Weekend Estimates: ‘Jurassic’ ($59M) & ‘Incredibles 2’ ($45M) Lead Again as ‘Sicario: Day of the Soldado’ & ‘Uncle Drew’ Post Strong Early Results

Saturday Update: As expected, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom led the way on Friday with $17.438 million, putting it on target for a weekend around $59 million based on studio projections. The film’s domestic total stands at a healthy $222.2 million through eight days.

Incredibles 2 added another $13.628 million yesterday, pushing its domestic haul up to $407.8 million in just just 15 days. Updated projections for its third weekend stand at $45 million+.

Sicario: Day of the Soldado is performing at the high end of expectations, and potentially crossing into “over-performance” territory. Its $7.485 million opening day is a strong start for the sequel as the studio officially projects $18.2 million for the weekend.

Uncle Drew is similarly off to great debut with $6.13 million earned on Friday as it looks to bring in north of $15 million this weekend.

Ocean’s 8 capped the top five yesterday with another strong hold to begin its fourth frame. Based on a $2.41 million Friday estimate, this weekend should ring up around $7.8 million. Its 22-day gross stands at $109.1 million.

Early weekend estimates can be found in the chart below with updated estimates from all major studios to follow on Sunday.

Please note: estimates below from Fox, Global Road, Sony, and Universal represent their official weekend estimates as of Saturday morning.

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, JUN. 29 – SUN, JUL. 1

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom $59,000,000 -60% 4,485 10 $13,155 $263,787,335 2 Universal
2 Incredibles 2 $45,000,000 -44% 4,410 0 $10,204 $439,183,514 3 Disney
3 Sicario: Day of the Soldado $18,200,000 3,055 $5,957 $18,200,000 1 Sony / Black Label
4 Uncle Drew $16,000,000 2,742 $5,835 $16,000,000 1 Lionsgate / Summit
5 Ocean’s 8 $7,800,000 -32% 3,426 -230 $2,277 $114,472,181 4 Warner Bros.
6 Tag (2018) $5,400,000 -35% 3,176 -206 $1,700 $40,652,808 3 Warner Bros.
7 Deadpool 2 $3,450,000 -35% 2,094 -326 $1,648 $310,349,858 7 Fox
8 Solo: A Star Wars Story $2,400,000 -47% 1,654 -684 $1,451 $207,386,115 6 Disney
9 Hereditary $2,100,000 -42% 1,424 -578 $1,475 $39,219,753 4 A24
10 Superfly $1,440,000 -58% 1,157 -1063 $1,245 $18,419,119 3 Sony Pictures

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Sanju $2,250,000 356 $6,320 $2,250,000 1 FIP
2 Won’t You Be My Neighbor? $2,000,000 10% 654 306 $3,058 $7,197,082 4 Focus Features
3 Avengers: Infinity War $1,400,000 -46% 890 -566 $1,573 $672,482,712 10 Disney
4 Book Club $640,000 -33% 505 -167 $1,267 $66,093,632 7 Paramount Pictures
5 Overboard $190,000 -66% 193 -132 $984 $50,163,946 9 Lionsgate / Pantelion
6 A Quiet Place $170,000 1% 211 -4 $806 $187,146,495 13 Paramount
7 Show Dogs $90,502 32% 146 11 $620 $17,446,444 7 Global Road Entertainment

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 A Wrinkle in Time $37,000 -55% 58 -32 $638 $100,466,532 17 Walt Disney Pictures
2 Black Panther $33,000 -56% 80 -35 $413 $699,817,698 20 Disney
3 Hotel Artemis $11,563 -84% 35 -128 $330 $6,631,346 4 Global Road
4 Chappaquiddick $1,700 -71% 6 -2 $283 $17,385,247 13 Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures

===

Friday Report: Sony’s Sicario: Day of the Soldado took in a strong $2.0 million from Thursday night’s opening shows, coming in on the high end of expectations. Direct comparisons are few and far between, but that comes in notably higher than Den of Thieves‘ $950,000 start earlier this year. With summer business and the sequel factor in play, projections from the Thursday figure tend to vary, but a weekend in the mid-to-high teen millions looks very doable at this point.

Uncle Drew made a splash in his own right with $1.1 million last night, setting up for a healthy weekend ahead. That figure topped the $860,000 of Boo! A Madea Halloween, although the latter film opened in fall. Again, Thursday business isn’t entirely indicative of where this film is heading, but it too could land on the high end of pre-release forecasts.

More updates to follow throughout the weekend.

Shawn Robbins

2 Comments

  1. Avatar
    Gordon Freeman June 29, 2018

    I hope Sicario is good and does well. The first movie was brutal and honest and very well done. Of course I worry about a new director being involved.

    I prefer more serious action oriented movies like this to be produced in the future. As opposed to a glut of the comic book movies. I like them as well but it seems everything is a comic book mobile anymore.

    Reply
  2. Avatar
    TTVOMJ June 30, 2018

    i hope bp and a:iw get a ant man 2 boost^^

    Reply

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