Weekend Estimates: ‘Aquaman’ Pacing for Another $30M, Becomes Top DC Overseas Earner; ‘Mary Poppins Returns’ Eyes $17M; ‘Escape Room’ Scores Strong $16M Debut
Saturday Update: Warner Bros. reports Aquaman added another $9.3 million on Friday, raising its domestic haul to $238.3 million after 15 days in release. A third domestic frame around $30 million appears likely at this point.
Perhaps even more impressively, the studio adds that the film added $12.4 million and became the highest grossing DC movie of all-time in the overseas market as it reached $649.3 million outside North America yesterday. That tops The Dark Knight Rises ($636.8 million) — with a number of asterisks — and raises Aquaman‘s global haul to an excellent $887.6 million (including $279.4 million from China).
Back on the domestic front, Sony’s Escape Room is somewhat over-performing as it posted $7.7 million on opening day. That includes Thursday’s $2.345 million start from shows beginning at 4pm, which will likely skew weekend projections at this stage. Either way, this is a great start for the low-budget thriller. Sony expects around $16 million for the weekend.
Mary Poppins Returns took third place with $5.07 million and an updated $128.03 million domestic cume, Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse ranked fourth with $4.055 million and an updated $124.9 million haul, and Bumblebee capped the top five with $3.94 million / $88.3 million domestic total.
Just outside the top five, The Mule continues to hold very well as it added $2.86 million and now stands at $74.9 million.
Expanding from 65 to 335 locations yesterday, award season contender If Beale Street Could Talk earned $604K and now stands at $3.2 million.
Early weekend estimates are below with studio updates to follow on Sunday.
Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, JAN. 4 – SUN, JAN. 6
|2||Mary Poppins Returns||$17,000,000||-40%||4,090||0||$4,156||$139,956,305||3||Disney|
|3||Escape Room||$16,000,000||—||2,717||—||$5,889||$16,000,000||1||Sony Pictures|
|4||Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse||$12,900,000||-31%||3,419||-394||$3,773||$133,751,346||4||Sony / Columbia|
|6||The Mule||$8,800,000||-28%||3,212||425||$2,740||$80,868,110||4||Warner Bros.|
|8||Ralph Breaks the Internet||$4,800,000||-29%||2,050||-293||$2,341||$187,279,171||7||Disney|
|9||Second Act||$4,800,000||-35%||2,523||-84||$1,902||$32,837,075||4||STX Entertainment|
|10||Holmes and Watson||$3,400,000||-54%||2,780||4||$1,223||$28,410,922||3||Sony Pictures|
|11||Bohemian Rhapsody||$2,300,000||-2%||1,080||199||$2,130||$193,576,825||10||20th Century Fox|
|12||Mary Queen of Scots||$2,200,000||-19%||1,052||211||$2,091||$13,478,025||5||Focus Features|
|13||Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch||$1,300,000||-68%||1,622||-933||$801||$269,753,735||9||Universal|
|1||If Beale Street Could Talk||$2,000,000||161%||335||270||$5,970||$4,565,864||4||Annapurna|
|2||The Favourite||$1,900,000||-22%||771||-39||$2,464||$19,294,336||7||Fox Searchlight|
|3||Green Book||$1,700,000||-10%||566||-55||$3,004||$35,123,256||8||Universal Pictures|
|4||On The Basis Of Sex||$1,700,000||148%||112||79||$15,179||$3,798,395||2||Focus Features|
|5||Creed II||$960,000||-39%||893||-175||$1,075||$114,333,952||7||MGM / Warner Bros|
|6||Robin Hood||$770,000||591%||139||-50||$5,540||$31,493,508||7||Lionsgate / Summit|
|7||Instant Family||$720,000||-25%||604||-140||$1,192||$66,230,028||8||Paramount Pictures|
|8||Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald||$680,000||-31%||401||-114||$1,696||$158,088,573||8||Warner Bros.|
|9||A Star is Born||$610,000||24%||268||32||$2,276||$202,085,867||14||Warner Bros.|
|10||The Nutcracker and the Four Realms||$105,000||-41%||172||-46||$610||$54,799,921||10||Walt Disney Pictures|
Friday Report: Sony’s Escape Room got off to a strong debut as the first domestic release of 2019, earning $2.345 million yesterday. Comparisons are limited, however, since the film debuted earlier than normal — at 4pm — in an estimated 2,386 locations. The most recent comparison is last January’s Insidious: The Last Key, which opened to $1.98 million from Thursday shows beginning later in the evening (and one extra day removed from holiday vacation time).
The studio still projects around $10 million for the weekend, although that appears to be conservative at this point. Despite the early start and what is effectively three-fourths of a full opening day’s worth of showtimes yesterday, a weekend tally around or north of mid-teen millions is increasingly likely.
More updates to follow throughout the weekend.