Weekend Forecast: ‘Ralph,’ ‘Grinch,’ & ‘Creed II’ To Lead Another Quiet December Weekend

For the first time since Super Bowl weekend ten months ago, it’s possible that no film will reach $20 million at the coming weekend’s box office as studios again steer clear of the early December market in favor of saving their biggest releases for closer to Christmas and New Year’s. The positive side to that, however, is that movies already in release will generally score strong holds across the board with no significant competition coming into play.

Worth noting is that the lone semi-wide release of the weekend is Universal’s Schindler’s List 25th anniversary re-release, estimated to open in around 1,000 locations — including premium screens like Dolby Cinema. The film could be a dark horse candidate to enter the top ten depending on the shifting theater counts of other holdovers.

Top 10 vs. Last Year

Boxoffice projects this weekend’s top ten films will earn approximately $72.5 million. That would represent a 3 percent increase over the same frame last year when Just Getting Started was the sole wide opener in a top ten that generated $70.6 million.

Weekend Forecast

Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, December 9 % Change from Last Wknd
Ralph Breaks the Internet Disney $16,800,000 $141,400,000 -34%
Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch Universal $14,000,000 $221,900,000 -22%
Creed II MGM $11,000,000 $96,700,000 -34%
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald Warner Bros. $6,800,000 $144,900,000 -40%
Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $6,200,000 $173,600,000 -23%
Instant Family Paramount $5,500,000 $54,000,000 -23%
Green Book Universal $3,300,000 $19,300,000 -16%
The Possession of Hannah Grace Sony / Screen Gems $3,000,000 $11,200,000 -53%
Widows Fox $3,000,000 $38,000,000 -32%
Robin Hood Lionsgate / Summit $2,900,000 $26,400,000 -40%

Forecasts subject to change as location counts are finalized before Friday.

Contact us for information about subscribing to Boxoffice.com’s suite of forecasting and data services.

Shawn Robbins

9 Comments

  1. Avatar
    Brett Brown December 05, 2018

    Any word on what happened to “The Silence”? It was on release lists as the lone wide release for this week as recent as a couple weeks ago, although there’s still no trailer, or even an official poster for the thing. I guess it will probably just show up as a Netflix original in a couple months or something like that. Just wondering.

    Reply
  2. Avatar
    Multiplex37 December 05, 2018

    If the box office is going to take the weekend off…so is Big Mem. I am looking forward to Once Upon a Deadpool though. If this works, look forward to A Very Avengers Valentine’s Day!

    Reply
    • Avatar
      Taylor December 05, 2018

      Who is Big Mem?

      Reply
      • Avatar
        Brad December 05, 2018

        Big Mem is the reason I come here each Wednesday. He is never wrong, haha.

        Reply
        • Avatar
          Bob December 05, 2018

          You’re joking right?
          He’s been wrong a lot

          Reply
        • Avatar
          Jacen December 05, 2018

          He says with heaping doses of irony.
          That said, I like the idea of A Very Avengers Valentine’s Day, if only for the alliteration (which would suggest a final cameo from Stan Lee).

          Reply
        • Avatar
          TTVOMJ December 06, 2018

          Why is big mem ALWAYS first to comment? Is there a sort of notifications for bo pro?0.0 its getting ridiculous xD

          Reply
          • Avatar
            Jacen December 07, 2018

            Three possibilities: he lives on the East Coast, gets up early, and has very little to do each day.

  3. Avatar
    RussVB December 06, 2018

    The Schindler’s List re-issue is going out to 1,029 theaters. A bit ambitious maybe?

    Reply

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