Long Range Tracking: ‘Miss Bala’; Plus ‘Spider-Man,’ ‘Aquaman,’ ‘Holmes & Watson’ and More Updates
This week’s only new addition to our long range report, Sony’s Miss Bala, is slated for release on February 1. Tracking for LD Entertainment’s Jacob’s Ladder and Aviron’s The Informer will be covered at a later date.
Opening Weekend Range: $8 – 15 million
- Demand for more female-driven action films could result in notable interest for this film, especially among Latino communities thanks to star Gina Rodriguez. Counter-programming the male-dominated Super Bowl on opening Sunday could be another advantage.
- Early trailer trends and social media impact are lukewarm at this point in time with metrics drawing comparisons to films like Peppermint and Proud Mary.
|Release Date||Title||3-Day Wide Release Tracking||% Chg from Last Week||Domestic Total Forecast||% Chg from Last Week||Estimated Location Count||Distributor|
|12/12/2018||Once Upon a Deadpool (Limited Release)||n/a||n/a||500||Fox|
|12/14/2018||The Mule||$17,000,000||6%||$85,000,000||6%||2,400||Warner Bros.|
|12/14/2018||Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse||$31,500,000||5%||$140,000,000||4%||3,400||Sony / Columbia|
|12/19/2018||Mary Poppins Returns||$38,000,000||$320,000,000||3,800||Disney|
|12/21/2018||Welcome to Marwen||$4,500,000||$22,000,000||2,400||Universal|
|12/25/2018||Holmes & Watson||$13,000,000||-24%||$69,000,000||-19%||Sony / Columbia|
|1/4/2019||Escape Room||$13,000,000||$32,000,000||Sony / Columbia|
|1/11/2019||A Dog’s Way Home||$12,000,000||$40,000,000||Sony / Columbia|
|1/11/2019||Perfect Strangers||n/a||n/a||Lionsgate / Pantelion Films|
|1/18/2019||Arctic Dogs||$5,500,000||$17,000,000||Entertainment Studios|
|1/25/2019||The Kid Who Would Be King||$15,000,000||$50,000,000||Fox|
|1/25/2019||Untitled STX Action/Thriller||n/a||n/a||STX Entertainment|
|2/1/2019||Jacob’s Ladder||n/a||n/a||LD Entertainment|
|2/1/2019||Miss Bala||$10,000,000||NEW||$28,000,000||NEW||Sony / Columbia|
Tracking and forecasts are subject to change each week as marketing, reviews, and other factors are taken into consideration.
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