Long Range Tracking: Strong Q4 Pacing to Send 2018 Domestic Box Office Beyond $11.6 Billion for New Annual Record

Long Range Tracking: Strong Q4 Pacing to Send 2018 Domestic Box Office Beyond $11.6 Billion for New Annual Record

October 12, 2018 5 Comments

With no new wide releases joining our tracking calendar this weekend, we’ve decided to take a look at where the overall market is shaping up to finish by year’s end — and it’s looking like a historic finish. Based on our tracking models for all major studio films opening between

Weekend Forecast (Updated): ‘First Man,’ ‘Goosebumps: Haunted Halloween,’ & ‘Bad Times at the El Royale’ Take On ‘Venom’ & ‘A Star Is Born’

Weekend Forecast (Updated): ‘First Man,’ ‘Goosebumps: Haunted Halloween,’ & ‘Bad Times at the El Royale’ Take On ‘Venom’ & ‘A Star Is Born’

October 11, 2018 4 Comments

Thursday, October 11 Update: Taking into account the holds of A Star Is Born and Venom over the past two days, we’re revising our earlier weekend forecast to now position the former in first place for a frame that could easily see a photo finish between the two hit films. The Bradley Cooper/Lady Gaga smash

Long Range Tracking: ‘Halloween’ & ‘First Man’ Look to Continue Strong October

Long Range Tracking: ‘Halloween’ & ‘First Man’ Look to Continue Strong October

October 5, 2018 8 Comments

With no new films to report in the eight-week window, please see our updated tracking chart below. Following Venom and A Star Is Born, October continues to promise a huge start to the fourth quarter of 2018 with award season contender First Man slated for release next week, plus another potential record-breaking horror performance from Halloween on

Weekend Forecast: ‘A Star Is Born’ & ‘Venom’ Poised to Crush October Box Office Records

Weekend Forecast: ‘A Star Is Born’ & ‘Venom’ Poised to Crush October Box Office Records

October 4, 2018 15 Comments

Friday Update: The original publication of this story listed incorrect numbers for Venom in the chart below. They have been corrected to reflect our most recent forecast from previous weeks. Previous Report: October is gearing up to kick off in record fashion with this weekend’s debut of two counter-programming autumn juggernauts. The pair of

Long Range Tracking: ‘Creed 2,’ ‘Ralph Breaks the Internet,’ & ‘Robin Hood’

Long Range Tracking: ‘Creed 2,’ ‘Ralph Breaks the Internet,’ & ‘Robin Hood’

September 28, 2018 12 Comments

This week’s report features an early look at Thanksgiving weekend and how the frame’s three major releases are currently tracking. Fun fact: Disney currently owns the top nine three-day Thanksgiving openings of all time. If Ralph Breaks the Internet meets early tracking projections, it would surpass Warner Bros.’ Four Christmases ($31.1 million) to give

Weekend Forecast: ‘Night School,’ ‘Smallfoot,’ & ‘Hell Fest’ Set to Close Out September Box Office In Healthy Fashion

Weekend Forecast: ‘Night School,’ ‘Smallfoot,’ & ‘Hell Fest’ Set to Close Out September Box Office In Healthy Fashion

September 26, 2018 6 Comments

September comes to a close this weekend, and Universal’s Night School is hoping to attract an under-served audience with a first place opening. Kevin Hart and Tiffany Haddish will go a long way toward helping that happen, especially the latter whose star is quickly rising after the breakout success of last year’s Girls

Long Range Tracking: ‘Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald,’ ‘Instant Family,’ & ‘Widows’

Long Range Tracking: ‘Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald,’ ‘Instant Family,’ & ‘Widows’

September 21, 2018 10 Comments

This week’s report breaks down the third weekend of November, currently slated to see the continuation of J.K. Rowling’s Harry Potter prequel series. We also offer up tentative projections for two original films opening the same weekend. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald Opening Weekend Range: $70 – 80 million Potterheads will

Weekend Forecast: ‘The House With A Clock In Its Walls’ Aims to Keep Late September Box Office Ticking

Weekend Forecast: ‘The House With A Clock In Its Walls’ Aims to Keep Late September Box Office Ticking

September 19, 2018 7 Comments

After a month-plus of minimal cinema options for parents and kids, The House With A Clock In Its Walls is poised to offer a much needed family film in the early autumn box office market. The source novel’s existing fan base naturally gives it another leg up, while the casting of Jack

Long Range Tracking: ‘The Grinch,’ ‘The Girl In the Spider’s Web,’ & ‘Overlord’

Long Range Tracking: ‘The Grinch,’ ‘The Girl In the Spider’s Web,’ & ‘Overlord’

September 14, 2018 11 Comments

Our long range report this week continues an early look at the packed November slate, focusing on the month’s second frame of planned wide releases. Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch Opening Weekend Range: $70 – 100 million Marking the first tentpole animation since midsummer (and the first animated option overall since

Weekend Forecast: ‘The Predator,’ ‘A Simple Favor,’ ‘White Boy Rick,’ & ‘Unbroken: Path to Redemption’

Weekend Forecast: ‘The Predator,’ ‘A Simple Favor,’ ‘White Boy Rick,’ & ‘Unbroken: Path to Redemption’

September 12, 2018 12 Comments

September rolls on this weekend with four new wide releases aiming for a variety of audiences. Leading the pack is expected to be Fox and writer/director Shane Black’s The Predator. Traditional industry tracking points to what could be a breakout debut in the $30 million+ range; however, social media models and