Long Range Tracking: ‘Mary Poppins Returns,’ ‘Aquaman,’ & ‘Bumblebee’

This week’s report takes a look at three key holiday releases slated for the penultimate weekend of 2018, less than one week before Christmas Day.

Note: due to the sometimes abnormal holding patterns of films around this time of year, tracking ranges and long-term forecasts are more volatile than with typical releases and could shift significantly in the weeks ahead.

Mary Poppins Returns
Opening 3-Day Weekend Range: $30 – 50 million

All signs point to another major holiday success from Disney with this long-awaited sequel’s appeal to multiple generations of fans. Star Emily Blunt (Into the WoodsA Quiet Place) has won early praise for her faithful take on the iconic Julie Andrews character, while co-star Lin-Manuel Miranda (Hamilton) provides another marquee name for a film that is bound to capitalize on the wave of successful musicals at the box office.

Trailer reactions are enthusiastic, and early social media trends are very encouraging. Industry buzz is additionally notable after the film won over a group of exhibitors recently, with rumors bubbling that the studio could make a push for top line categories like Best Picture in the nearing Oscar race. The main question remaining at this point is if younger audiences will gravitate toward the nostalgia-driven film, or if competing films in the market will divide that key demographic.

Either way, we currently expect big results with staying power that should extend well out from the film’s Wednesday, December 19 opening.

Aquaman
Opening Weekend Range: $40 – 60 million

The DC cinematic brand will be tested again with the universe’s first chapter since last year’s Justice League under-performed. A strong contingent of fans are excited for this character’s first big-screen solo adventure, while Jason Momoa, Amber Heard, and the ensemble cast should help translate to fair appeal among both men and women.

Social buzz thus far is comparable to Ant-Man and the Wasp, although a less front-loaded run is likely given the time of year. Reviews and word of mouth, as always, will be key for the comic book adaptation, but Aquaman is effectively looking to serve as the top option for moviegoers interested in an action-driven spectacle around the holiday break.

Bumblebee
Opening Weekend Range: $15 – 25 million

Our immediate concern is that the Transformers franchise has lost a significant amount of goodwill among general audiences after the last two films displayed sharp declines at the domestic box office. That will be the initial disadvantage for this 1980s-set prequel (along with the opening weekend competition), but early trailers have started to win over fans hoping for a freshtake on the brand thanks to a new and accomplished filmmaker (Kubo and the Two Strings‘ Travis Knight) at the helm with a character-driven tone advertised thus far.

While Bumblebee is likely to finish third among the December 21 weekend’s new releases, family appeal and word of mouth could go a long way toward giving it healthy legs into early 2019.

8-Week Tracking

Release Date Title 3-Day Wide Release Tracking % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor
11/2/2018 Bohemian Rhapsody $39,000,000 11% $117,000,000 6% 3,800 Fox
11/2/2018 Tyler Perry’s Nobody’s Fool $13,500,000 $36,000,000 2,400 Paramount
11/2/2018 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms $20,000,000 -5% $76,000,000 -5% 3,800 Disney
11/2/2018 Suspiria (Wide) n/a n/a n/a Amazon Studios
11/9/2018 The Girl in the Spider’s Web $13,000,000 -7% $38,000,000 -5% 2,900 Sony / Columbia
11/9/2018 Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch $69,000,000 -1% $290,000,000 4,200 Universal
11/9/2018 Overlord $9,000,000 -14% $25,000,000 -17% 2,500 Paramount
11/16/2018 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald $75,000,000 $222,000,000 Warner Bros.
11/16/2018 Instant Family $18,000,000 n/a Paramount
11/16/2018 Widows $16,500,000 -18% $65,000,000 -17% Fox
11/21/2018 Creed 2 $23,000,000 $80,000,000 MGM
11/21/2018 The Front Runner (Wide Expansion) n/a n/a Sony
11/21/2018 Ralph Breaks the Internet $50,000,000 $200,000,000 Disney
11/21/2018 Robin Hood $9,500,000 $26,000,000 Lionsgate / Summit
11/21/2018 Green Book n/a n/a Universal
11/30/2018 The Possession of Hannah Grace n/a n/a Sony / Columbia
12/7/2018 The Silence n/a n/a Global Road
12/14/2018 Mortal Engines $16,000,000 $55,000,000 Universal
12/14/2018 The Mule $14,000,000 $80,000,000 Warner Bros.
12/14/2018 Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $22,000,000 $90,000,000 Sony / Columbia
12/19/2018 Mary Poppins Returns $40,000,000 NEW $350,000,000 NEW Disney
12/21/2018 Aquaman $45,000,000 NEW $175,000,000 NEW Warner Bros.
12/21/2018 Bumblebee $20,000,000 NEW $100,000,000 NEW Paramount
12/21/2018 Second Act $7,000,000 -22% $40,000,000 STX
12/21/2018 Untitled Deadpool Movie n/a n/a Fox
12/21/2018 Welcome to Marwen n/a n/a Universal

Contact us for information about subscribing to Boxoffice.com’s suite of forecasting and data services.

Alex Edghill contributed to research for this report

Shawn Robbins

72 Comments

  1. Avatar
    Leo October 26, 2018

    I don’t see Aquaman finishing with half of what Mary Poppins ends up making I see Aquaman opening more towards 60-65 million and finishing somewhere between 225-250 and Mary Poppins opening around 30-35 million and having longer legs

    Reply
  2. Avatar
    Leo October 26, 2018

    I don’t see Aquaman ending up with half of what Mary Poppins makes I see Aquaman opening with 60-65 million opening weekend and finishing with around 230-275 Mary Poppins opening with 30-35 million but having longer legs.

    Reply
  3. Avatar
    Billgins October 26, 2018

    That is an INSANE prediction for Aquaman – they will get $70M+ to open – the question becomes – what is the multiple?

    Reply
    • Avatar
      night walker October 27, 2018

      you are absolutely right Billgins. Aqua-man is practically already as anticipated as Wonder Woman was before opening weekend. not to mention 45 million is not even a possibility with bad reviews, green lantern made 53 million opening weekend back in 2011 with reviews worse than BM, V, SM, and suicide squad. with inflation green lantern opened with 60 million. Aqua-man is almost guaranteed to have good reviews with James Wan at the helm, and with good reviews the holiday season will give it legs at least similar to wonder woman’s 4 multiple. I predict a 85 million opening with a 4 multiple, and a 340 million domestic total.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Bugs Meany October 31, 2018

        Are you a producer on Aquaman? The anticipation level isn’t close to what it was for Wonder Woman. Everyone knows Wonder Woman. Aquaman is best known for the time Seinfeld was making fun of him.

        Reply
        • Avatar
          Will October 31, 2018

          Aquaman is actually most known by Millenials( the film’s target demographic)as the BADASS from Justice League The Animated Series and Justice League The Movie….U must be OLD😂

          Reply
        • Avatar
          night walker November 01, 2018

          Just based off of YouTube views Wonder Woman’s most watched official trailer had 29 million views. wonder woman had four trailers with an average of close to 21 million views. Aqua-man’s most viewed official trailer has 41 million views, and Aqua-man’s five minute extended video currently has over 9 million views. the average for the two so far is 25 million views. I do realize that YouTube views aren’t everything, but there was a lot of hype for that first Aqua-man trailer, and the large majority of the reactions have been extremely positive.

          Reply
  4. Avatar
    Malik Aaron October 26, 2018

    That Bumblebee prediction is ridiculously low. It should open at least close to The Last Knight’s opening weekend ($44 million).

    Reply
  5. Avatar
    Mujan October 26, 2018

    early safe low-balling except for grinch 😮 TTVOMJ

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Jacen October 26, 2018

      Agreed, especially on Aquaman, which still has the stigma of it being Aquaman, the guy in the orange-sometimes-gold shirt who can talk to fish. As we get closer, early buzz/critical reaction will probably help improve the film’s B.O. expectations. I don’t expect it to get as high as Jumanji 2 in the final tally, but it could still end up playing like that in terms of a much higher gross than expected.

      Reply
  6. Avatar
    Sebastian October 26, 2018

    How much do you think the new Deadpool movie will make?

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Aqualad November 01, 2018

      10-15 millions opening and 30 millions for the total because no one care about a pg-13 deadpool

      Reply
  7. Avatar
    Austin October 26, 2018

    I don’t see Aquaman only making half of what Mary Poppins Makes I think Aquaman will do 65-70 million opening weekend then end up with around 230-275 million and Mary Poppins will do 30-35 million opening weekend then will have longer legs

    Reply
  8. Avatar
    getee October 26, 2018

    Aquaman will open much bigger than that. And what happened to Welcome to Marwen? damn so many movies in December.

    Reply
  9. Avatar
    Eugene A Lee October 26, 2018

    Sad aquaman numbers

    Reply
    • Avatar
      night walker October 31, 2018

      Eugene A Lee, if you think that the early tracking for Aqua-man is going to happen you need to reconsider. The last time a Justice League based character made less than $45 million in opening weekend (Not considering inflation) was Batman and Robin in 1997 which opened with around $43 million.

      Reply
  10. Avatar
    Will October 26, 2018

    I think Aquaman will come in higher than this…It’s easily the most anticipated movie for the rest of the year.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Marcos Vinicius October 27, 2018

      Aquaman com isso.
      Acho que Aquaman vai ter muito mais do que isso.O filme é um dos mais aguardados do ano,e ele pode ser o melhor do ano.
      Tenho certeza que isso esta errado sobre aquaman.
      S

      Reply
    • Avatar
      Bugs Meany October 27, 2018

      “Easily”? The view counts for the trailer don’t suggest that.

      The character has been a punchline for decades, and Momoa’s appearance in Justice League didn’t get the “best part of a bad movie” label that Gal Gadot got for BvS. The buzz just isn’t there.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Will October 30, 2018

        Actually the official Aquaman trailer was the most Viewed and “Liked” trailer out of Comic-Con and has far more Views and “Likes” than both Bumblebee and Mary Poppins Returns

        Reply
        • Avatar
          Bugs Meany October 31, 2018

          There were no other big trailers coming out of Comic-Con (the Captain Marvel trailer was months away), so there was no competition for that title.

          I’ll grant you that Aquaman is more anticipated than Bumblebee, but no way more than Mary Poppins Returns. The MPR audience (parents and children) isn’t watching trailers on YouTube, so that doesn’t convince me. Movie star playing iconic character > TV star playing punchline character.

          Reply
          • Avatar
            Will October 31, 2018

            Actually there were alot of Big Blockbuster Trailers that released during San Diego Comic-Con(Godzilla King Of Monsters, Shazam, Fantastic Beasts Crimes Of Grindlewald, Venom, Halloween etc etc) and Aquaman was the most viewed, discussed and “Liked” trailer out of all of those. Also, Aquaman looks a million times better than Mary Poppins Returns….The visuals are fantastic and definitely more suited to be seen on the Big Screen and especially in IMAX….Not to mention Aquaman’s trailer has 10’s of Millions more Views and “Likes” than that film…..My entire family is hyped to see Aquaman(even my 10 yr old daughter who has absolutely no clue who Mary Poppins is but is a huge fan of Mera)….Aquaman is shaping up to be the Biggest Blockbuster Hit of The Holiday Season and deservedly so because it looks absolutely fantastic.

        • Avatar
          Ana November 02, 2018

          Mary Poppins will outgross domestically. I’ll come back to this post just to say I was right like I always do. YouTube views aren’t that accurate. Venom is the 3rd most liked trailer of all time on YT and is one of the most viewed trailers ever on all social media platforms. Yet it barely cracked $80m on a week with no competition for its target audience. Aquaman $60m peak estimate is accurate. Also Musicals are unpredictable you don’t know how well they can perform. Your entire family may be hyped for Aquaman but that doesn’t speak for everyone, no one from my family is in the least bit interested in Aquaman (not really for poppins either). Also Mary has had a better social media reaction than Aquaman for the trailers, will have Oscar buzz, and gets more attention on facebook. Neither will have steller openings. Aquaman will win worldwide, poppins will win domestic.

          Reply
          • Avatar
            night walker November 04, 2018

            Ana, Venom,s $80 million opening, and $200+ million domestic total are to be expected. due to it’s critical failure it did extremely well. By the way Aqua-man’s trailer reactions are incredible. Aqua-man’s first trailer has more than double the amount of likes than both of Mary Poppins trailers combined.

      • Avatar
        night walker November 01, 2018

        Bugs Meany, what Aqua-man trailer were you preferring to?

        Reply
    • Avatar
      Connor Webb October 28, 2018

      People don’t like Aquaman though. Everyone thinks he’s ridiculous.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        night walker October 31, 2018

        What do you mean people don’t like him? Yes he’s been used as a comic book punch line for a wile, but anyone who knows anything about him knows he’s one of the most awesome, and powerful heroes in the justice league. why do you think he was getting a movie release date even before Wonder Woman came out rather than the flash?

        Reply
  11. Avatar
    navtej singh October 26, 2018

    if Aquaman is good then even 50m opening will do just fine, it will have good legs

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Jdiggle October 27, 2018

      You might even say it has… “sea legs”.

      Reply
  12. Avatar
    Nonato October 26, 2018

    Mary Poppins: somewhere in 90M
    Aquaman: somewhere in 50M
    Bumblebee: somewhere in 40M

    Reply
    • Avatar
      night walker November 04, 2018

      Nonato, Mary Poppins, and Aqua-man’s openings should be the other way around.

      Reply
  13. Avatar
    Whodunit October 27, 2018

    Really safe/low numbers for Aquaman and Mary Poppins in my opinion.

    Reply
  14. Avatar
    it's me mario October 27, 2018

    If Solo made 400 mil then bumblebee should do less than that worldwide.
    Is there still interest in Transformers movies? They were repetitive after one point but they had some elements to be succesful besides The last knight.
    However Bumblebee seems redundant and unnecessary.

    Reply
  15. Avatar
    it's me mario October 27, 2018

    If Solo made 400 mil then bumblebee should do less than that worldwide.
    Is there still interest in Transformers movies? They were repetitive after one point but they had some elements to be succesful besides The last knight.
    However Bumblebee seems redundant and unnecessary. .

    Reply
  16. Avatar
    Loin October 27, 2018

    How is Grinch supposed to make 20 mil more than Ralph ?It’s possible but I would rather see Ralph 2 especially with the cameos than the animated version of Grinch.
    Is turning live action films into animated (Into the Spider verse,Grinch) becoming a new “thing” or something?

    Reply
    • Avatar
      night walker October 31, 2018

      The Grinch does have more potential than Ralph, and it has the potential to make as much as the tracking has it, but I do think Ralph will make more than tracking has it.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        night walker November 05, 2018

        My Grinch prediction $75 million opening weekend, $300 million domestic total. $700 million world wide. Ralph breaks the internet prediction $60-$70 million opening $240-$280 million domestic total. $650-$750 million worldwide finish. I’m leaning to the higher domestic end on wreak it Ralph. There is so much in this movie, and the social media reactions to the early movie showings are extremely positive.

        Reply
  17. Avatar
    Tom S October 27, 2018

    This could be an bad Christmas holiday season compared to what happened last holiday season. In a worst case scenario, we may see holdovers be in second or third place. This is especially true if Spider-Man: into the Spider-verse does well.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      night walker November 05, 2018

      If Spider-verse dose well it’s safe to say that Aqua-man, Marry Poppins, and Bumblebee will also do well. Spider-man into the spider-verse is predicted to make less than all three of those movies, I don’t think the Spider-man into the Spider-verse prediction is right, and expect it to make more, but it wont be able to take down the new releases, especially not in it’s second weekend. and no movie from November will have strong enough legs to breach the top three in the weekend of December 21st-23rd.

      Reply
  18. Avatar
    Juan Manuel October 27, 2018

    I’m more worried about the “Welcome to Marwen” performance. Haven’t heard a lot of buzz after the two trailers came out, and it doesn’t help either the stiff competition it has and the fact that most of the countries are going to release it during 2019.

    I expect that it has a decent budget (40 – 50 million) and it will play well to audiences worldwide. (120 million, i guess)

    Meanwhile, Mary Poppins, Bumblebee and Spiderman: Into the Spiderverse are going to kill at the box office

    Reply
    • Avatar
      night walker November 04, 2018

      Juan Manuel, you think, and stated that Bumblebee will-(kill)-at the box office, but you don’t even mention Aqua-man in your entire comment?

      Reply
  19. Avatar
    Fidel October 27, 2018

    Bumblebee and Aquaman look like the type of movies the crowd want for Cristmas in spite of their respective franchises. Both of them will be hits.

    Reply
  20. Avatar
    Revan October 27, 2018

    350m domestic! That’s Never happening! It may make that total amount worldwide…. maybe a little more. It will have maybe 150-200m domestic total for a 350-450m worldwide total.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Connor Webb October 28, 2018

      You ever hear of the Beauty and the Beast remake?

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Revan October 30, 2018

        Lol yes…. and I predicted it would make 1,220 billion months before it was released… look where it ended up. And beauty and the beast is tons more popular than Mary poppins… LOL

        Reply
  21. Avatar
    Greg October 27, 2018

    Mary Poppins opening to 40 and ending with 350? I know the holidays are a bonanza, but can someone explain to me to how it gets a 9X multiplier?

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Ben October 27, 2018

      Pretty sure Jumanji did a 10 times multiplier, just the holiday inflation ig

      Reply
      • Avatar
        night walker November 05, 2018

        Correction Jumanji did an 11.2 multiplier. the holidays are crazy good to movies.

        Reply
    • Avatar
      Tom October 27, 2018

      They’re basing this on how movie musicals and Disney live action films perform around the holidays, when 10x + multipliers have been quite common.

      Reply
    • Avatar
      Russell October 27, 2018

      I think a better comparison for Mary Poppins Returns might be The Polar Express, that had a 7x multiplier. If that happened, it would open with $40m and close with $280m. I think Aquaman will open with $60-65m and end up with $200m domestic. Bumblebee will probably open with $30-35m and close with $100-110m domestic.

      Reply
  22. Avatar
    night walker October 27, 2018

    Green lantern had a 53 million opening weekend 60 million with inflation, and that film has a 26% on Rotten tomatoes, (worse than anything in the DCEU) so giving its current anticipation it should top 60 million in opening weekend even with bad reviews. with good or great reviews this film could easily be December 2018’s biggest domestic, and worldwide hit. this movie already has about as much anticipation as Wonder Woman before it opened, and with the holiday season it should have a similar 4 multiple. My prediction is an 85 million opening with a 4 multiplier, and a 340 million domestic total.

    Reply
  23. Avatar
    night walker October 27, 2018

    Aqua-man opening 85 million. 340 million total.

    Reply
  24. Avatar
    Mean Mutha... October 28, 2018

    This website has gotten several of their predictions wrong by large margins. This is the same website that thought The Meg, and Crazy Rich Asians would bomb, and estimated Venoms final gross to $130 million. They also thought Happy Time Murders would be a moderate hit. Lol!! That’s just to mention a few. They’re not too good at these predictions.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Revan October 30, 2018

      So true!!!!

      Reply
  25. Avatar
    George October 28, 2018

    I think most underestimate the appeal of this new Mary Poppins. I mean there is nostalgia for the original. The trailer has tremendous positive buzz. Early screenings are through the roof. This has potential to be as big as they’re predicting. It could possibly exceed it too.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Revan October 30, 2018

      LOL YOU MUST BE JOKING… NOT

      Reply
  26. Avatar
    john October 28, 2018

    22mil / 90 mil total for Spider-Man is just plain silly low. I’m not a fan but it looks very well made and reaches a large demographic.

    Reply
  27. Avatar
    Charles October 30, 2018

    Some fans seem to be heavily invested in certain films and are working overtime on this and other movie comment sections. I find it interesting.

    Reply
  28. Avatar
    Daniel Jake October 31, 2018

    Mary Poppins Returns $40 million opening weekend?!!!?! It will do at least double that!!!

    Reply
  29. Avatar
    Andy October 31, 2018

    I don’t get why so many people think the Aquaman prediction is ridiculous. It’s still early. I can’t see it outgrossing Justice League or Logan domestically. If it turns out to be really good I could see it doing similar to I am Legend (around $75M opening and $250M final) A lot of people who aren’t really into these types of movies are not interested and it will be harder for them to be talked into seeing an Aquaman movie compared to a movie like Captain America or Wonder Woman.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Will October 31, 2018

      Dude, Wonder Woman opened with $103 Million and made $821 Million, Suicide Squad opened with $133 Million and made $746 Million, Man Of Steel opened with $116 Million and did $668 Million etc etc… My point is, DC Movies make alot of money and Aquaman based on the trailers looks a million times better than all of those films I just named…

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Andy October 31, 2018

        I definitely think the movie will be successful but it could end up being a case of less people paying to see the better movie after Justice League disappointed. It can make less than those other films and still be a hit. The first Ant-Man movie made $180M domestic and $520M worldwide just months after Age of Ultron made $1.4B and is still considered successful. If the bar is set unrealistically high in comparison to its predecessors then it opens the door to negative coverage about the movie underperforming which isn’t a headline any franchise (especially DC) needs.

        Reply
        • Avatar
          Will November 01, 2018

          But Justice League was only a disappointment to critics and trolls…Casual moviegoers and DC fans for the most part enjoyed it…That’s evidenced by it’s B+ Cinemascore( same as Venom), MCU level legs( it only fell about 55% in it’s second weekend), Certified Fresh Audience Score on Rottentomatoes and the fact that it is one of the Best Selling BluRay/Digital Releases of 2018….Critics and Social Media trolls painted this false narrative that Justice League was this terrible movie, when in fact, most casual moviegoers who saw it enjoyed it for the most part.

          Reply
          • Avatar
            Andy November 01, 2018

            I totally agree. For the most part the (fewer) people that saw Justice League enjoyed it. A negative narrative was created but that’s unfortunately just how it works. Justice League made more than $200M less than Batman v Superman, and not everyone was pleased with the movie. At this point most of the general public has seemingly been conditioned to dislike and expect disappointment when it comes to the DCEU (with the exception of Wonder Woman – for now), so I don’t see much growth happening yet but Aquaman could be the movie to start turning things around (Shazam looks pretty great, too). I actually really like the DCEU and most of its movies, just trying to look at the situation through an unbiased lens.

        • Avatar
          night walker November 01, 2018

          If Aqua-man plays out similar compared to justice league as Wonder Woman did to BM V SM than Aqua-man should make around $286 million domestic, and $610 million worldwide. I think Aqua-man will make more, but this is a realistic prediction.

          Reply
    • Avatar
      night walker November 01, 2018

      Andy, you said “a lot of people who are not interested into these types of movies, (I assume you mean super hero movies) are not interested.” first off super hero movies have been a huge draw at the box office ever since the first superman movie came out in the 70’s. the super hero movie genre has grown, and if 2018 hasn’t been proof enough they are by far the biggest box office draws. Aqua-man isn’t hurting for people willing to see a super hero movie. furthermore Aqua-man’s box office chances are a lot better than the first Captain America movie was. What you said though wasn’t completely wrong.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Andy November 01, 2018

        I agree superhero movies are not exactly a hard sell these days. I just meant Aquaman is largely an untested character. When I compared it to characters like Captain America and Wonder Woman, I mean that those characters are icons that you would be hard pressed to find someone who wasn’t at least familiar with the names. Who knows though, many people weren’t too familiar with Iron Man and look where we are now. I do think the movie will perform better than what is currently being predicted, but even if it does come in closer to what Ant-man made, I don’t think those numbers are anything to be disappointed with, especially if the movie turns out as good as it looks.

        Reply
        • Avatar
          night walker November 03, 2018

          You have a good point.

          Reply
  30. Avatar
    Aqualad November 01, 2018

    350 millions for mary poppins, seriously ? no one care about this shitting movie directed by Rob marshall the worst director of the century ( he have make pirates of the carraibean 4 and into the woods 2 shitting disney movies ), i think 25 millions opening for mary poppins and 100 millions total. For Aquaman i think 85 millions opening and 325 millions total . And for bumblebee , 55 millions openning and 175 millions total .

    Reply
    • Avatar
      night walker November 04, 2018

      Just making a note on Bohemian Rhapsody, and the Nutcracker. Bohemian Rhapsody made an estimated $50 million in it’s opening weekend already beating the $39 million opening predicted, and the Nutcracker landed right on the predicted $20 million opening with extremely negative reviews. We don’t need to worry about how well the box office will do in the holiday season of 2018.

      Reply
    • Avatar
      night walker November 04, 2018

      Aqualad, I agree with your Aqua-man prediction, and I can see the bumble bee prediction happening, but Marry Poppins ending with $100 million? into the woods was critically fresh, and made $128 million domestically. Rob Marshall can make a good musical. I don’t agree that Mary Poppins will make $350 million domestic (However it could)-but I do see it making between $175-$250 million in it’s domestic run.

      Reply
  31. Avatar
    night walker November 05, 2018

    I’m Making a prediction on Crimes of Grindelwald. $80 million opening weekend $250 million domestic total, $870 million world wide.

    Spider-man into the Spider-verse-$50 million opening $200 million domestic total, $500-$550 million world wide.

    Aqua-man-$85 million opening $340 million domestic total, $825 million world wide.

    Mary Poppins-$40 million opening $250 million domestic total, $550 million world wide.

    Bumblebee-$30-$50 million opening $150 million domestic total. $560 million world wide.

    Reply

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