Weekend Estimates: ‘Ralph’ ($57M 3-Day / $86M 5-Day) Wrecking 2nd Best Thanksgiving Start; ‘Creed II’ Punching Up Strong $35M/$56M; ‘Grinch’ & ‘Beasts’ Neck-and-Neck
Saturday Update: November’s excellent box office march continues this weekend as Disney’s Ralph Breaks the Internet is over-performing in its Thanksgiving debut, adding $21.735 million on Black Friday for a three-day haul of $50.535 million. The hit sequel is currently pacing for a Friday-to-Sunday weekend around $57 million, which puts it in contention to best Toy Story 2‘s $57.4 million as the second highest three-day Thanksgiving debut in history (behind only Frozen‘s $67.4 million). For Ralph‘s overall five-day start, that would land around $85.8 million — potentially topping Moana ($82.1 million) as the second best ever behind Frozen ($93.6 million).
Creed II is also off to an excellent start slightly above forecasts with another $14.13 million on Friday, giving it $34.64 million after three days. That comes in 43.5 percent ahead of its predecessor’s first three days in November 2015, setting the stage for a weekend frame around $35 million — giving it an overall $55.5 million five-day estimated bow.
The Grinch nabbed another $11.6 million yesterday for an updated domestic cume of $161.85 million. Its three-day weekend should land close to $29.5 million, which — as expected — puts it in close positioning to Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald. That sequel added $11.82 million on Friday, giving it $99.3 million domestically as it paces for a weekend around $29 million.
Meanwhile, Robin Hood grabbed $3.46 million on Friday, giving it $8.555 million in its first three days. The Friday-Sunday segment should end up around $9 million, giving the pic a $14.1 million estimated five-day opening.
On the Oscar race front, Green Book earned $2.05 million on Friday for a new total of $4.4 million in the bank. Its three-day weekend could net around $5.4 million.
Last but not least, The Favourite opened on Friday with a strong $190,572 from four locations — marking an excellent $47,643 per-theater average. Fox is projecting around $415,000 for the weekend.
Early three-day estimates are below. Updated studio estimates will follow on Sunday, followed by final results on Monday.
Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, NOV. 23 – SUN, NOV. 25
|1||Ralph Breaks the Internet||$57,000,000||—||4,017||—||$14,190||$85,800,000||1||Disney|
|2||Creed II||$35,000,000||—||3,441||—||$10,171||$55,513,000||1||MGM / Warner Bros|
|3||Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch||$29,500,000||-24%||3,960||-181||$7,449||$179,747,250||3||Universal|
|4||Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald||$29,000,000||-53%||4,163||0||$6,966||$116,467,000||2||Warner Bros.|
|5||Bohemian Rhapsody||$13,300,000||-17%||2,927||-883||$4,544||$151,464,253||4||20th Century Fox|
|6||Instant Family||$12,000,000||-17%||3,286||0||$3,652||$35,251,508||2||Paramount Pictures|
|7||Robin Hood||$9,000,000||—||2,827||—||$3,184||$14,095,000||1||Lionsgate / Summit|
|8||Widows||$7,900,000||-36%||2,803||0||$2,818||$25,530,819||2||20th Century Fox|
|9||Green Book||$5,400,000||1585%||1,063||1038||$5,080||$7,758,401||2||Universal Pictures|
|10||A Star is Born||$3,000,000||-30%||1,202||-808||$2,496||$191,000,000||8||Warner Bros.|
|11||The Nutcracker and the Four Realms||$2,800,000||-41%||1,757||-878||$1,594||$49,207,698||4||Walt Disney Pictures|
|1||Boy Erased||$1,100,000||-17%||672||263||$1,637||$4,482,637||4||Focus Features|
|3||Venom||$700,000||-65%||585||-722||$1,197||$211,627,620||8||Sony / Columbia|
|4||The Front Runner||$600,000||696%||807||785||$743||$1,039,563||3||Sony / Columbia|
|5||Can You Ever Forgive Me?||$568,000||-36%||426||-129||$1,333||$6,001,746||6||Fox Searchlight|
|6||The Girl in the Spider’s Web||$338,000||-86%||983||-1946||$344||$14,374,400||3||Sony / Columbia|
|7||The Hate U Give||$302,000||-61%||260||-333||$1,162||$28,894,674||8||20th Century Fox|
|8||A Private War||$110,000||-84%||226||-639||$487||$1,377,868||4||Aviron Pictures|
|10||Hunter Killer||$40,000||-53%||101||-93||$396||$15,743,544||5||Lionsgate / Summit|
|1||The Favourite||$415,000||—||4||—||$103,750||$415,000||1||Fox Searchlight|
|2||At Eternity’s Gate||$210,000||126%||31||27||$6,774||$396,822||2||CBS Films|
|3||The Old Man & The Gun||$94,000||-43%||91||-80||$1,033||$10,782,328||9||Fox Searchlight|
|4||Disney’s Christopher Robin||$16,000||-52%||55||-37||$291||$99,207,420||17||Disney|
Friday Update: Disney’s Ralph Breaks the Internet is off to a strong start with $18.5 million on opening day Wednesday and $10.3 million on Thursday, giving it an excellent $28.8 million two-day domestic start ahead of the weekend. Creed II is likewise doing very well with $11.6 million and $8.9 million in its first two days for a cume of $20.5 million thus far.
Meanwhile, Robin Hood posted $3.15 million and $1.945 million in each of its first two days for a total thus far of $5.1 million. Green Book expanded semi-wide to $911K on Wednesday and $1.05 million on Thursday.
Weekend and additional daily estimates to follow on Saturday.
Wednesday Report: Disney reports this morning that Ralph Breaks the Internet earned an excellent $3.8 million start from 6pm onward last night as it begins a five-day weekend release. That compares very favorably with Disney’s Coco and Moana, which also bowed on Thanksgiving Wednesday in 2017 and 2016 with $2.3 million and $2.6 million, respectively. While initial results are expected to be higher for Ralph given its nature as a sequel, this bodes well for a strong opening performance in the days ahead.
Although MGM and Annapurna have yet to report officially, multiple sources claim Creed II earned $3.7 million from last night’s first shows. If accurate, that marks a huge jump from Creed‘s $1.4 million start on the same pre-Thanksgiving Wednesday three years ago — although the comparison is loose given how popular early shows have become even in that relatively short time frame.
Meanwhile, Robin Hood took in $800K from 2,100 locations last night — plus an addition $400K from promotional screenings on Monday night. The former former figure is well ahead of Victor Frankenstein‘s $180K Tuesday night start three years ago, although additional comps are scarce with the holiday debut in mind.
Follow Boxoffice for continued updates throughout the extended holiday weekend.