Weekend Estimates: ‘Grinch’ Steals First-Day Christmas Pic Record, Eyes $65M+; ‘Bohemian Rhapsody’ ($28M+) Doesn’t Stop Now
'Overlord' ($9M) Tops 'Spider's Web' ($8.5M)
Saturday Update: There’s an early holiday present for Universal this morning as Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch bowed to $18.67 million on Friday, including Thursday night’s early shows, setting a new opening day record for Christmas films (besting the 2000 live-action Grinch‘s $15.64 million) and scoring the second biggest opening day for an animated film in November (trailing only The Incredibles‘ $20.5 million in 2004).
Early projections vary this morning, but appear to be on par with our pre-release expectations for a weekend in the upper $60 million range and still having an outside shot at besting Incredibles‘ standing November animation record of $70.47 million. Universal itself is expecting around $67 million as of today’s update, but if it follows the post-Thursday trajectory of Big Hero 6, a landing around $65 million would be more likely. Either way, this is a fantastic start for the film as it begins to settle into the lengthy holiday corridor that will attract families and kids through year’s end.
Easing 55 percent to $8.465 million yesterday, Bohemian Rhapsody withstood the loss of IMAX and PLF screens in respectable fashion thanks to positive audience reception. With $77.6 million domestically through eight days of play, its sophomore frame could net north of $28 million this weekend (Fox projects $29 million).
Debuting in third, Paramount and Bad Robot’s Overlord pulled $3.75 million on opening day. Weekend projections stand close to $9 million.
Capping the top four, The Girl In the Spider’s Web opened to $3.0 million with Sony projecting $8.5 million for the weekend, while Disney’s Nutcracker and the Four Realms added $2.373 million for an updated domestic total of $28.1 million. The latter’s sophomore weekend looks to hit around $9.5 million.
Early weekend estimates are below with updated studio numbers to follow on Sunday.
Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, NOV. 9 – SUN, NOV. 11
|1||Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch||$65,000,000||—||4,141||—||$15,697||$65,000,000||1||Universal|
|2||Bohemian Rhapsody||$28,200,000||-45%||4,000||0||$7,050||$97,360,548||2||20th Century Fox|
|3||The Nutcracker and the Four Realms||$9,500,000||-53%||3,766||0||$2,523||$35,191,534||2||Walt Disney Pictures|
|5||The Girl in the Spider’s Web||$8,300,000||—||2,929||—||$2,834||$8,300,000||1||Sony / Columbia|
|6||A Star is Born||$7,900,000||-28%||2,848||-583||$2,774||$177,910,388||6||Warner Bros.|
|8||Venom||$4,800,000||-39%||2,351||-716||$2,042||$206,183,603||6||Sony / Columbia|
|9||Halloween (2018)||$3,600,000||-67%||2,717||-1058||$1,325||$156,569,845||4||Universal Pictures|
|10||The Hate U Give||$2,125,000||-37%||1,108||-399||$1,918||$26,760,883||6||20th Century Fox|
|12||Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween||$900,000||-76%||1,519||-1309||$592||$45,880,844||5||Sony|
|1||Can You Ever Forgive Me?||$1,250,000||21%||391||211||$3,197||$3,384,977||4||Fox Searchlight|
|4||Hunter Killer||$720,000||-80%||957||-1763||$752||$15,196,151||3||Lionsgate / Summit|
|5||The Old Man & The Gun||$460,000||-55%||395||-370||$1,165||$10,220,835||7||Fox Searchlight|
|8||Disney’s Christopher Robin||$70,000||-50%||122||-43||$574||$99,118,784||15||Disney|
|9||A Simple Favor||$55,000||-16%||127||25||$433||$53,450,267||9||Lionsgate|
|1||Boy Erased||$700,000||238%||77||72||$9,091||$973,164||2||Focus Features|
|2||A Private War||$200,000||231%||38||34||$5,263||$282,443||2||Aviron Pictures|
|3||The Front Runner||$42,000||—||4||—||$10,500||$62,199||1||Sony / Columbia|
Friday Update: Universal reports that Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch came away with an estimated $2.2 million from last night’s first showings, which began at 6pm in around 3,200 locations. That figures comes in 29 percent higher than Zootopia‘s $1.7 million start in March 2016 and 57 percent higher than Big Hero 6 ($1.4 million) in early November 2014. With strong family business expected throughout the weekend, this represents an excellent start to the film’s run.
Paramount and Bad Robot’s Overlord grossed $900K from last night’s first shows in 2,330 theaters, more than doubling the $435K start of Hell Fest earlier this fall and matching the $900K start of Annihilation back in February.
Meanwhile, The Girl In the Spider’s Web posted a lukewarm $635K start from 2,620 locations beginning at 7pm last night. That figure stands 29 percent behind Annihilation and 47 percent behind Red Sparrow ($1.2 million).
As reported earlier, Bohemian Rhapsody is expected to easily top the latter two new releases for a second place showing this weekend.
Follow us throughout the weekend for continued updates.