Early Weekend Report: ‘Winchester’ Loading Up $9M Debut as ‘Jumanji’ & ‘Greatest Showman’ Continue Stellar Holds

Saturday Update: Winchester debuted atop the box office on Friday with an estimated $3.605 million, including Thursday night’s earnings. That comes in on par with our pre-release expectations and slightly ahead of the studio’s, who currently project a $9 million opening weekend for the PG-13 horror release. Based on current estimates, that should land the film in third place for the weekend overall.

Maze Runner: The Death Cure posted $3.01 million to begin its sophomore weekend in release, now standing at $32.6 million through eight days of domestic play. We’re expecting a weekend in second place around $9.7 million.

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle eased 24 percent from last Friday to $2.875 million yesterday, bringing its massive domestic haul to $344.5 million. Based on past Super Bowl weekend performers — notably the original Night at the Museum‘s hold over the sporting weekend in early 2007 — Jumanji looks poised to tally just under $11 million for a return to first place this weekend. That would make it the first film since Star Wars: The Force Awakens to claim first place on four separate weekends.

Meanwhile, The Greatest Showman continues its own stunning run as it dropped a mere 11 percent from last Friday to $2.26 million yesterday. With $131.9 million in the bank so far, the film is well on pace to surpass the lifetime gross of La La Land ($151.1 million) within the next couple of weeks. The musical phenom is eyeing a weekend tally near $7.8 million.

Key weekend estimates can be found below. Updated estimates from the studios will follow on Sunday.

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle $10,900,000 -32% 3,352 -201 $3,252 $352,542,752 7 Sony / Columbia
2 Maze Runner: The Death Cure $9,700,000 -60% 3,793 6 $2,557 $39,260,199 2 Fox
3 Winchester $9,000,000 2,480 $3,629 $9,000,000 1 Lionsgate / CBS Films
4 The Greatest Showman $7,800,000 -18% 2,588 -75 $3,014 $137,475,172 7 Fox
5 Hostiles $5,400,000 -47% 2,934 118 $1,840 $21,114,414 7 Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures
6 The Post $5,300,000 -42% 2,462 -178 $2,153 $67,284,510 7 20th Century Fox
7 12 Strong $4,600,000 -47% 2,918 -100 $1,576 $37,193,553 3 Warner Bros.
8 Den of Thieves $4,600,000 -47% 2,112 -320 $2,178 $36,200,932 3 STX Entertainment
9 The Shape of Water $4,300,000 -27% 2,341 487 $1,837 $44,580,050 10 Fox Searchlight
10 Paddington 2 $3,200,000 -44% 2,388 -404 $1,340 $36,403,679 4 Warner Bros.
11 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri $3,000,000 -22% 1,726 269 $1,738 $41,764,051 17 Fox Searchlight
12 I, Tonya $2,600,000 -14% 1,450 490 $1,793 $22,683,885 9 Neon
13 Darkest Hour $2,400,000 -17% 1,486 153 $1,615 $48,823,157 11 Focus Features
14 Forever My Girl $2,300,000 -36% 1,427 3 $1,612 $12,561,654 3 Roadside Attractions/LD Entertainment
15 Star Wars: The Last Jedi $2,200,000 -48% 1,467 -278 $1,500 $614,316,780 8 Disney
16 Phantom Thread $2,200,000 -26% 1,186 165 $1,855 $14,234,109 6 Focus Features
17 Coco $1,700,000 18% 1,636 1015 $1,039 $204,759,729 11 Disney
18 The Commuter $1,700,000 -50% 1,494 -317 $1,138 $34,299,747 4 Lionsgate
19 Insidious: The Last Key $1,300,000 -59% 1,253 -648 $1,038 $65,590,960 5 Universal

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Ferdinand $625,000 -39% 575 -100 $1,087 $81,389,633 8 Fox
2 Wonder (2017) $270,000 -37% 256 -93 $1,055 $130,989,515 12 Lionsgate
3 Thor: Ragnarok $250,000 37% 204 54 $1,225 $314,001,273 14 Disney
4 Daddy’s Home 2 $85,000 -44% 125 -20 $680 $103,871,796 13 Paramount

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND LOCATIONS AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
No records.

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Friday Update: Sources report that Lionsgate and CBS Films’ Winchester earned an estimated $615,000 from Thursday night’s opening shows. That falls generally in line with expectations, comping similarly to last year’s Super Bowl weekend, PG-13 horror release Rings ($800,000), 2016’s Pride and Prejudice and Zombies ($300,000), and 2015’s Project Almanac ($380,000).

Winchester remains on pace for an opening weekend in the vicinity of $10 million as the sole opener against North America’s big sporting event this Sunday.

For the weekend, it remains likely that Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle could return to the top spot, with Maze Runner: The Death Cure having an outside shot to repeat in that position after last week’s debut.

Follow us on Twitter throughout the weekend for updated estimates and projections across all key films.

Boxoffice Staff

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