This week’s Long Range Forecast takes a first look at the 2018 slate, beginning with Insidious: The Last Key‘s scheduled release date of January 5. Aaron Sorkin’s Molly’s Game is also slated to expand nationwide that weekend.
This Week’s Key Updates:
- Minimal marketing and mixed social media awareness for The Star have lowered expectations for that film, particularly with Pixar’s Coco — opening five days later — trending well and generating strong early reviews.
- Insidious: The Last Key will likely benefit from the recent wave of horror success, but the franchise’s declining returns and a history of horror titles with short staying power in early January are the main factors behind our current forecast.
- Molly’s Game‘s limited release throughout December will be key to determining how much mainstream potential it has upon expanding in January. At the very least, fans of Jessica Chastain and writer/director Aaron Sorkin are expected to turn out for the strongly reviewed film. A strong award season push could significantly improve box office prospects.
The 8-Week Forecast:
| Release Date | Title | 3-Day Wide Opening | % Chg from Last Week | Domestic Total | % Chg from Last Week | Location Count | Distributor |
| 11/17/2017 | Justice League | $130,000,000 | $312,000,000 | 4,000 | Warner Bros. | ||
| 11/17/2017 | The Star | $12,000,000 | -8% | $44,000,000 | -27% | 3,000 | Sony / Columbia |
| 11/17/2017 | Wonder | $14,000,000 | $48,000,000 | 3,000 | Lionsgate | ||
| 11/22/2017 | Coco | $60,000,000 | $270,000,000 | 4,000 | Disney | ||
| 11/22/2017 | The Man Who Invented Christmas | n/a | n/a | Bleecker Street | |||
| 11/24/2017 | Darkest Hour | n/a | n/a | Focus Features | |||
| 12/1/2017 | (no films scheduled currently) | ||||||
| 12/8/2017 | The Disaster Artist | n/a | n/a | A24 | |||
| 12/8/2017 | Just Getting Started | $8,000,000 | $36,000,000 | Broad Green Pictures | |||
| 12/15/2017 | Ferdinand | $20,000,000 | $150,000,000 | Fox | |||
| 12/15/2017 | Star Wars: The Last Jedi | $215,000,000 | $742,000,000 | Disney | |||
| 12/20/2017 | The Greatest Showman on Earth | $11,000,000 | $75,000,000 | Fox | |||
| 12/20/2017 | Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle | $22,000,000 | $175,000,000 | Sony / Columbia | |||
| 12/22/2017 | All the Money in the World | n/a | n/a | TriStar | |||
| 12/22/2017 | Downsizing | $10,000,000 | $59,000,000 | Paramount | |||
| 12/22/2017 | Pitch Perfect 3 | $40,000,000 | $136,000,000 | Universal | |||
| 12/22/2017 | Father Figures | $7,000,000 | $41,000,000 | Warner Bros. | |||
| 12/29/2017 | (no films scheduled currently) | – | – | – | |||
| 1/5/2018 | Insidious: The Last Key | $19,500,000 | NEW | $34,500,000 | NEW | Universal | |
| 1/5/2018 | Molly’s Game | $6,000,000 | NEW | $21,000,000 | NEW | STXfilms |
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