Weekend Estimates: ‘The Jungle Book’ Leads for a Third Weekend Domestically with $42.4M; ‘Captain America: Civil War’ Off to $200.2M Overseas Launch

Disney’s The Jungle Book continued to easily lead the box office with an estimated third weekend take of $42.44 million.  The 3D live-action computer animated hybrid directed by Jon Favreau held up well again this weekend, as the film was down just 31 percent from last weekend’s already healthy hold.  In addition to strong word of mouth, The Jungle Book was also helped out by the collective lackluster performance of the weekend’s three new wide releases and by moviegoers who wanted to catch the film before Disney’s highly anticipated Captain America: Civil War arrives in the domestic marketplace this coming Friday.  The Jungle Book is estimated to pass the $250 million mark on Sunday and has grossed a massive $252.10 million in 17 days. The Jungle Book is currently running an impressive 42 percent ahead of the $177.10 million 17-day take of 2013’s Oz: The Great and Powerful and just 5 percent behind the $265.43 million 17-day gross of 2010’s Alice in Wonderland.

Universal’s The Huntsman: Winter’s War found itself in a very close race for second place this weekend with Warner’s KeanuThe Huntsman currently has the slim edge with an estimated second weekend take of $9.39 million.  The follow-up to 2012’s Snow White and the Huntsman was down a sharp 52 percent from last weekend’s disappointing debut.  The Huntsman: Winter’s War continues to run below its already scaled back expectations with a ten-day start of just $33.99 million.  The film is running 65.5 percent below the $98.54 million ten-day gross of Snow White and the Huntsman, though The Huntsman: Winter’s War had been expected to perform far softer than its predecessor.  The Huntsman: Winter’s War will likely take a big hit next weekend from the arrival of Captain America: Civil War.

Keanu followed in a close third with an estimated start of $9.35 million.  With only $40,000 separating the estimates for The Huntsman: Winter’s War and Keanu, the two films could still switch places when actuals are released tomorrow.  Despite positive critical reviews, the R-rated comedy starring Jordan Peele and Keegan-Michael Key was only able to debut to modest results this weekend.  Keanu opened 54 percent below the recent $20.24 million start of fellow Warner Bros. comedy Barbershop: The Next Cut.  Potential for Keanu appears to have been limited from opening in between Barbershop: The Next Cut and Captain America: Civil War.

Keanu started with $3.45 million on Friday (which included a fairly significant $560,000 from Thursday evening shows), increased a slim 7 percent on Saturday to gross $3.69 million and is estimated to decline 40 percent on Sunday to gross $2.22 million.  That gives the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.71 to 1.  Keanu received a respectable B rating on CinemaScore and has a current Flixster audience score of 73 percent.  The audience breakdown for the film skewed slightly towards male moviegoers (53 percent) and heavily towards moviegoers over the age of 25 (71 percent).

Open Road’s Mother’s Day placed in fourth with a modest estimated start of $8.30 million.  The ensemble comedy featuring Jennifer Aniston and Julia Roberts opened slightly below its already low expectations.  Mother’s Day debuted 36 percent below the $13.02 million start of 2011’s New Year’s Eve (which like Mother’s Day, was also directed by Garry Marshall.  Mother’s Day was hampered by very poor critical reviews and represents another lackluster debut for Open Road.  The film will hope to hold up well next weekend with the aid of the Mother’s Day holiday.

Mother’s Day opened with $2.79 million on Friday, increased 20 percent on Saturday to claim $3.43 million and is estimated to decline 35 percent on Sunday to gross $2.17 million.  That places the film’s estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at 2.98 to 1.  Mother’s Day received a solid B+ rating on CinemaScore and has a current Flixster audience score of 53 percent.  That suggests that the film is going better with audiences than it has with critics.

Barbershop: The Next Cut rounded out the weekend’s top five with an estimated $6.13 million.  The Ice Cube led comedy sequel from Warner Bros., New Line and MGM was down 42 percent.  That represented a very solid hold, especially given the new competition the film faced from Keanu this weekend.  Barbershop: The Next Cut has grossed $44.71 million in 17 days, which is on the higher end of expectations and places the film 16 percent behind the $53.22 million 17-day take of 2004’s Barbershop 2: Back in Business.

Further down on this weekend’s chart, Ratchet & Clank debuted in seventh place with an estimated $4.82 million.  The 3D computer animated film from Focus and Gramercy was off to a soft start as expected this weekend.  Ratchet & Clank was always aimed largely at the pre-established fanbase of the Ratchet & Clank video game series and opening in between The Jungle Book and Captain America: Civil War obviously didn’t help matters for the film either.  Ratchet & Clank took in $1.49 million on Friday, increased 34 percent on Saturday to gross $1.99 million and is estimated to fall 33 percent on Sunday to take in $1.34 million.  That places the film’s estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at 3.24 to 1.  Ratchet & Clank received a B rating on CinemaScore and has a current Flixster audience score of 62 percent.  Like Mother’s Day, Ratchet & Clank appears to be going over better with moviegoers than it has with critics.

Overseas Update:

Disney’s Captain America: Civil War was off to a big start overseas with an estimated launch of $200.2 million from 37 territories.  Disney estimates that the film’s overseas launch is just 5 percent below the launch of last year’s Avengers: Age of Ultron and 157 percent ahead of 2014’s Captain America: The Winter Soldier in the same territories.  This weekend’s strong overseas start is another sign that points towards Captain America: Civil War performing like an Avengers sequel instead of a Captain America sequel when the film opens domestically on Friday.

Key overseas grosses for Captain America: Civil War include $28.9 million in Korea, $20.6 million in Mexico, $20.5 million in the United Kingdom, $12.3 million in Brazil, $10.9 million in Australia and $10.1 million in France.  Captain America: Civil War set new all-time opening weekend records in Mexico, Brazil and the Philippines.  The film took in an estimated $9.6 million from 205 overseas IMAX screens.

Disney had more great news with the continued strong overseas performance of The Jungle Book, which took in an estimated $57.1 million from 53 territories.  That brings the film’s overseas total to $432.7 million and global haul to $684.8 million.  Total grosses to date for individual markets include $129.8 million in China, $42.5 million in the United Kingdom, $33.8 million in India, $19.7 million in Mexico, $19.1 million in France, $18.8 million in Australia and $18.7 million in Russia.

The Huntsman: Winter’s War took in an estimated $7.4 million overseas this weekend, as the film slowed significantly with the overseas launch of Captain America: Civil WarThe Huntsman: Winter’s War has grossed $97.0 million to date overseas and $131.0 million globally.  Total grosses to date for individual markets include $7.3 million in the United Kingdom, $7.2 million in Mexico and $5.1 million in Australia.

Zootopia continued to have an overseas presence this weekend with an estimated $8.3 million from 40 territories.  That brings the film’s overseas total to $607.9 million and global cume to a massive $931.4 million.  Domestically, Zootopia placed in sixth this weekend with an estimated $5.01 million and has grossed $323.52 million to date.

Domestic Weekend Studio Estimates for Friday, April 29 – Sunday, May 1, 2016:

Wide (1000+)

# Title Estimate % Locations Average Total Week Distributor
1 The Jungle Book (2016) $42,439,000 -31% 4,041 13 $10,502 $252,095,800 3 Disney
2 The Huntsman: Winter’s War $9,390,000 -52% 3,802 11 $2,470 $33,986,025 2 Universal
3 Keanu $9,350,000 2,658 $3,518 $9,350,000 1 Warner Bros. / New Line
4 Mother’s Day (2016) $8,302,319 3,035 $2,736 $8,302,319 1 Open Road
5 Barbershop: The Next Cut $6,125,000 -42% 2,310 -366 $2,652 $44,705,640 3 Warner Bros. / New Line
6 Zootopia $5,006,000 -24% 2,487 -311 $2,013 $323,518,489 9 Disney
7 Ratchet & Clank $4,823,000 2,891 $1,668 $4,823,000 1 Focus / Gramercy
8 The Boss $4,250,000 -32% 2,823 -552 $1,505 $56,111,125 4 Universal
9 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice $3,810,000 -31% 2,330 -736 $1,635 $325,132,593 6 Warner Bros.
10 Criminal (2016) $1,325,000 -57% 1,578 -1105 $840 $13,476,167 3 Lionsgate / Summit
11 My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 $1,080,000 -48% 1,092 -657 $989 $57,266,800 6 Universal

Limited (100 — 999)

# Title Estimate % Locations Average Total Week Distributor
1 The Met: Live in HD – Elektra (2016) $1,000,000 900 $1,111 $1,000,000 1 Fathom Events
2 Green Room $960,000 386% 470 440 $2,043 $1,356,886 3 A24
3 A Hologram for the King $931,600 -18% 523 122 $1,781 $2,553,014 2 Roadside Attractions
4 Eye in the Sky $863,377 -28% 614 -224 $1,406 $16,356,860 8 Bleecker Street
5 Compadres $650,000 -53% 368 0 $1,766 $2,392,189 2 Lionsgate / Pantelion
6 Miracles from Heaven $525,000 -51% 660 -604 $795 $59,657,409 7 Sony / Columbia
7 Papa: Hemingway in Cuba $491,200 325 $1,511 $491,200 1 Yari Film Group
8 Hello, My Name Is Doris $456,870 -28% 404 -92 $1,131 $12,781,569 8 Roadside Attractions
9 Deadpool $440,000 -35% 409 -185 $1,076 $361,834,375 12 Fox
10 Everybody Wants Some!! $360,000 -45% 442 -12 $814 $2,981,711 5 Paramount
11 Miles Ahead $341,780 -47% 390 -137 $876 $1,972,814 5 Sony Pictures Classics
12 Sing Street $330,000 165% 104 79 $3,173 $588,908 3 Weinstein Company
13 The Divergent Series: Allegiant $295,000 -54% 410 -442 $720 $65,534,124 7 Lionsgate / Summit
14 10 Cloverfield Lane $290,000 -48% 305 -290 $951 $71,239,748 8 Paramount
15 Kung Fu Panda 3 $284,000 3% 258 -15 $1,101 $142,007,337 14 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
16 Elvis & Nixon $198,696 -57% 310 -71 $641 $883,737 2 Bleecker Street / Amazon
17 Spotlight $88,128 182% 224 133 $393 $44,980,632 26 Open Road
18 Gods of Egypt $58,000 -28% 107 -45 $542 $31,090,037 10 Lionsgate / Summit

Platform (1 — 99)

# Title Estimate % Locations Average Total Week Distributor
1 The Meddler $174,369 206% 24 20 $7,265 $260,730 2 Sony Pictures Classics
2 The Man Who Knew Infinity $88,134 6 $14,689 $88,134 1 IFC Films
3 Vaxxed: From Cover-Up to Catastrophe $46,000 71% 8 1 $5,750 $164,982 5 Cinema Libre Studio
4 Louder Than Bombs $22,964 -12% 40 19 $574 $125,496 4 The Orchard
5 The Family Fang $15,285 1 $15,285 $15,285 1 Starz Digital
6 Eva Hesse $13,290 1 $13,290 $18,422 1 Zeitgeist Films
7 Embrace of the Serpent $12,000 14 $857 $1,282,312 11 Oscilloscope
8 L’attesa $6,250 2 $3,125 $6,250 1 Oscilloscope
9 Janis: Little Girl Blue $500 1 $500 $405,002 23 FilmRise
10 Lolo $350 -67% 1 0 $350 $20,628 8 FilmRise