic villains back to the big screen this weekend and topped the domestic box office, bringing in an estimated $24 million over its opening frame. That knocked last weekend’s big winner The Nun to second place, while fellow newcomer A Simple Favor enjoyed a better-than-anticipated debut and White Boy Rick opened about in line with expectations.

Directed by Shane Black, The Predator fell a bit below expectations this weekend, even falling short of the $24.7 million opening of 2010’s Predators. This is especially striking given that the latter film debuted on 1,300 fewer screens (2,669 vs. 4,037), which suggests audiences simply weren’t excited about the latest reboot of the long-running series. It didn’t help that The Predator performed poorly with critics (its Rotten Tomatoes score currently sits at a weak 34%), while its “C+” Cinemascore suggests poor word-of-mouth may have been a factor here. Indeed, the film was certainly frontloaded, declining 18 percent from Friday to Saturday ($10.4 million to $8.5 million). It’s also worth noting that recent controversy around cast member Steven Wilder Striegel could have impacted the film’s opening weekend grosses.

With a reported production budget of $88 million, The Predator will need to post strong holds over the coming weeks and/or perform robustly overseas. While the former seems unlikely (Predators plummeted over 70% in its sophomore frame), the films have traditionally performed moderately well in international markets (see below). Nonetheless, this is clearly a disappointing domestic opening for what had been seen as the kickoff to a new string of Predator films.

Dropping to second place this weekend is Universal’s horror hit The Nun, which took in $18.2 million in its sophomore frame. That’s a steep 66 percent drop from last weekend, when the film grossed a higher-than-expected $53.8 million, and the sharpest second-weekend drop in the Conjuring franchise yet. Moviegoers were generally less keen on The Nun than previous films in the series, with opening-day audiences giving it a franchise-low “C” Cinemascore. Nonetheless, its ten-day total stands at a strong $85 million, and it will easily top $100 million by the end of its run, becoming the fourth film in the franchise to do so.

Third place went to freshman release A Simple Favor, the dark comedy starring Anna Kendrick and Blake Lively that benefitted from strong reviews (it’s “Certified Fresh” at Rotten Tomatoes with a score of 82%), the starpower of its two leads, and a savvy social media-driven marketing campaign that saw Lively delete her Instagram account for 24 hours. The Lionsgate title performed a bit better than forecasts had predicted with an opening frame of $16 million, which is about in line with this year’s Jennifer Lawrence thriller Red Sparrow ($16.8 million opening) and 21 percent higher than the 2015 Lively vehicle The Age of Adaline ($13.2 million).

Reviews certainly helped A Simple Favor‘s performance this weekend, but so did word-of-mouth. Opening day audiences awarded the film a very good “B+” Cinemascore, which is the same as two previous hits from director Paul Feig, 2011’s leggy Bridesmaids and 2015’s Spy. While A Simple Favor is a smaller-scale release and almost certainly won’t approach the $100 million-plus gross of either of those films, it’s still an impressive start for the film, which comes with a reported production budget of $20 million. The audience for this one was heavily female at 67 percent.

Debuting in fourth place is White Boy Rick, which tells the story of drug kingpin Richard Wershe Jr., who in the 1980s became the youngest FBI informant ever at the age of 14. The Sony/Studio 8 release performed about in line with expectations with $8.8 million, which is slightly higher than the $8 million debut of the similarly-themed Snowden. The Rotten Tomatoes score for the film is 64 percent, while opening day audiences gave it a “B” Cinemascore.

Three-time champ Crazy Rich Asians dropped to fifth place in its fifth frame, grossing an estimated $8.7 million and bringing its total to an incredible $149.5 million. That easily puts the breakout hit in the Top 10 highest grossing romantic comedies of all time.

Sixth place went to Peppermint, the Jennifer Garner revenge thriller that debuted to $13.4 million last weekend. This weekend the STX release brought in $6 million, representing a drop of about 54 percent. That’s about in line with this year’s similar Death Wish, which dipped roughly 49 percent in its sophomore frame and finished its domestic run with $34 million in the bank. We’re expecting a similar final result for Peppermint, which now has $24.2 million after ten days of release.

In seventh, shark thriller The Meg brought in an estimated $3.8 million, giving the Warner Bros. surprise hit $137 million so far. Eighth place went to Sony/Screen Gems’ Searching, which eased just 28 percent to $3.2 million. The critically-acclaimed John Cho thriller now has $19.6 million to date.

Opening way down in ninth place is Unbroken: Path to Redemption, which debuted to a rather weak $2.35 million in 1,620 locations. The semi-sequel to Angelina Jolie’s Unbroken suffered a similar fate as other recent faith-based films like God Bless the Broken Road and God’s Not Dead: A Light in Darkness, neither of which was able to break through with audiences. Like those titles, Path to Redemption is looking at a short theatrical shelf life.

Rounding out the Top 10 is Mission: Impossible – Fallout with an estimated $2.3 million in its eighth weekend of release. With $216.1 million so far, Fallout is now officially the highest-grossing M:I film domestically not adjusting for inflation, topping the $215.4 million brought in by Mission: Impossible II in 2000.

Overseas Update:

The Predator opened to an estimated $30.7 million in 72 international markets, giving the sci-fi/action reboot a worldwide debut of $54.7 million.

This weekend Disney officially posted their second-biggest year of all time worldwide, topping 2017’s $6.458 billion global total thanks to massive hits like Black Panther ($1.34 billion), Avengers: Infinity War ($2.04 billion), and Incredibles 2 ($1.18 billion). The studio’s biggest year remains 2016, when its films grossed a collective $7.6 billion worldwide. The studio still has a number of high-profile releases in the pipeline this year, including The Nutcracker and the Four Realms, Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2, and Mary Poppins Returns.

The Nun brought in an estimated $33.1 million in 62 international markets, giving it an international total of $143.6 million and a global cume of $228.7 million.

With another $3.3 million worldwide this weekend, Sony’s Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation topped $500 million at the global box office. The threequel is the highest-grossing entry in the franchise worldwide, topping Hotel Transylvania 2‘s $474.8 million total.


Monday’s Weekend Actuals (Domestic)

FRI, SEP. 14 – SUN, SEP. 16

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 The Predator $24,632,284 4,037 $6,102 $24,632,284 1 Fox
2 The Nun $18,238,263 -66% 3,876 0 $4,705 $85,114,588 2 Warner Bros.
3 A Simple Favor $16,011,689 3,102 $5,162 $16,011,689 1 Lionsgate
4 White Boy Rick $8,860,431 2,504 $3,539 $8,860,431 1 Sony / Studio 8
5 Crazy Rich Asians $8,688,369 -34% 3,385 -480 $2,567 $149,540,273 5 Warner Bros.
6 Peppermint $6,004,227 -55% 2,980 0 $2,015 $24,180,032 2 STX Entertainment
7 The Meg $3,862,851 -37% 2,851 -660 $1,355 $137,145,041 6 Warner Bros.
8 Searching $3,179,538 -30% 2,009 0 $1,583 $19,600,641 4 Sony Pictures
9 Mission: Impossible – Fallout $2,285,225 -41% 1,761 -573 $1,298 $216,105,562 8 Paramount
10 Unbroken: Path to Redemption $2,238,723 1,620 $1,382 $2,238,723 1 Pure Flix
11 Disney’s Christopher Robin $2,150,149 -37% 1,902 -616 $1,130 $95,143,636 7 Disney
12 Operation Finale $1,159,258 -60% 1,472 -346 $788 $16,305,563 3 MGM
13 Alpha $1,074,896 -57% 1,534 -987 $701 $34,415,913 5 Sony / Columbia
14 God Bless the Broken Road $432,385 -69% 1,201 -71 $360 $2,402,618 2 Freestyle Releasing

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 BlacKkKlansman $1,260,890 -52% 942 -605 $1,339 $45,911,840 6 Focus Features
2 The Wife $1,122,185 75% 541 388 $2,074 $3,430,924 5 Sony Pictures Classics
3 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation $776,843 -31% 673 -339 $1,154 $165,282,942 12 Sony / Columbia
4 Incredibles 2 $746,709 -45% 710 -736 $1,052 $605,615,734 14 Disney
5 Ant-Man and the Wasp $389,627 -37% 356 -192 $1,094 $215,407,418 11 Disney
6 Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again $351,630 -41% 455 -159 $773 $119,727,565 9 Universal Pictures
7 Slender Man $322,759 -62% 402 -581 $803 $30,238,667 6 Sony / Screen Gems
8 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom $292,160 -33% 320 -259 $913 $416,292,240 13 Universal
9 Juliet, Naked $273,942 -57% 265 -202 $1,034 $3,005,508 5 Roadside Attractions / Lionsgate
10 Ya Veremos $269,244 -65% 254 -115 $1,060 $3,791,539 3 Lionsgate / Pantelion Films
11 Mile 22 $240,173 -80% 413 -1389 $582 $35,503,663 5 STX Entertainment
12 The Equalizer 2 $200,420 -60% 268 -378 $748 $102,004,230 9 Sony / Columbia
13 Teen Titans GO! to the Movies $160,457 -28% 241 -57 $666 $29,314,034 8 Warner Bros.
14 The Happytime Murders $133,468 -88% 310 -1529 $431 $20,593,065 4 STX Entertainment
15 The Spy Who Dumped Me $80,618 -24% 157 -50 $513 $33,453,691 7 Lionsgate
16 Skyscraper $78,405 -34% 118 -35 $664 $67,685,420 10 Universal Pictures
17 Eighth Grade $77,695 -53% 101 -75 $769 $13,417,536 10 A24
18 Where Hands Touch $67,743 103 $658 $67,743 1 Vertical Entertainment
19 A.X.L. $58,725 -80% 100 -455 $587 $6,380,955 4 Global Road Entertainment
20 Kin (2018) $30,410 -96% 116 -2025 $262 $5,668,109 3 Lionsgate / Summit
21 Pope Francis – A Man of His Word $23,110 327 $71 $1,959,910 18 Focus Features

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Manmarziyaan $292,439 99 $2,954 $292,439 1 Eros Entertainment
2 Pick of the Litter $81,101 66% 33 23 $2,458 $168,451 3 IFC Films
3 Blaze $65,122 4% 36 0 $1,809 $341,249 5 IFC Films / Sundance Selects
4 Sorry To Bother You $56,440 -35% 47 -25 $1,201 $17,353,268 11 Annapurna Pictures
5 Lizzie $47,580 4 $11,895 $47,580 1 Saban Films / Roadside Attractions
6 Kusama – Infinity $43,866 42% 11 9 $3,988 $92,448 2 Magnolia Pictures
7 Puzzle $37,937 -60% 60 -71 $632 $1,888,228 8 Sony Pictures Classics
8 Ocean’s 8 $35,556 -43% 89 -39 $400 $139,361,620 15 Warner Bros.
9 Leave No Trace $30,629 -35% 76 -18 $403 $5,984,752 12 Bleeker Street
10 We The Animals $28,722 -44% 48 6 $598 $338,929 5 The Orchard
11 The Darkest Minds $27,031 -31% 57 -22 $474 $12,660,998 7 20th Century Fox
12 Dog Days $23,975 -21% 51 -32 $470 $6,795,923 6 LD Entertainment / Mirror
13 The Dawn Wall $21,615 2 $10,808 $21,615 1 The Orchard
14 The Children Act $18,293 3 $6,098 $18,293 1 A24
15 The Miseducation of Cameron Post $17,198 -52% 20 -12 $860 $882,235 7 FilmRise
16 Museo $16,554 1 $16,554 $16,554 1 Vitagraph Films
17 Solo: A Star Wars Story $13,235 -45% 40 -22 $331 $213,762,989 17 Disney
18 Sicario: Day of the Soldado $13,184 -37% 26 -14 $507 $50,065,850 12 Sony / Black Label
19 Bel Canto $12,421 2 $6,211 $12,421 1 Cartilage Films
20 The Cakemaker $12,323 35% 12 -2 $1,027 $822,965 12 Strand Releasing
21 Deadpool 2 $12,049 65% 21 -16 $574 $318,480,931 18 Fox
22 Science Fair $11,231 1 $11,231 $11,231 1 National Geographic Documentary Films
23 McQueen $10,742 -46% 12 -3 $895 $1,235,672 9 Bleecker Street
24 The Public Image is Rotten $8,052 1 $8,052 $8,052 1 Abramorama
25 Andrei Rublev $7,956 -14% 3 -1 $2,652 $67,351 4 Janus
26 The Spy Gone North $7,769 -57% 4 -4 $1,942 $497,755 6 CJ Entertainment
27 American Chaos $7,616 26 $293 $7,616 1 Sony Pictures Classics
28 Antonio Lopez 1970: Sex Fashion & Disco $7,167 1 $7,167 $7,167 1 Film Movement
29 Along With the Gods: The Last 49 Days $6,029 2 $3,015 $1,198,193 7 Well Go USA Entertainment
30 I Am Not a Witch $5,715 -31% 6 4 $953 $22,584 2 Film Movement
31 When You Read This Letter $5,166 1 $5,166 $7,047 1 Rialto
32 RBG $5,122 -63% 8 -10 $640 $13,995,966 20 Magnolia Pictures
33 Let the Corpses Tan $4,613 -73% 9 -4 $513 $66,532 3 Kino Lorber
34 Skate Kitchen $4,416 -31% 15 -1 $294 $228,580 6 Magnolia
35 Perfect Blue (2018 re-release) $3,996 -79% 3 -488 $1,332 $420,709 2 GKIDS
36 Memoir of War $3,833 -27% 4 -1 $958 $80,774 5 Music Box Films
37 Beautifully Broken $3,255 -84% 12 -40 $271 $1,183,102 4 ArtAffects Entertainment
38 The Apparition $3,064 -69% 5 -2 $613 $17,762 2 Music Box Films
39 Yellow Submarine (2018 re-release) $2,745 -35% 4 0 $686 $980,579 11 Abramorama
40 The Captain $2,422 -36% 2 -3 $1,211 $105,809 8 Music Box Films
41 The Rider $2,216 -33% 2 -3 $1,108 $2,389,150 23 Sony Pictures Classics
42 A Paris Education $1,939 -14% 2 1 $970 $13,926 3 Kino Lorber
43 Big Brother $1,769 1 $1,769 $84,578 3 Well Go USA Entertainment
44 Support The Girls $1,733 -73% 6 -9 $289 $122,895 4 Magnolia Pictures
45 A Wizard’s Tale $1,626 10 $163 $1,626 1 Blue Fox Entertainment
46 Nelly $1,220 -6% 2 1 $610 $3,046 2 Cinema Libre
47 The Night Is Short, Walk On Girl $1,149 -80% 3 -1 $383 $397,667 4 GKIDS
48 The Third Murder $667 132% 2 0 $334 $82,471 9 Film Movement
49 Generation Wealth $658 167% 3 0 $219 $236,325 9 Amazon Studios / Magnolia Pictures
50 Ryuichi Sakamoto: Coda $566 166% 1 0 $566 $114,944 11 Cartilage Films
51 The Atomic Cafe $520 -74% 2 0 $260 $19,449 7 Kino Lorber
52 Nico, 1988 $460 -85% 3 -3 $153 $69,798 7 Magnolia Pictures
53 The Island $375 1 $375 $670,883 6 Well Go USA Entertainment
54 Whitney $336 -81% 3 -2 $112 $3,026,167 11 Roadside Attractions
55 93Queen $256 -41% 1 0 $256 $66,826 8 Abramorama
56 Far From The Tree $212 -97% 3 -4 $71 $155,958 9 IFC Films / Sundance Selects
57 No Date, No Signature $177 1 $177 $26,975 7 Distrib Films US
58 Good Manners (As Boas Maneiras) $157 1 $157 $21,587 8 Distrib Films Us
59 Rendezvous in July $153 1 $153 $11,321 7 Rialto Pictures
60 Custody $90 -84% 1 0 $90 $81,455 12 Kino Lorber
61 Return of the Hero $59 1 $59 $1,452 3 Distrib Films US

Sunday’s Studio Weekend Estimates (Domestic)

FRI, SEP. 14 – SUN, SEP. 16

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 The Predator $24,000,000 4,037 $5,945 $24,000,000 1 Fox
2 The Nun $18,200,000 -66% 3,876 0 $4,696 $85,076,325 2 Warner Bros.
3 A Simple Favor $16,050,000 3,102 $5,174 $16,050,000 1 Lionsgate
4 White Boy Rick $8,800,000 2,504 $3,514 $8,800,000 1 Sony / Studio 8
5 Crazy Rich Asians $8,700,000 -34% 3,385 -480 $2,570 $149,551,904 5 Warner Bros.
6 Peppermint $6,070,000 -55% 2,980 0 $2,037 $24,245,805 2 STX Entertainment
7 The Meg $3,805,000 -38% 2,851 -660 $1,335 $137,087,190 6 Warner Bros.
8 Searching $3,200,000 -30% 2,009 0 $1,593 $19,621,103 4 Sony Pictures
9 Unbroken: Path to Redemption $2,350,000 1,620 $1,451 $2,350,000 1 Pure Flix
10 Mission: Impossible – Fallout $2,315,000 -40% 1,761 -573 $1,315 $216,135,337 8 Paramount
11 Disney’s Christopher Robin $2,028,000 -40% 1,902 -616 $1,066 $95,021,487 7 Disney
12 Operation Finale $1,185,000 -59% 1,472 -346 $805 $16,331,305 3 MGM
13 Alpha $1,020,000 -59% 1,534 -987 $665 $34,361,017 5 Sony / Columbia
14 God Bless the Broken Road $455,000 -67% 1,201 -71 $379 $2,425,233 2 Freestyle Releasing

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 BlacKkKlansman $1,295,000 -50% 942 -605 $1,375 $45,945,950 6 Focus Features
2 The Wife $1,227,510 92% 541 388 $2,269 $3,536,249 5 Sony Pictures Classics
3 Incredibles 2 $764,000 -43% 710 -736 $1,076 $605,633,025 14 Disney
4 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation $755,000 -33% 673 -339 $1,122 $165,261,099 12 Sony / Columbia
5 Ant-Man and the Wasp $393,000 -37% 356 -192 $1,104 $215,410,791 11 Disney
6 Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again $360,000 -39% 455 -159 $791 $119,735,935 9 Universal Pictures
7 Juliet, Naked $288,483 -55% 265 -202 $1,089 $3,020,049 5 Roadside Attractions / Lionsgate
8 Ya Veremos $280,000 -64% 254 -115 $1,102 $3,802,295 3 Lionsgate / Pantelion Films
9 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom $280,000 -35% 320 -259 $875 $416,280,080 13 Universal
10 Mile 22 $210,000 -83% 413 -1389 $508 $35,473,490 5 STX Entertainment
11 The Happytime Murders $140,000 -87% 310 -1529 $452 $20,599,597 4 STX Entertainment
12 Eighth Grade $88,000 -47% 101 -75 $871 $13,427,841 10 A24
13 The Spy Who Dumped Me $75,000 -29% 157 -50 $478 $33,448,073 7 Lionsgate
14 A.X.L. $55,559 -81% 100 -455 $556 $6,377,789 4 Global Road Entertainment
15 Kin (2018) $26,000 -97% 116 -2025 $224 $5,663,699 3 Lionsgate / Summit
16 Pope Francis – A Man of His Word $18,000 327 $55 $18,000 18 Focus Features

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Lizzie $49,895 4 $12,474 $49,895 1 Saban Films / Roadside Attractions
2 Puzzle $39,205 -58% 60 -71 $653 $1,889,496 8 Sony Pictures Classics
3 Leave No Trace $34,467 -27% 76 -18 $454 $5,988,590 12 Bleeker Street
4 We The Animals $28,805 -44% 48 6 $600 $339,012 5 The Orchard
5 Bisbee ’17 $25,150 8 $3,144 $35,718 2 4th Row Films
6 The Children Act $20,362 3 $6,787 $20,362 1 A24
7 Solo: A Star Wars Story $16,000 -34% 40 -22 $400 $213,765,754 17 Disney
8 Bel Canto $14,036 2 $7,018 $14,036 1 Cartilage Films
9 Science Fair $12,250 1 $12,250 $12,250 1 National Geographic Documentary Films
10 Hal $12,150 1 $12,150 $20,369 2 Oscilloscope Laboratories
11 Hale County This Morning, This Evening $9,914 2 $4,957 $9,914 1 Cinema Guild
12 American Chaos $7,963 26 $306 $7,963 1 Sony Pictures Classics
13 Nelly $4,034 209% 2 1 $2,017 $5,860 2 Cinema Libre
Chris Eggertsen

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