Weekend Projections: ‘Beauty and the Beast’ Remains on Possible Course for $175M Bow & March Record; ‘Belko Experiment’ Eyes $3.6M Debut
Saturday Update: Disney reports this morning that Beauty and the Beast earned a huge $63.787 million on opening day Friday, including Thursday night’s $16.3 million debut. The overall first day take nearly doubles the $32 million of last year’s The Jungle Book and stands as the best opening day in history for a PG-rated film.
Looking at the Thursday share itself, that represented 25.6 percent of Friday’s total, meaning the film was less top-heavy during early shows than current March record holder Batman v Superman (34 percent), The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2 (35 percent), and The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (36 percent). For reference, The Jungle Book and Cinderella owned 13 and 10 percent shares, respectively.
Comparisons remain challenging, but this is a Disney film with considerable appeal across the age spectrum — particularly among women. That sets it up to still potentially enjoy a strong internal multiplier, especially thanks to its encouraging word of mouth thus far (85 percent on Flixster and an “A” CinemaScore).
At this stage, based on reports that pre-sales had been quite strong for the weekend as a whole compared to more front-loaded franchises, weekend projections still range between $154 million (if it follows the trajectory of The Hunger Games: Catching Fire and Mockingjay finale), $167 million (based on Cinderella‘s post-Thursday run), and $185 million (using Jungle Book‘s post-Thursday legs). BoxOffice is currently sticking with its projection that the film will best BvS‘ $166 million March record opening weekend with around $175 million by the end of Sunday.
On the international front, Beast tallied $40.3 million on Friday. The global cume since release on Thursday stands at $115.6 million. China accounted for $12.6 million on Friday, while the U.K. posted $6.1 million and Mexico totaled $2.4 million. The film is open in all major markets except France, Australia, and Japan.
Our key weekend projections are below. Updated estimates from the studios will be published on Sunday.
|1||Beauty and the Beast||$175,000,000||—||4,210||—||$41,568||$175,000,000||1||Disney|
|2||Kong: Skull Island||$25,600,000||-58%||3,846||0||$6,656||$106,875,294||2||Warner Bros.|
|5||The Shack||$6,000,000||-40%||2,825||-63||$2,124||$42,484,630||3||Lionsgate / Summit|
|6||The LEGO Batman Movie||$5,400,000||-29%||2,735||-568||$1,974||$168,123,352||6||Warner Bros.|
|7||The Belko Experiment||$3,500,000||—||1,341||—||$2,610||$3,500,000||1||BH Tilt|
|9||John Wick: Chapter 2||$1,100,000||-59%||1,065||-966||$1,033||$89,690,804||6||Lionsgate / Summit|
|10||Before I Fall||$1,000,000||-67%||1,551||-795||$645||$11,260,677||3||Open Road|
|2||Rogue One: A Star Wars Story||$630,000||201%||179||13||$3,520||$530,875,532||14||Disney|
|3||A Dog’s Purpose||$585,000||-47%||594||-428||$985||$63,040,030||8||Universal|
|4||La La Land||$505,000||-72%||585||-993||$863||$149,739,184||15||Lionsgate / Summit|
|7||Fist Fight||$440,000||-66%||533||-752||$826||$31,517,748||5||Warner Bros. / New Line|
|8||The Sense Of An Ending||$425,000||971%||282||278||$1,507||$477,597||2||CBS Films|
|9||Badrinath Ki Dulhania||$420,000||-51%||156||4||$2,692||$1,586,509||2||FIP|
|10||Fifty Shades Darker||$415,000||-75%||607||-891||$684||$113,991,485||6||Universal|
|11||Rock Dog||$370,000||-64%||444||-932||$833||$9,211,353||4||Summit Premiere|
|12||A United Kingdom||$290,000||-45%||257||-60||$1,128||$3,148,253||6||Fox Searchlight|
|13||Table 19||$114,000||-86%||202||-666||$564||$3,489,156||3||Fox Searchlight|
Friday Report: Beauty and the Beast kicked off what we’ve been expecting to be a massive weekend for quite awhile with a reported $16.3 million from Thursday night shows. That includes earnings from premium fan event screenings that were charging $30 per ticket in roughly 600 theaters. Still, among Disney’s live action fairy tale remakes, this in an entirely new league of its own: Beauty soared past their previous top performer in that genre, The Jungle Book‘s $4.2 million, as well as Cinderella‘s $2.3 million. Impressively, this also comes in ahead of the $16.0 million earned by The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2, which is quite a telling feat given the expectation that Beauty should play to less front-loading over the three-day weekend proper.
Also opening last night, The Belko Experiment cornered $305,000 in its selective distribution strategy from BH Tilt. That’s a bit ahead of The Green Inferno‘s $275,000 and The Darkness ($206,000).
We’ll have key Friday estimates directly from the studios, along with weekend projections, on Saturday.