Weekend Forecast: ‘Ralph Breaks the Internet,’ ‘Creed II,’ ‘Grinch,’ & Holdovers Look to Exorcise ‘The Possession of Hannah Grace’

As is common during the post-Thanksgiving frame each year, most studios are sitting out the first weekend of December and allowing a market filled with strong holdovers to suffice before the barrage of holiday tentpoles resumes later in the month. The lone exception this weekend will be Sony’s The Possession of Hannah Grace, which has been tracking modestly ahead of its release in an expected 1,700+ locations.

Top 10 vs. Last year

Boxoffice projects this weekend’s top ten films will generate approximately $105 million. That would represent an increase of 9 percent over the same weekend last year when The Disaster Artist‘s platform opening and expansions from Lady Bird and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri stood as the only notable releases. That weekend’s top ten earned $96.7 million.

Weekend Forecast

Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, December 2 % Change from Last Wknd
Ralph Breaks the Internet Disney $28,000,000 $122,100,000 -50%
Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch Universal $17,200,000 $202,900,000 -43%
Creed II MGM $17,100,000 $81,800,000 -52%
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald Warner Bros. $12,000,000 $134,800,000 -59%
Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $8,200,000 $164,600,000 -41%
Instant Family Paramount $6,800,000 $45,600,000 -45%
Widows Fox $4,500,000 $33,000,000 -45%
Robin Hood Lionsgate / Summit $4,300,000 $21,300,000 -53%
Green Book Universal $4,000,000 $14,100,000 -27%
The Possession of Hannah Grace Sony / Screen Gems $3,200,000 $3,200,000 NEW

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Shawn Robbins

6 Comments

  1. Avatar
    Multiplex37 November 28, 2018

    PBO our early with all these estimates that look reasonable…and on Big Mem’s birthday no less. Would have loved to see a Star is Born projection. Think it has a shot a being one of the “best performers” this week. Though right now it isn’t my ‘favourite’!

    Reply
  2. Avatar
    RussVB November 28, 2018

    Back to a full top 10 in weekend forecast — excellent.

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Brian November 28, 2018

      Agree. Nice to see a longer list again.

      Reply
  3. Avatar
    Leo November 29, 2018

    Yep.. 10 movie list… much better.

    Reply
  4. Avatar
    HansM-742 November 30, 2018

    I keep checking back every week to see if First Man burst back into the Top 10. Universal was confident the film was not a box office failure. Studio reps. backed it up with “Audiences, critics and award pundits will be talking about ‘First Man’ for months, well into the New Year. We anticipate ‘First Man’ to have a very long, successful run at the domestic box office, which it certainly deserves.”

    Maybe next week.

    Reply
  5. Avatar
    BDTrooper December 02, 2018

    Looks like Hannah Grace will double your prediction at this point. Horror has been on fire for quite awhile now, so it’s best not to underestimate it.

    Reply

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