Weekend Actuals: ‘Fantastic Beasts’ Conjures $62.1M; ‘Instant Family’ Warms to $14.5M; ‘Widows’ Steals $12.3M

Weekend Actuals: ‘Fantastic Beasts’ Conjures $62.1M; ‘Instant Family’ Warms to $14.5M; ‘Widows’ Steals $12.3M

November 18, 2018 2 Comments

Monday Update: The new Harry Potter spinoff movie movie Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald might not been quite as “magical” of an opening as some hoped, but still debuted in first place with $62.1M. The Warner Bros. fantasy started -16.4% behind the $74.4M opening of predecessor installment Fantastic Beasts and Where to

Weekend Actuals: ‘The Grinch’ Debuts to Cheery $67.5M; ‘Overlord’ Scares Up $10.2M; ‘Girl in the Spider’s Web’ Spins $7.8M

Weekend Actuals: ‘The Grinch’ Debuts to Cheery $67.5M; ‘Overlord’ Scares Up $10.2M; ‘Girl in the Spider’s Web’ Spins $7.8M

November 11, 2018 No Comments

Monday Update: “You’re a mean one, Mr. Grinch”… and you’re also a rich one, as Universal’s animated holiday comedy Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch opened to $67.5M. That was about in line with pre-release expectations, although it fell about 27% behind the $90.4M inflation-adjusted opening of 2000’s live action How the Grinch Stole Christmas.

Weekend Estimates: ‘Grinch’ Steals First-Day Christmas Pic Record, Eyes $65M+; ‘Bohemian Rhapsody’ ($28M+) Doesn’t Stop Now

Weekend Estimates: ‘Grinch’ Steals First-Day Christmas Pic Record, Eyes $65M+; ‘Bohemian Rhapsody’ ($28M+) Doesn’t Stop Now

November 10, 2018 3 Comments

Saturday Update: There’s an early holiday present for Universal this morning as Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch bowed to $18.67 million on Friday, including Thursday night’s early shows, setting a new opening day record for Christmas films (besting the 2000 live-action Grinch‘s $15.64 million) and scoring the second biggest opening day for an animated film

Weekend Forecast: Will ‘The Grinch’ Challenge A 14-Year-Old Animation Record? ‘Girl In the Spider’s Web’ & ‘Overlord’ Also Debuting

Weekend Forecast: Will ‘The Grinch’ Challenge A 14-Year-Old Animation Record? ‘Girl In the Spider’s Web’ & ‘Overlord’ Also Debuting

November 8, 2018 5 Comments

The early portion of holiday box office season marches on this weekend with three new wide releases, the leader of which will easily be Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch as it’s expected to debut north of $60 million. Universal and Illumination’s new take on the classic Christmas tale has been trending strongly ahead

Long Range Tracking: ‘Holmes & Watson’ & ‘Vice’

Long Range Tracking: ‘Holmes & Watson’ & ‘Vice’

November 2, 2018 7 Comments

This week’s report briefly focuses on the final weekend of 2018, currently slated with one new release and one wide expansion — both of which go nationwide earlier in the week on Christmas Day (Tuesday, December 25). Holmes & Watson Opening Weekend Range: $15 – 25 million The reuniting of

Long Range Tracking: ‘Mary Poppins Returns,’ ‘Aquaman,’ & ‘Bumblebee’

Long Range Tracking: ‘Mary Poppins Returns,’ ‘Aquaman,’ & ‘Bumblebee’

October 26, 2018 74 Comments

This week’s report takes a look at three key holiday releases slated for the penultimate weekend of 2018, less than one week before Christmas Day. Note: due to the sometimes abnormal holding patterns of films around this time of year, tracking ranges and long-term forecasts are more volatile than with

Long Range Tracking: ‘Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse,’ ‘Mortal Engines,’ ‘The Mule,’ & ‘Second Act’

Long Range Tracking: ‘Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse,’ ‘Mortal Engines,’ ‘The Mule,’ & ‘Second Act’

October 19, 2018 22 Comments

October 20 Update: Shortly after this report’s publication yesterday, STX delayed Second Act‘s release by one week to December 21.  Our updated opening weekend tracking (down from $10 million when slated for December 14) is listed in the chart below. === This week’s report takes a look at the December 14 –

Long Range Tracking: Strong Q4 Pacing to Send 2018 Domestic Box Office Beyond $11.6 Billion for New Annual Record

Long Range Tracking: Strong Q4 Pacing to Send 2018 Domestic Box Office Beyond $11.6 Billion for New Annual Record

October 12, 2018 10 Comments

With no new wide releases joining our tracking calendar this weekend, we’ve decided to take a look at where the overall market is shaping up to finish by year’s end — and it’s looking like a historic finish. Based on our tracking models for all major studio films opening between

Long Range Tracking: ‘The Grinch,’ ‘The Girl In the Spider’s Web,’ & ‘Overlord’

Long Range Tracking: ‘The Grinch,’ ‘The Girl In the Spider’s Web,’ & ‘Overlord’

September 14, 2018 11 Comments

Our long range report this week continues an early look at the packed November slate, focusing on the month’s second frame of planned wide releases. Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch Opening Weekend Range: $70 – 100 million Marking the first tentpole animation since midsummer (and the first animated option overall since