Early 4-Day Estimates: ‘Crazy Rich Asians’ Could Hit $30M+; ‘Operation Finale’ Eyes $8M+; ‘Searching’ Strong at $7M+

'Kin' Looks to $3.8M Holiday Opening; 'Ya Veremos' Healthy In Limited Release

Saturday Update: Warner Bros. continues to ride high as Crazy Rich Asians posted another $5.865 million on Friday, down just 16 percent from the same day last week as the smash hit rom-com continues its stunning run. The film has earned a remarkable $94.6 million through 17 days of play, and appears poised for a three-day frame around $23.5 million. That would put the four-day holiday weekend around $30.5 million based on current projections.

The Meg looks like it will retain second place again as it added $2.285 million yesterday for an updated $112.3 million domestic haul. Look for a $10 million 3-day / $12.7 million 4-day performance.

Operation Finale took in $1.716 million on Friday, bringing its 3-day cume to $6.5 million. Current projections have the thriller on pace for $6.5 million over the 3-day weekend and $8.4 million over the 4-day, which would ultimately yield a $10.1 million 6-day opening dating back to Wednesday.

Searching bowed to an impressive $1.955 million from 1,207 locations as it expanded from platform release. Strong reviews and word of mouth are driving a stronger-than-expected performance. Meanwhile, Kin opened to $1.04 million yesterday and Ya Veremos pulled $525,000 from 369 locations.

Key 4-day estimates are below, followed by a fuller chart with 3-day estimates. Check back on Sunday and Monday for updated estimates directly from the studios.

Early 4-Day Estimates

  1. Crazy Rich Asians ($30.5 million)
  2. The Meg ($12.7 million)
  3. Operation Finale ($8.4 million 4-day / $10.1 million 6-day)
  4. Mission: Impossible – Fallout ($8.7 million)
  5. Christopher Robin ($7.2 million)
  6. Searching ($7.1 million)
  7. BlacKkKlansman ($5.6 million)
  8. The Happytime Murders ($5.5 million)
  9. Alpha ($5.4 million)
  10. Mile 22 ($4.9 million)
  11. Kin ($3.8 million)
  12. Ya Veremos ($2.25 million)

Early 3-Day Estimates

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Crazy Rich Asians $23,500,000 -5% 3,865 339 $6,080 $23,500,000 3 Warner Bros.
2 The Meg $10,000,000 -22% 3,761 -270 $2,659 $119,986,416 4 Warner Bros.
3 Mission: Impossible – Fallout $6,700,000 -17% 2,639 -413 $2,539 $204,046,529 6 Paramount
4 Operation Finale $6,500,000 1,818 $3,575 $8,227,095 1 MGM
5 Searching $5,700,000 1366% 1,207 1198 $4,722 $6,208,480 2 Sony Pictures
6 Disney’s Christopher Robin $5,400,000 -14% 2,925 -469 $1,846 $85,808,868 5 Disney
7 BlacKkKlansman $4,500,000 -12% 1,766 -148 $2,548 $38,692,825 4 Focus Features
8 The Happytime Murders $4,400,000 -54% 3,256 0 $1,351 $17,015,694 2 STX Entertainment
9 Alpha $4,100,000 -32% 2,881 162 $1,423 $27,022,220 3 Sony / Columbia
10 Mile 22 $3,900,000 -39% 2,950 -570 $1,322 $32,086,334 3 STX Entertainment
11 Incredibles 2 $3,750,000 128% 2,890 1830 $1,298 $601,610,913 12 Disney
12 Kin (2018) $3,000,000 2,141 $1,401 $3,000,000 1 Lionsgate / Summit
13 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation $2,150,000 -15% 1,421 -381 $1,513 $162,051,006 10 Sony / Columbia
14 Slender Man $1,650,000 -41% 1,534 -531 $1,076 $28,009,809 4 Sony / Screen Gems
15 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom $1,450,000 96% 1,556 948 $932 $414,735,140 11 Universal
16 The Equalizer 2 $1,400,000 -31% 1,476 -438 $949 $100,301,362 7 Sony / Columbia
17 A.X.L. $1,225,000 -56% 1,710 0 $716 $5,009,935 2 Global Road Entertainment
18 Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again $1,100,000 -45% 1,010 -547 $1,089 $117,548,120 7 Universal Pictures

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Ya Veremos $1,800,000 369 $4,878 $1,800,000 1 Lionsgate / Pantelion Films
2 Ant-Man and the Wasp $1,350,000 -25% 830 -348 $1,627 $213,510,458 9 Disney
3 The Little Stranger $455,000 474 $960 $455,000 1 Focus Features
4 Beautifully Broken $185,000 -68% 350 -301 $529 $1,032,639 2 ArtAffects Entertainment
5 Death of a Nation $79,000 -33% 253 73 $312 $5,741,849 5 Quality Flix / Pure Flix

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Solo: A Star Wars Story $59,000 -18% 90 -28 $656 $213,684,230 15 Disney
2 Avengers: Infinity War $55,000 0% 92 -16 $598 $678,762,164 19 Disney

===

Friday Report: Sony’s Searching began its semi-wide rollout into 1,119 locations last night with an estimated $425,000 gross. Those shows began at 5pm, skewing comparisons with similar titles — particularly given the film’s previous platform release. As of this morning, the studio’s early projection for the four-day take is in line with our previous forecast around $3 million.

Lionsgate opened Kin to an estimated $250,000 on approximately 1,800 screens last night. That’s similar to the $271,000 of Hotel Artemis earlier this summer. The studio also debuted Ya Veremos in limited release at 300 locations to the tune of $50,000 last night.

Overall, Labor Day weekend remains poised to be dominated by the third frame of Crazy Rich Asians, while Operation Finale will build upon its positive $1.73 million two-day start on Wednesday and Thursday in hopes of a four-day weekend that remains on pace to top $10 million.

Key Friday estimates and updated weekend projections to follow on Saturday.

Shawn Robbins

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