Long Range Tracking: Shazam!, Pet Sematary, & The Best of Enemies

This week’s report takes a first look at the beginning of Q2 2019 with the release of three studio titles on April 5.

Shazam!
Opening Weekend Range: $40 – 60 million

PROS:

  • The promise of a coming-of-age entry in the DC film universe could provide a welcome change of pace for fans and general audiences alike, especially with initial comparisons to the modern classic Big. Appeal to teens could be particularly notable, which could drive significant upside to current forecasts.
  • Early social media buzz and trailer reactions have been very encouraging. The film earned a 77 percent interest score on Trailer Impact, not far behind the 83 percent of Aquaman nearly two months from its release.
  • This film’s strong comedic approach could represent another fresh aspect to attract moviegoers looking for a pure dose of popcorn fun from the genre leading up to a “darker” Avengers: Endgame later in the month.

CONS:

  • By and large, the character isn’t widely known outside of DC fans. That may not be a problem in the long run if reviews are strong, but it could translate to longer legs as opposed to the big debut typical of many superhero films.
  • Releasing one week after Dumbo, there may be competition for some of the family audience that often drives superhero titles. The aforementioned Avengers sequel opening three weeks later will represent a looming threat for that audience as well.

Pet Sematary
Opening Weekend Range: $20 – 30 million

PROS:

  • As noted many times in recent years, the horror genre has never been more lucrative than it is with today’s audiences.
  • The added fan base of Stephen King and fans of the original 1989 film and its sequel introduce an element of nostalgia that might benefit this remake’s opening.

CONS:

  • Releasing two weeks after Us could prove challenging if Jordan Peele’s next film earns strong audience approval.

The Best of Enemies
Opening Weekend Range: $7 – 12 million

PROS:

  • Taraji P. Henson and Sam Rockwell are widely respected actors whose fans may be intrigued by the chemistry the pair have on screen.
  • The spring slate is largely devoid of adult-leaning dramas from major studios, leaving an open space for this to catch on if reception hits the mark.

CONS:

  • Similar dramas like Marshall and Black or White weren’t able to catch on at the box office despite their important subject matter, leaving us on the cautious end of expectations for now.

8-Week Tracking

Release Date Title 3-Day Wide Release Tracking % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor
2/13/2019 Happy Death Day 2U $20,000,000 $52,000,000 3,000 Universal
2/13/2019 Isn’t It Romantic $15,000,000 $57,000,000 3,300 Warner Bros.
2/14/2019 Alita: Battle Angel $17,000,000 6% $48,000,000 6% 3,700 Fox
2/22/2019 Fighting with My Family $8,000,000 $25,000,000 2,200 MGM
2/22/2019 How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World $49,000,000 $173,000,000 4,200 Universal
3/1/2019 Greta n/a n/a Focus Features
3/1/2019 Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral $27,000,000 $68,000,000 Lionsgate
3/8/2019 Captain Marvel $160,000,000 $440,000,000 Disney / Marvel
3/15/2019 No Manches Frida 2 n/a n/a Lionsgate / Pantelion Films
3/15/2019 Five Feet Apart $11,000,000 $37,000,000 Lionsgate
3/15/2019 Wonder Park $8,000,000 $30,000,000 Paramount
3/22/2019 The Informer n/a n/a Aviron
3/22/2019 Us $42,000,000 $135,000,000 Universal
3/29/2019 Dumbo (2019) $59,000,000 $175,000,000 Disney
3/29/2019 Hotel Mumbai n/a n/a Bleecker Street
3/29/2019 Unplanned n/a n/a Pure Flix
4/5/2019 The Best of Enemies $10,000,000 NEW $30,000,000 NEW STX
4/5/2019 Pet Sematary (2019) $28,000,000 NEW $65,000,000 NEW Paramount
4/5/2019 Shazam! $45,000,000 NEW $144,000,000 NEW Warner Bros.

Tracking and forecasts are subject to change each week as marketing, reviews, and other factors are taken into consideration.

Contact us for information about subscribing to Boxoffice.com’s suite of forecasting and data services.

Alex Edghill contributed to this report

Shawn Robbins

80 Comments

  1. Avatar
    Alessio Pasquali February 08, 2019

    Kinda lowballing Shazam, but I think it’s a fair lowballing. Maybe will open to Aquaman numbers but, will only get to $200M domestic. Kinda understandable, since we still haven’t gotten a second trailer yet, despite the obvious belief yet believable outcome that it’ll be a good movie.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      BDTrooper February 08, 2019

      Hey, I’m a fan of Zachary Levi from Chuck, and Shazam! looks like a fun movie. You could compare it to Big, or The Greatest American Hero, or maybe even Scott Pilgrim. But I don’t see how it gets near $200M or opens near Aquaman numbers. It’s being released in the wake of Captain Marvel, and superhero fans will be salivating for the Avengers movie, so Shazam! may get lost in the crowd. But I hope it does do well.

      I think Pet Sematary will do much better than predicted here. Horror is hot, and we saw the huge numbers for another recent King remake in It. So, expect PS to open at over $30M on its way to the century mark or higher. Me thinks.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Erica Alamanjo February 08, 2019

        Shazam comes out 4 weeks after Captian Marvel which makes it a complete nonfactor. Dumbo smells like its gonna be another Mary Poppins and I don’t see why kids would want to see it over a superhero movie lol. There isn’t a single DCEU movie below 200M DOM and I don’t see this being the one to do it. The only thing stopping this thing from logging out to 300M is Endgame, and who knows they may be able to coexist. Why do peopl act like you can’t see more than one movie in the same month?

        Reply
        • Avatar
          R. Mejia February 08, 2019

          Yes!!! Shazam is not only getting to $300 million domestic, it’s surpassing the $700 million that Black Panther got! The DCEU is a beast that cannot be tamed! The box office pros, who do this for a living and use sophisticated methodologies to compute their estimates know nothing! DCEU fans know all because the DCEU is the greatest! The greatest, I say!!!

          Reply
          • Avatar
            Orlando February 08, 2019

            @R. Mejia – I assume you are kidding with that ridiculous comment you made, either that or you’ve mistaken April Fool’s Day for today. Let me clear the clog out your head and make this very clear to you, “Avatar”, “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” and “Black Panther” are the only 3 films ever to have made at least $700 million domestic and “Shazam” is no possible scenario has any chance in hell of ever making that amount, NO CHANCE. Now if you mistakenly meant to say $700 million worldwide that’s different and not out the realms of possibility. Otherwise saying “Shazam” is going to make that amount of money is basically saying it’s going to likely make more money than “Avengers: End Game” domestically and you can’t be that stupid, you just can’t.

          • Avatar
            Unngoy Ka February 08, 2019

            Remember when this website predicted Aquaman to make $160m domestic? Yeah, so far it’s made twice that. Shazam can definitely surprise. We will see.

          • Avatar
            Erica Alamanjo February 09, 2019

            They are literally wrong half of the time and it’s not their fault. The box office is sometimes very unpredictable. It doesn’t matter if it’s their job, they are predicting Shazams box office over social media tracking and nothing else. There is a reason this is long range tracking and it will change.

          • Avatar
            R. Mejia February 09, 2019

            The DCEU has never had a film under $800 million! The MCU has never had a non-Avengers film make $1 billion! The only reason these projections are low is because people are out to get the DCEU. The Shazam film has a shot to earn more than Endgame since Endgame will be 3 hours long and is depressing. Shazam is funny! Mark my words: between the two Shazam will reach $1 billion and Endgame won’t!

          • Avatar
            Erica Alamanjo February 09, 2019

            You’re making me out to be some DC fanatic but I’m not lol. I’m a CBM fan in general and I don’t care about DCvMarvel. A simple look shows that they over predict and under predict movies all the time. Comeback when you actually have something interesting to share about box office predictions.

          • Avatar
            R. Mejia February 09, 2019

            DCEU fans aren’t going anywhere, sorry. After all this time we still stan for the legendary Snyder cut; that should let everyone know we don’t accept defeat (not that we ever lose anyway).

          • Avatar
            Nite walker February 09, 2019

            R. Mejia are you serious it’s unlikely but possible for Shazam to make $1 billion after Aquaman. But saying that Endgame won’t cross the $1 billion mark is almost if not absolutely stupidity. Endgame is the movie where you should discuss whether or not it can surpass Avatar world wide not question the garrenteed $1 billion mark. Endgame is going to pass $1 billion it’s just a fact, $2 billion isnt garrenteed, but very likely. $3 billion wile not likely is a possibility.

          • Avatar
            Alex H. February 10, 2019

            Look, I am a Shazam and Zachary Levi Fan, I have been for years. Hear me out, the movie will 💯 not make 1 Billion, due to the movie only getting a teaser trailer and a TV Spot. It will for sure attract an audience, and will make much more money than as predicted (700-800 million.)
            Now, what really annoys me is the fact that you think that Avengers Endgame won’t cross 1 Billion. This movie pretty much is guaranteed for 2 Billion, and grow up, not every movie has to comedy to pass 1 Billion Dollars. Also, Black Panther, Civil War & some other movie shave passed 1 Billion, and they ain’t Avengers Movies. Shazam will be a success for audiences and critics, and most likely in the Box Office too, but your expectations are ridiculous.

          • Avatar
            Nite walker February 10, 2019

            R. Mejia I also just noticed that all of your facts we’re wrong the whole no DCEU movie has made less than $800 million was wrong there was Man Of Steel, Justice league, and Suicide Squad that made less than $800 million, suicide squad probably would have made over $800 million if it was released in China but it wasn’t. And the MCU had had more than just avengers movies make over $1 billion, Iron man 3, Captain America 3, and Black Panther. Get your facts right if you are going to argue.

          • Avatar
            Truth February 11, 2019

            Haha, there’s no way in hell that Shazam is going to beat Black Panther. ZERO!

    • Avatar
      Nite walker February 08, 2019

      Come on they lowballed
      Wonder Woman, and Aqua-man by huge amounts. If Shazam is good $60 million domestic opening, and $175 million domestic total will be the low. Similar to Thor, and Captain America the first avenger. And dumbo isn’t going to steel compotition from Shazam or make more than Shazam I am 90% positive about that statment. The only reason it is not 100% is that if Shzam is bad it will suffer at the box office, and because Disney live action remakes do make a lot, but Dumbo is playing in the range of Cinderella.

      Reply
  2. Avatar
    Will February 08, 2019

    Im super excited for Shazam…Based on the trailers it looks really good.

    Reply
  3. Avatar
    Matt February 08, 2019

    Yeah, I don’t think it’ll get Aquaman numbers because no one really knows who Shazam is and I think Aquaman came out at the perfect time. Just before Christmas.

    Shazam is sandwiched between Captain Marvel and Endgame. It’s gonna be hard to get too much traction there.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Joe February 08, 2019

      U do know that ppl can see more than one or two movies right? What does Endgame and Captain Marvel have to do with Shazam making $$$? DC fans will rush out to see Shazam on opening weekend, Marvel fans will rush out to see Captain Marvel/Shazam on opening weekend and General Audiences/Regular Comic Book Film fans will see all 3 eventually if they are all good movies.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Nite walker February 08, 2019

        I’m seeing all three.

        Reply
  4. Avatar
    Rob Moreno February 08, 2019

    Completely agree with the Shazam numbers. I thought for sure that it would initially project for at least $160-$170 million domestically, but then again I also thought with almost 100% certainty that Aquaman would pass Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 domestically and that’s not happening, so what do I know ( in fact Aquaman still to this date hasn’t surpassed GotG 1 domestically, though I think it will by the time all is said and done). As it is, though, a $45 million opening, $140 million domestic haul seems a good guess; I wouldn’t be surprised if Box Office Pro ends up nailing this one almost exactly.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Unggoy Ka February 08, 2019

      I agree. I also thought Aquaman will not beat Ant-Man 2, Thor Ragnarok and Guardians. Now Aquaman has completed beaten all of them, domestically and worldwide. Aquaman has also beaten Iron-Man and Iron-Man 2, I thought it won’t be able to do it, but its beaten them both as well. Aquaman is such a massive surprise hit.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Rob Moreno February 11, 2019

        It’s beaten Ant-Man 2, Ragnarok, Guardians? Awesome! Would you mind updating me on whether or not it’s beaten Black Panther or any of the Avengers movies or Iron Man 3? I know I’m asking a favor but you seem like a nice person so would you mind just giving me a yes or no question on whether it’s beaten those films? Thanks in advance, Aquaman fan!

        Reply
        • Avatar
          Unggoy Ka February 11, 2019

          I agree. I can’t believe its beaten Ant-Man 2, Thor Ragnarok and Guardians., can you believe it? I cant’ either. Also, I’m glad you RAN to these threads as soon as DC’s projections are released. Are you insecure? No need to be insecure, Marvel has plenty of $1billion hits. But as they say, MONEY CAN’T SOLVE YOUR INSECURITIES. I’m glad you’re perch on a DC thread each time they arrive though.

          Reply
          • Avatar
            Rob Moreno February 11, 2019

            Well…you didn’t answer my question and instead got super-triggered, which is disappointing, seeing as how you seem like such an upstanding person. In any case, Champ, I’ll do it for you. The answer to the question of “Did Aquaman make more than Black Panther, the 3 Avengers movies, and Iron Man 3” is “No.” Also, it’s kind of weird how you say money isn’t everything but then repeat Aquaman’s box office triumphs over MCU movies, box office being something that involves, you know, money. It’s okay though, Slugger, it’s just a movie; no need to be all in your feelings about it, okay, Tiger?

          • Avatar
            Jeannette February 11, 2019

            Honestly, Unggoy Ka, it seems like you’re the one who’s insecure. All Rob Moreno did in his original post was talk about how he thinks Box Office’s Shazam predictions may end up being right and his surprise that Aquaman didn’t pass GotG 2 domestically. I really wish fan comments wouldn’t devolve into personal attacks since we don’t know each other as people; you can disagree with Rob, or me, or anyone but there’s no need to throw insults.

      • Avatar
        Rob Moreno February 11, 2019

        Unggoy Ka, hey bud, sorry to bother you again, but you’re also mistaken. As of this post, Aquaman still hasn’t passed Guardian’s 1 domestically. As of today, 2/11/19, Aquaman has about $328.5 domestically while Guardians 1 finished with $333 million domestically. Don’t worry though as I said in my original post, I’m sure it will get there when all is said and done. Keep the faith, pal! It’ll do it eventually!

        Reply
    • Avatar
      Alokoaa February 09, 2019

      I agree. I still can’t believe Aquaman has beaten Thor Ragnarok, and Guardians of the Galaxy. It will soon beat Spiderman Homecoming. I thought it won’t beat them, so what do I know.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Rob Moreno February 11, 2019

        Aquaman hasn’t surpassed Black Panther yet either? I’m surprised, seeing how big its China box office was, but don’t worry I’m very optimistic that the DCEU will someday have a movie that outgrosses Iron Man 3. Someday.

        Reply
        • Avatar
          Nite walker February 11, 2019

          People in China are still people. They wanted to see Aqua-man and they went to see it. Their movie tickets count just as much as anyone else’s. Black Panther was the bigger hit but that’s no reason to act like Aqua-man not making as much is a bad thing. Both were huge wins for Marvel, and DC.

          PS-Rob Moreno I’m not saying you were wrong in what you said. The facts were true.

          Reply
          • Avatar
            Rob Moreno February 11, 2019

            “-Rob Moreno I’m not saying you were wrong in what you said. The facts were true.” That’s all that need be said then, isn’t it? We should all be optimistic about the DCEU after Aquaman’s performance (in China especially) right? It’s factually true that Aquaman has beaten a handful of MCU movies’ box office and also factually true that to date 6 (soon to be 7 after Endgame) MCU movies have beaten all DCEU movies’ box office, correct? Good, then you agree with me and acknowledge I’m right.

        • Avatar
          Alokoaa February 11, 2019

          Well you brought up unrelated movies that Aquaman has not beaten, so he brought up movies Aquaman has beaten. No difference. But its strange why you’re so insecure. Clearly DC is always in your mind. You’re always shaking when a new DC movie arrives. No need to be insecure Rob Moreno. Marvel has A LOT of hugely successful movies and Captain Marvel is coming up.

          Reply
          • Avatar
            Rob Moreno February 11, 2019

            “Well you brought up unrelated movies.” This is literally what you did when you brought up Ant-Man and Ragnarok in response to my original post, but sure, it’s me doing it. I know you’re trying really hard to be tough and throw shade, but it’s really falling flat, honestly. I already know I got under your skin.

        • Avatar
          Hatut Zeraze February 11, 2019

          @Rob Moreno

          The U.S. box office numbers explain why Aquaman hasn’t grossed more than Black Panther:

          * Aquaman – $335 million

          * Black Panther – $700 million

          Now you know why Black Panther was called a phenomenon.

          The U.S. Is STILL the top market in the global box office. So, a film has to do phenomenal in U.S. to cross the $1.3 billion as Black Panther has.

          Reply
  5. Avatar
    Nite walker February 08, 2019

    Box office pro is way to pessimistic with the DCEU! The under predicted both Wonder Woman, and Aqua-man by large amounts, and they even under predicted Suicide Squad which got butchered by critics. As long as it is good Shzam will be around a $60 mill opening, and $175 million total domestically on a low note, similar to the first Thor, and Captain America movies. And Dumbo isn’t posing a threat to Shazam. When was the last time that people thought a DC movie would get slightly overlooked by a live action family Disney movie? Oh just a little bit over a month ago in December when Aqua-man suddenly destroyed Marry Poppins. I don’t have anything against Disney. But common the early long range tracking for DCEU movies is a joke.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Rob Moreno February 08, 2019

      Inflation does play a role even if you don’t want to acknowledge it. Shazam is coming out in 2019; comparing it to movies that came out in 2011 is fine, but it seems like you’re intentionally obscuring the issue in an attempt to show your support for the DCEU. Also, the whole “Shazam will have a higher box office than other well-known heroes’ first outings” view also applies to Ant-Man having a higher worldwide total than Batman Begins, if you really want to go there; I suspect you don’t, though, as it would undermine your premise of the DCEU being unfairly maligned by what you consider a Disney/Marvel-biased media.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Nite walker February 08, 2019

        Inflation is why it should do better. Both the first Thor, and Captain America films would have made $200 million domestically had they been released on 2019. Excluding the (2015) fantastic four reboot the prediction for Shazam states that it will be the lowest grossing Marvel or DC live action super hero film scince 2012 with the goast rider sequel not even considering inflation.

        Reply
        • Avatar
          Rob Moreno February 08, 2019

          Except that the issue of whether the Cap & Thor movies would do better/worse in 2019 wasn’t the point. Who knows and who cares about those what-if scenarios? You were saying that if Shazam makes $175 million domestic it’s okay because the first Cap/Thor had similar numbers, but those numbers are from 2011 so if Shazam were to make those numbers in 2019 it’s not an exact apples-to-apples comparison. In any case you clearly want Shazam and the DCEU to thrive, so good for you for being so emotionally invested in that outcome; you must be a true fan.

          Reply
          • Avatar
            Nite walker February 08, 2019

            I want a lot of franchise s to thrive including the MCU. I would have been the same way if Captain Marvel was predicted to make less than $300 million domestically. At least they were sold with that movies prediction. I was actually was very disappointed when Solo bomed, and I wanted ant man and the wasp to have higher grosses, but ant man and the wasp at least satisfied me. And I was so surprised when Jurassic World 2 exceeded expectations. I’m more of a box office fanatic than a DCEU one.

          • Avatar
            Nite walker February 08, 2019

            By the way inflation is the rise in price of a product the two MCU movies that I used as an example whould have made $200 million domestic with the same amount of tickets sold the price of the ticket would just be higher.

          • Avatar
            Nite walker February 08, 2019

            I do understand what you are saying, but I don’t think you understand why think Shazam will be higher than predicted. It is because if Shazam Makes $175 million this year it would be equivalent to around a $154 million gross back in 2011 so I’m actually saying Shazam can very likely sell less tickets than the average super hero movie. I’m sorry if I wasn’t clear before or if I still don’t seem to make scence.😃👌 Are we good?

          • Avatar
            Rob Moreno February 08, 2019

            Nite walker we’re good; I’m being sincere when I talk about how passionate you are. We all want good movies

    • Avatar
      Amelia February 08, 2019

      Imagine comparing Dumbo to freaking Mary Poppins Returns which is not only a musical (musicals gross $90m domestic at average) but also not a Disney ANIMATED CLASSIC TURNED LIVE ACTION REMAKE. Also Dumbo was alot bigger than Mary Poppins in adjusted gross (Not counting reissues). That’s just stupid, Dumbo is gonna outgross poppins in its 1st couple weeks of release worldwide. Also stop acting like lowballing is just for the DCEU, all superhero films get lowballed because their numbers are unpredictable. Deadpool $100m –> $125m, Black Panther $90m –> $202m, Avengers: Infinity War $215m –> $257m, Incredibles 2 $100m –> $182m. You’re making a big deal out of nothing, this is just early predictions anything can happen in the next 8 weeks in terms of predictions. Its called early tracking for a reason, all you can do is hope it turns out like Aquaman, Venom, and Black Panther where the numbers grew every week it was updated or it might end up like Ant Man where the early prediction stayed the same all the way up to release.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Nite walker February 11, 2019

        By the end of tracking Aqua-man was still only projected to make $240 million domestic in total. That is nearly $100 million in difference to the actual gross. And I understand that they under predict a lot of movies, and I have stated that out in other comment sections, but recently within the last few years super hero films have almost always been predicted to do worse than the actually end up doing. with the small exception of some that play right on par with tracking, or get hit hard by critics, and wind up flopping.

        Reply
  6. Avatar
    Nite walker February 08, 2019

    Shazam the movie with neerly 40 million views on YouTube extremely strong social buzz. The movie that is part of a franchise that’s lowest grossing film made $229 million domestic, and $658 million worldwide, with the franchise average at $319 million domestic, and $811 million worldwide. Also the last film in the franchise grossed over $325 million domestic, and over $1.1 billion worldwide. Some how this movie is only going to gross $9 million more than Us the horror flick that has interest but not neerly as much as Shzam. Ok I guess I should take the website’s word for it right? Not in your wildest dreams.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      BDTrooper February 10, 2019

      Shazam may be part of a franchise that has never grossed under $229/$658, but that franchise includes the most iconic super heroes of all time in Batman and Superman, and other well-known comic book characters like Wonder Woman and Aquaman, that had also been set up by previous films. Shazam is coming out of nowhere, a virtual standalone with a little-known character starring an actor best known for a TV show that, though it struggled through five seasons, was beloved nonetheless. The movie does look like a lot of fun, though we’ve seen similar premises before. Hey, I’m like you, I want all genre films to be good and to do well. I’d love Shazam to be a mega-hit as I’m a fan of Zachary Levi and the DCEU. I could be way off, but I feel BOPro’s predictions may even be optimistic. But I do hope you’re right.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Nite walker February 10, 2019

        I’m not expecting Shazam to top any other of the film’s in the DCEU I just think that saying it will gross $85 million less than the lowest grossing instalment in the franchise is a little bit to safe of a prediction.

        Reply
  7. Avatar
    Nite walker February 08, 2019

    So Shazam will make $16 million less in total than Captain Marvel will make in it’s opening weekend? Too funny. Aqua-man made $68 million more in total than INFINETY WAR made in it’s reacord shattering openning. This is a bunch of heressy.

    Reply
  8. Avatar
    Nite walker February 08, 2019

    The cons for Shazam said that his movie might not do so well because he is a less known character. But Captain Marvel is predicted to be one of 2019’s biggest hits, because everyone knew so much about her and who she is-(SARCASM!) I’m not saying Captain Marvel will do worse than expected I’m just saying Shazam will do better.

    Reply
  9. Avatar
    Nite walker February 08, 2019

    If you can’t tell from the comments this Shzam prediction got me pretty riled up. I just wanted to see a fun decently strong prediction that can keep people optimistic about this films chances. Just give it Ant-man size numbers or something.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      R. Mejia February 08, 2019

      Shazam will outgross Black Panther and Age of Ultron and maybe the first Avengers too when all is said and done. Relax, man, the DCEU can’t be stopped.

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Nite walker February 08, 2019

        I like the optimism, but I will play it a little safer. $60-$80 million opening, $175$-240 million domestic total.

        Reply
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          R. Mejia February 09, 2019

          Shazam will have $175-240 million domestic in its first four days or so, sure. Underestimating the DCEU is unwise.

          Reply
          • Avatar
            Nite walker February 10, 2019

            It has a shot of topping the $330 million gross of Batman VS Superman domestically. If it has over a 75% on rotten tomatoes. And yes the criticism still matters, but I think it will be good.

          • Avatar
            R. Mejia February 10, 2019

            I already said that it’s passing Black Panther’s $700 million domestic. I’m a DCEU fan; we’re never wrong. I’ve heard multiple sites besides Box Office suggest Shazam will have a tough time getting to $200 million domestically, but how can we trust people who aren’t fellow DCEU fans? Marvel bias may be affecting their predictions.

  10. Avatar
    Nite walker February 08, 2019

    I’m sorry that this prediction for Shazam got me so worked up. But inflation is actually one of the reasons Shazam should do better than they are predicting the first Thor, and Captain America movies would have made $73 million opening weekend, and $200 million domestically in total if they were released in 2019. This prediction states that Shazam will be the lowest grossing Marvel or DC super hero movie (excluding the 2015 fantastic four) scince 2012 not even taking into account the inflation. I just wanted to see this site be a little bold with shazam’s prediction.

    Reply
  11. Avatar
    Andy Z February 08, 2019

    The success of other movies in an established universe have absolutely nothing to do with the success of other entries. Let’s not forget that Ant-man and the Wasp made only $216M domestic the same year that Black Panther and Infinity war both earned over/under $700M domestic.

    Reply
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      Nite walker February 08, 2019

      True but that’s still $216 million for a guy who can communicate with ants. That’s actually pretty good Shazam didn’t even have to have a $200+ million prediction to make me happy it just needed to be around $165+ million for me to take it seriously. Again I will state excluding the 2015 fantastic four reboot Shazam is predicted to be the lowest grossing live action Marvel or DC film scince 2012 with the release of the second goast rider movie. Inflation not included.

      Reply
  12. Avatar
    Nite walker February 08, 2019

    what people don’t think about is the possibility that Shazam could steel the compotition away from movies like Captain Marvel, and Dumbo or just mabey all of these movies can do very well coexisting with each other.

    Reply
  13. Avatar
    Nite walker February 08, 2019

    Ok I will stop over committing to this comment section after this but I couldnt resist. Shazam is only going to make as much as the negatively reviewed Meg movie? Which for the record was only expected to make mabey $50 million domestically.

    Reply
  14. Avatar
    John February 08, 2019

    I think Shazaam will do better than that but by how much will depend on reviews. Dumbo will do Cinderella numbers at most and Captain Marvel will have mostly played out. Endgame will definitly hurt its staying power three weeks later so the first three weeks will be important

    Reply
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      Nite walker February 08, 2019

      You understand. Keep the possibilities open. 😃

      Reply
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        DC Rich February 08, 2019

        I can understand your frustration. However, every so called expert underestimated the box office of WW, SS, and Aquaman, not just Box Office Pro. You can’t blame them completely. First BvS woefully underperformed. Then Suicide Squad rebounded and did better than what was expected followed by the huge box office and critical success of Wonder Woman. But that was followed up by the huge failure of Justice League. You could see why a lot of people didn’t have faith in where WB/DC was headed. Aquaman proved them wrong and hopefully that helps guide them forward. Even if Shazam performs where they expect it to, doesn’t mean it’s a failure. Contrary to what some think, not every superhero movie has to set some kind of record to be deemed successful. The budget is lower than typical superhero movies and should allow them to help build the character over more than one movie. Which is like what MCU did with CA1 and Thor, except they clearly had bigger budgets. Stay calm and enjoy the movies.

        Reply
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          Nite walker February 08, 2019

          Ok I’m good now I’ve said my peice I’ll just see Shazam in theaters, and enjoy the movie (if it is good) and see how things play out for it financially.

          Reply
  15. Avatar
    Charles February 08, 2019

    Like clockwork, the DCEU fans have infested another comment board.

    Reply
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      Kaustav February 09, 2019

      Oh so wrong of the DCEU fans to infest the comment board about an article about a DCEU movie.

      Reply
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    RussVB February 09, 2019

    So as we still chuckle about Poppins and frown over C.Marvel and shrug for Dumbo, has the long-range tracker fallen under some sort of pro-Disney spell? Felt that way to me, but checking the archive, reality is no.
    Poppins — forecast here 350 — actual 168+
    Ralph 2 — here 200 — actual 197+
    Nutcracker — here 79 — actual 55
    Christopher Robin — here 110 — actual 99
    Ant-Man & Wasp — here 225 — actual 217
    Incredibles 2 — here 395 — actual 609

    Fair enough forecasting between the big under on Incredibles and the big over on Poppins.
    (Still, Captain (Ms) Marvel is too high & Captain (Shazam) Marvel is too low.)

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Nite walker February 09, 2019

      This website under predicts a lot of movies, and once in a while they have a high prediction.

      Reply
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    ChuckFan February 09, 2019

    As a longtime fan of Chuck, I can understand why projections for Shazam might be low. Despite being an awesome, hilarious show, Chuck, a show which Zachary Levi starred in, did pretty badly in the ratings. I never understood why the ratings for the show were so low given how entertaining and hilarious that show was.

    Levi hasn’t had much commercial success when he’s headlined a project. Chuck and Heroes Reborn did poorly (Heroes was terrible though). He looks well suited for Shazam, playing a role which looks similar to Chuck in the early seasons. But maybe that’s why some people are making predictions based on the ratings of his previous projects.

    I also think this movie would have done better during the holidays or summer when the kids are out of school.

    Reply
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    Nite walker February 10, 2019

    I’m going to make a bold statement. After glass, and the Lego movie 2 bringing in disappointing box office numbers, lower than expected, and after movies like the Upside, Escape room, and What men want brought in decent or much more than expected box office numbers I think that 2019 may have a lot more small surprises than we think, and more bigger movies do worse than expected. My bold statement is that Alita Battle Angel will be the first reel big box office surprise of 2019. With decent YouTube veiws solid TV marketing and a positive 62% on rotten tomatoes which is surprising due to the fact that it started with a 40% on rotten tomatoes.

    I think Alita will make $35-$50 million opening weekend, $110-$175 million domestically, and $460-$600 million world wide. This movie is already playing well in a small handful of international markets.

    Reply
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      Gorfin February 10, 2019

      LOL. ok.

      Reply
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        Nite walker February 11, 2019

        Gorfin Just look at films like the Meg, Crazy Rich Asians, And A Quiet Place, from last year. Huge over performances, and box office surprises are clearly open for the taking. Like I said it is a bold statement.

        Reply
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        Nite walker February 11, 2019

        Remember movies like the Meg, Crazy Rich Asians, and a Quiet Place, from last year that were expected to flop or bring in small box office numbers, but then became huge hits. Like I said saying that Alita Battle Angel will be a big hit is a bold statement. But it is still a possible one.

        Reply
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          Nite walker February 11, 2019

          Sorry I posted the same statement twice, but then again it might take that many reads for you to understand what I’m saying.

          Reply
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      Charles February 11, 2019

      “I’m going to make a bold statement.”

      “I think Alita will make . . . $110-$175 million domestically”

      Real bold.

      I predict Alita will make between $30-$475 million domestically. See, I can be bold too.

      Reply
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        Nite walker February 11, 2019

        I can tell you are just making fun of my comment, but first off that is not all that my comment said and second, I stated my actual thoughts on how well I think Alita will do, I didn’t just pick two numbers that were outrageously far apart in comparison to each other, and say hey I think this movie will make somewhere between $30-$475 million.

        Your only comment was about how DCEU fans infest the comment board, then as soon as someone makes a comment about something else you mock them for doing so.

        You obviously don’t know much about the box office because you’re few replies have really nothing to do with the box office.

        If you want to reply say something worth saying in a comment board about box office predictions.

        Reply
  19. Avatar
    Revan February 10, 2019

    3 biggest coin tosses of 2019 box office:
    Aladdin – No way it makes less than alice in wonderland = 1.03 billion +, on the other hand, disney’s memorial day curse and the poor marketing = 700million+
    MIB: International – the huge buzz and sony’s recent hits with Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Venom suggest 700m+, on the other hand it could only do decently well with 500m+
    Doctor Sleep – probably will make 300million+, on the other hand with IT: Chapter 2 coming out so close it could only do 175million+
    Note: All of this is in Worldwide numbers

    Reply
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      Truth February 11, 2019

      There’s no way that Aladdin is going to make more than Alice in Wonderland (2010).

      Reply
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        Revan February 13, 2019

        Its very possible – the animated film made more than beauty and the beast and is the second highest grossing traditionally animated disney film of all time behind the lion king…. while i dont think it will make more than beauty and the beast it certainly will make more than alice in wonderland unless “disney’s memorial day curse” or the poor marketing really sinks it.

        Reply
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      Diggle February 11, 2019

      What’s the buzz on MiB?

      Reply
  20. Avatar
    george February 13, 2019

    Another comment section where the DC fans take action and flood it with endless comments.If it was about something worthy I would understand.However,the article is about Shazam!!It’s Shazam guys,the equivalent to Marvel’s Ant-man,relax.Speaking of Ant-man, it’s going to perform like that which means 45-60 opening weekend 160-185 final domestic.

    Reply

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