New Year’s Weekend Forecast: ‘Aquaman’ & ‘Mary Poppins Returns’ Look to Repeat as Top Two; ‘Holmes and Watson’ & ‘Vice’ Open
The final weekend of 2018 will see a number of strong holdovers as the Christmas-New Year’s corridor carries on, offering something for a variety of audiences. Holmes & Watson and Vice debuted in wide release on Christmas Day this past Tuesday and are included in the forecast below.
Note: Theater counts for Mary Queen of Scots and The Favourite were not available at this time of publishing. Expansions wide enough could help one or both titles make the top ten over the coming holiday weekend.
Top 10 vs. Last Year
Boxoffice projects this weekend’s top ten films will earn approximately $160 million. That would represent a 8 percent decline from the same weekend last year when Star Wars: The Last Jedi and Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle ruled the box office on New Year’s Eve weekend as part of an overall $173.3 million top ten frame.
|Film||Distributor||3-Day Weekend Forecast||Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, December 30||% Change from Last Wknd|
|Mary Poppins Returns||Disney||$26,200,000||$92,700,000||+11%|
|Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse||Sony / Columbia||$19,000,000||$104,500,000||+14%|
|Holmes and Watson||Sony / Columbia||$11,000,000||$24,000,000||NEW|
|The Mule||Warner Bros.||$10,600,000||$59,400,000||+12%|
|Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch||Universal||$5,100,000||$266,300,000||-40%|
|Ralph Breaks the Internet||Disney||$4,000,000||$171,600,000||-15%|
Forecasts subject to change as location counts are finalized before Friday.
Contact us for information about subscribing to Boxoffice.com’s suite of forecasting and data services.