Long Range Tracking: ‘Halloween’ & ‘First Man’ Look to Continue Strong October

With no new films to report in the eight-week window, please see our updated tracking chart below.

Following Venom and A Star Is Born, October continues to promise a huge start to the fourth quarter of 2018 with award season contender First Man slated for release next week, plus another potential record-breaking horror performance from Halloween on October 19.

8-Week Tracking

Release Date Title 3-Day Wide Opening % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor
10/12/2018 Bad Times at the El Royale $9,500,000 -14% $30,000,000 -12% 2,800 Fox
10/12/2018 First Man $20,000,000 $100,000,000 3,500 Universal
10/12/2018 Goosebumps: Haunted Halloween $17,000,000 $54,000,000 3,400 Sony / Columbia
10/19/2018 Halloween (2018) $65,000,000 8% $160,000,000 7% 3,900 Universal
10/19/2018 The Hate U Give (Wide) n/a n/a n/a Fox
10/26/2018 Hunter Killer $11,000,000 -21% $32,000,000 -21% Lionsgate / Summit
10/26/2018 Indivisible $2,000,000 $6,000,000 Pure Flix
10/26/2018 Johnny English Strikes Again $4,000,000 $8,750,000 Universal
11/2/2018 Bohemian Rhapsody $35,000,000 $110,000,000 Fox
11/2/2018 Tyler Perry’s Nobody’s Fool $15,000,000 $40,000,000 Paramount
11/2/2018 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms $20,000,000 $79,000,000 Disney
11/2/2018 The List n/a n/a Paramount
11/2/2018 Suspiria (Wide) n/a n/a Amazon Studios
11/9/2018 The Girl in the Spider’s Web $15,000,000 $45,000,000 Sony / Columbia
11/9/2018 Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch $79,000,000 $305,000,000 Universal
11/9/2018 Overlord $14,000,000 $42,000,000 Paramount
11/16/2018 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald $75,000,000 $222,000,000 Warner Bros.
11/16/2018 Instant Family $18,000,000 n/a Paramount
11/16/2018 A Private War (Expansion) n/a n/a Aviron
11/16/2018 Widows $20,000,000 $78,000,000 Fox
11/21/2018 Creed 2 $23,000,000 $80,000,000 MGM
11/21/2018 The Front Runner (Wide Expansion) n/a n/a Sony
11/21/2018 Ralph Breaks the Internet $50,000,000 $200,000,000 Disney
11/21/2018 Robin Hood $9,500,000 $26,000,000 Lionsgate / Summit
11/21/2018 Green Book n/a n/a Universal

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Shawn Robbins


  1. Avatar
    John October 05, 2018

    I still think First Man can get to $25 million OW even with A Star is Born in the marketplace. Venom’s bad word of mouth will cause it to collapse and IMAX will be a major factor plus rave reviews.

    • Avatar
      BDTrooper October 06, 2018

      Apparently, Venom’s word-of-wide-open-toothy-mouth won’t be as bad as expected, with an 89% Flixster rating and B+ CinemaScore. Not to mention a whopping October record $75M expected opening weekend. So maybe Venom will have a bit more staying power, at least until the Halloween juggernaut, this season’s It movie, hits the screen.

      • Avatar
        manofbronze October 09, 2018

        I have a feeling it will perform better than expected as well.

  2. Avatar
    John October 05, 2018

    Pretty sad that Bad Times at the El Royale is bound to get lost in the shuffle alongside Venom, A Star Is Born, First Man and Halloween

  3. Avatar
    Sander Broos October 07, 2018

    I don’t really see Bad Times doing worse than Hunter Killer. And Creed II will be higher I think.

  4. Avatar
    Delfra October 07, 2018

    Like “Venom” has done I think “Halloween” is definitely going to surpass these projected numbers. In fact I would not be surprised if it broke Venom’s October opening weekend box office record in 2 weeks and I think it’s going to reach $200-plus million domestic without question. This site is definitely lowballing it’s numbers, but they also did the same thing with “Black Panther”, “Infinity War” and “Incredibles 2” and we know how that played out lol.

    • Avatar
      BL October 10, 2018

      I think everyone lowballed Black Panther and IW I don’t remember them being that far off with. Incredibles 2 was ridiculous though didn’t they predict it to make 110 or something?

      • Avatar
        Ty October 11, 2018

        Yes they did predict it to make about 110 but it made over 180. I’d agree that Halloween is bound to overperform, but I don’t think we’re looking at over 80 mil opening weekend.


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